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tashecon.bsky.social
@tashecon.bsky.social
Economist, geopolitical thinker. I write a lot about Ukraine and Turkey. LUFC.

Some notes from a recent trip to Türkiye, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Türkiye - trip notes
I spent the last few days in Turkiye meeting with think tanks, analysts, journalists and diplomats trying to better understand the Turkiye story.
open.substack.com
February 6, 2026 at 10:09 PM
Trump’s Ukraine peace process is going nowhere - the Emperor has no clothes. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Trump’s Ukraine peace talks are going nowhere
It’s a read my lips moment, Trump’s Ukraine peace talks are just not serious.
open.substack.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:01 PM
Need more Turkiye - UK defence cooperation to counter Russia. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
The U.K. and Turkiye need to tighten defence cooperation
Turkiye and the UK have much more in common when it comes to defence and national security interests than perhaps at any time in recent history.
open.substack.com
February 2, 2026 at 12:37 PM
Europe found its balls in Davos but China was the ultimate winner. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Europe finds its balls in Davos
But China is the ultimate winner
open.substack.com
January 23, 2026 at 10:51 AM
I look at whether the EU’s €90 billion for Ukraine is enough? timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-do...
Ukraine - do the numbers now add up?
The EC has finally announced details of its new €90 billion loan facility for Ukraine agreed at the EU council meeting in December.
timothyash.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 5:57 AM
Great to speak on Ukraine financing with Anders Aslund and Phil Zelikow. Thanks to the U.S. - Ukraine Foundation for facilitating. youtu.be/ipDZSUs1Mrg
Ukraine’s Finances 2026–2027
YouTube video by U.S.-Ukraine Foundation
youtu.be
January 12, 2026 at 5:07 PM
Trump is set to Wag the Husky Dog next in Greenland. Has Denmark got a defence? Perhaps open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Trump seems set to wag the husky dog in Greenland
After Trump’s decapitation exercise in Venezuela, his sights appear clearly set on Greenland.
open.substack.com
January 6, 2026 at 12:46 PM
Some bigger picture out-takes on events in Venezuela. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Venezuela and the Sun King POTUS
There are so many different angles to find from the US intervention in Venezuela over the past weekend.
open.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 9:39 PM
Putin is actually the problem, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Ukraine - Putin is the problem
I agree with President Putin.
open.substack.com
December 25, 2025 at 8:20 PM
I wrote for TRT World on the geopolitical outturns for Turkiye in 25’. www.trtworld.com/article/9722...
TRT World - 2025, the year Türkiye’s long game paid off
As 2025 draws to a close, Türkiye’s patient diplomacy, expanding defence industry, and strategic autonomy have positioned it as a pivotal power across Europe, the Middle East, and Eurasia.
www.trtworld.com
December 23, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Have British bankers got any balls? open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Will British bankers please reveal themselves?
Or shut up
open.substack.com
December 11, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Trump’s peace talks on Ukraine are about him, not peace. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Ukraine - peace talks are on a road to nowhere
I don’t think the current US-managed Ukraine peace process is serious.
open.substack.com
December 9, 2025 at 9:50 AM
I spoke with Times Radio about Putin’s trip to India, youtu.be/UdG4zXAI4h8?...
Modi 'at risk' as Putin tries to save Russian economic collapse with Indian trade deal
YouTube video by Times Radio
youtu.be
December 6, 2025 at 11:03 AM
Utterly staggering document. This is effectively a declaration of war by Trump on the EU and mainstream European politics. www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
www.whitehouse.gov
December 5, 2025 at 12:12 PM