Technology Taoist | Contrarian | Modern Elder | Wisdom Worker
banner
technologytaoist.bsky.social
Technology Taoist | Contrarian | Modern Elder | Wisdom Worker
@technologytaoist.bsky.social
180 followers 150 following 480 posts
Pursuing balance, flow, and simplicity. Crafting technology that serves needs, not wants. #TechTao #Tao #Complexity #Quantum #WisdomWorker #ModernElder
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Never say Never.

Dick Tracy’s watch was once a dream in 1946, now it’s a reality 75+ years latter.

Fiction plants the seed. Engineers water it. Culture harvests it.

#TechTao #AI #Future #Innovation #Singularity #Future
To learn, one must first fail. We don’t learn from success as much as we do from failure.

#AI accelerates failure, it lets us explore, discover, and crash faster, virtually and safely. The best leaders fail forward.

#Leadership #AI #Failure #Success
Lao Tzu warned 2,500 years ago:

“The more laws and restrictions, the poorer the people; the more cunning they become.”

There is a fine line, overregulate AI, & you don’t get safety you get smarter circumvention by people with resources.

Systems adapt faster than bureaucracies.
Flow >Force.

#AI
Up until the mainstream availability of #LLM, the world to most people was mysterious, as to understand & comprehend a topic it took time to develop expertise.

Two things are happening; one a compression of time & two a greater number of people are delving into the unknown.

Knowledge is abundant.
Need to redefine how we measure compute in an era of efficiency.

Unlike FLOPS per watt, Compute Spatial Density (CSD) is how compute fits in real space, thermally & electrically stable. CSD captures the full stack: silicon, cooling, memory, networking, power.

#ComputeDensity #AI
#AIInfrastructure
All complex systems, natural, synthetic or hybrid will oscillate towards a state of entropy.

That is least amount of effort, for maximum amount of output.

In the ultimate state of decay, the output has low value, that is why evolution takes place with new inputs.

#AI is no different to #Evolution
While everyone focuses on #AI to solve silver bullet problems, they are missing an important trend.

AI is solving a large number of everyday problems, in seconds that previously took hours or days.

It’s the accumulative sum of these everyday problems being solved by #AI that is going unnoticed.
The ongoing shortage of refined rare earths, is going to require a novel approach for resolution.

Urban Mining via more aggressive recycling ♻️ of electronics and batteries 🔋 will be an approach that needs to be taken more seriously by all countries.

#RareEarths #UrbanMining #Recycling #Electronics
Supply Chain Risk Management, Second Sourcing, you would have thought that COVID lessons would have been learnt.
Consider the problem may well be the inability to ask great, precise and concise questions. GiGo principles are more important than ever.

You will receive exactly what you ask for in depth, scope and accuracy.

#GiGo #LLM
LLMs are like children growing up, they have to learn what is wrong, rather than what is right. In time x on the future , if you place the same code in an LLM the result will surprise you.

The point; perfection is perfected over time, expectations other than this are unrealistic.
Implications:

Grass-fed code drives speed. Grain-finished code creates soul.

Great Software Developers will know when to stop grazing and start finishing.

#AI #LLM #Software #Development
Grain-finished ( #Human ):

Humans refine the final 20%; architecture, nuance, UX, security, and judgment, adding density, trust, and distinctiveness.
Grass-fed ( #AI ):
AI grazes on vast data, producing broad, fast, low-cost code, syntax, scaffolding, tests, docs. Like grass, it’s abundant and efficient but bland and uniform.
We are now in transition phase where a well funded & managed company with above average software developers building large scalable software stacks, can feasible move to a model, where 80% of code is AI generated other 20% is human generated.

The analogy is similar to grass feed, grain finished.
Information is not knowledge, knowledge is not understanding, understanding is not comprehension.

The human trait of comprehension & application is the strength that is valuable in an age of #AI, #LLM, abundant information and knowledge.

Comprehension + Application = Wisdom

#WisdomWorkers
Observation:

The leading LLMs are learning a lot about U.S Constitutional Law at the moment.

Insight:

Taking a complex structured text like the U.S Constitution and training an LLM, gives the everyday person, access to a Constitutional Paralegal.

#ConstitutionalLaw #Legal #Paralegal
80% of Vehicles on road will be BEV/PHEV by 2035, with new vehicle sales approaching 95%+, predicting 100% by 2035 is not practical.

There will be a buying surge of PHEV and ICE vehicles into 2034 before regulatory bans the sale.

Ferrari - EV - Nope 👎
The market take up for #EV has reached saturation for a variety of reasons, this is function of the need for personal transportation as a market, rather than EV itself.

Markets naturally form and correct overtime. Too many EV manufacturers and not enough pragmatic buyers.

#Pragmatism #Patience
“When technology forgets its purpose, it stops serving and starts seducing. True innovation flows when function leads and form follows in silence.”

#TechTao #FormFunction #Technologist #Tao #Dopamine
The root cause is excess capital, to much QE over the past 5 years, along with absurd P/E ratios that allow for high leverage borrowing.
Financial shenanigans, moving CapEx to OpEx, leaving the SPV holding the depreciation burden.
These vehicles full into a saturated price point with plenty of more attractive options.

The manufacturer that hits a 25,000 base, 30,000 High Trim and 35,000 AWD will scope the market, most likely candidate a Toyota Cross like platform.

The hold back is #Tariffs

#EV
Jony Ive is an amazing Industrial Designer, however Technologist he is not. #OpenAI has a problem, #LLM is now saturated, should the pivot to a #Perplexity like model for MCP or hardware devices an go up against #Apple, #Google, #Microsoft #Amazon? It’s all about Ecosystem, not UX/UI at the point.