The Cat
@thecattrader.bsky.social
I’m a Cat. I collect ticks in the futures market.
Indicator builder & discretionary trader.
9 lives, all speculative
Nothing here is financial advice. Only speculation.
Indicator builder & discretionary trader.
9 lives, all speculative
Nothing here is financial advice. Only speculation.
Pinned
The Cat
@thecattrader.bsky.social
· Aug 29
PSA: I don’t DM about ‘signals’ or ‘mentorship.’ If a Cat is promising you riches in Discord, it’s not me.
Data, features, and config files are now fingerprinted and are callable.
This makes it easy to train on a specific hash or test with select features or bundles that I want to experiment on.
This makes it easy to train on a specific hash or test with select features or bundles that I want to experiment on.
November 13, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Data, features, and config files are now fingerprinted and are callable.
This makes it easy to train on a specific hash or test with select features or bundles that I want to experiment on.
This makes it easy to train on a specific hash or test with select features or bundles that I want to experiment on.
Me optimizing my training pipeline
a man in a police uniform is sitting at a desk typing on a laptop computer .
Alt: a man in a police uniform is sitting at a desk typing on a laptop computer .
media.tenor.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Me optimizing my training pipeline
Also worth thinking about hashing data, features and training configs...
November 11, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Also worth thinking about hashing data, features and training configs...
Im to the point where I have to automate a lot of boring things.
There are component weights and smoothing that i need to sweep through values to find sweet spots.
Im just too lazy to do it myself...
Job scheduler it is
There are component weights and smoothing that i need to sweep through values to find sweet spots.
Im just too lazy to do it myself...
Job scheduler it is
November 11, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Im to the point where I have to automate a lot of boring things.
There are component weights and smoothing that i need to sweep through values to find sweet spots.
Im just too lazy to do it myself...
Job scheduler it is
There are component weights and smoothing that i need to sweep through values to find sweet spots.
Im just too lazy to do it myself...
Job scheduler it is
Reposted by The Cat
Facts would like a word.
November 11, 2025 at 2:31 AM
Facts would like a word.
I could look at these all day
November 10, 2025 at 10:34 PM
I could look at these all day
Going to add some noise variation to the transaction cost chained to volatility and volume to simulate overcoming the reward variation from slippage and liquidity.
Im also thinking about adding a small delay from the RL Agents order and execution, but haven't quite figured it out yet.
Im also thinking about adding a small delay from the RL Agents order and execution, but haven't quite figured it out yet.
November 10, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Going to add some noise variation to the transaction cost chained to volatility and volume to simulate overcoming the reward variation from slippage and liquidity.
Im also thinking about adding a small delay from the RL Agents order and execution, but haven't quite figured it out yet.
Im also thinking about adding a small delay from the RL Agents order and execution, but haven't quite figured it out yet.
Going to continue to be risk-off... the risk-event isnt over just yet.
November 10, 2025 at 4:33 AM
Going to continue to be risk-off... the risk-event isnt over just yet.
And squashed the exploit. The RL Agent is learning a policy that actually works on unseen data.
Aka I did it.
Its a REAL start to a real baseline model for Market Stucture Forcasting.
Aka I did it.
Its a REAL start to a real baseline model for Market Stucture Forcasting.
November 9, 2025 at 7:05 PM
And squashed the exploit. The RL Agent is learning a policy that actually works on unseen data.
Aka I did it.
Its a REAL start to a real baseline model for Market Stucture Forcasting.
Aka I did it.
Its a REAL start to a real baseline model for Market Stucture Forcasting.
Well my assumptions are so bad for this environment...
The RL Agent says "i made big number! Exactly how you told me to. Ive made more GDP than the world and now operate in Space Bucks"
And im just like
"Well.. no.. not like that"
Im laughing crying
youtube.com/shorts/mrmqR...
#econsky
The RL Agent says "i made big number! Exactly how you told me to. Ive made more GDP than the world and now operate in Space Bucks"
And im just like
"Well.. no.. not like that"
Im laughing crying
youtube.com/shorts/mrmqR...
#econsky
When your program does as it’s programmed to do
YouTube video by Devslopes
youtube.com
November 9, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Well my assumptions are so bad for this environment...
The RL Agent says "i made big number! Exactly how you told me to. Ive made more GDP than the world and now operate in Space Bucks"
And im just like
"Well.. no.. not like that"
Im laughing crying
youtube.com/shorts/mrmqR...
#econsky
The RL Agent says "i made big number! Exactly how you told me to. Ive made more GDP than the world and now operate in Space Bucks"
And im just like
"Well.. no.. not like that"
Im laughing crying
youtube.com/shorts/mrmqR...
#econsky
Trying to come up with maths...
The RL Agent figured out how to game the environment...
Which I cant actually be mad about.. I wrote the evnironment, so its kind of on me.
This is kind of what I have 1/2
The RL Agent figured out how to game the environment...
Which I cant actually be mad about.. I wrote the evnironment, so its kind of on me.
This is kind of what I have 1/2
November 9, 2025 at 5:30 AM
Trying to come up with maths...
The RL Agent figured out how to game the environment...
Which I cant actually be mad about.. I wrote the evnironment, so its kind of on me.
This is kind of what I have 1/2
The RL Agent figured out how to game the environment...
Which I cant actually be mad about.. I wrote the evnironment, so its kind of on me.
This is kind of what I have 1/2
Oops all features...
These are all discretionary trader features like RSI, ATR, EMAs etc.
Ive recently added more machine readable features, that actually do better. Will share when ive ran more experiments on them.
#econsky
These are all discretionary trader features like RSI, ATR, EMAs etc.
Ive recently added more machine readable features, that actually do better. Will share when ive ran more experiments on them.
#econsky
November 8, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Oops all features...
These are all discretionary trader features like RSI, ATR, EMAs etc.
Ive recently added more machine readable features, that actually do better. Will share when ive ran more experiments on them.
#econsky
These are all discretionary trader features like RSI, ATR, EMAs etc.
Ive recently added more machine readable features, that actually do better. Will share when ive ran more experiments on them.
#econsky
Okay google, how do i escape refactor hell...
November 8, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Okay google, how do i escape refactor hell...
Testing out fractals with Markov Switching Modeling.
Will probably drop two of these states
I spent most of yesterday just generating different feature heatmaps, most features are just plain useless or the model "Kind Of" does on its own (Like EMAs)
#Econsky
Will probably drop two of these states
I spent most of yesterday just generating different feature heatmaps, most features are just plain useless or the model "Kind Of" does on its own (Like EMAs)
#Econsky
November 5, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Testing out fractals with Markov Switching Modeling.
Will probably drop two of these states
I spent most of yesterday just generating different feature heatmaps, most features are just plain useless or the model "Kind Of" does on its own (Like EMAs)
#Econsky
Will probably drop two of these states
I spent most of yesterday just generating different feature heatmaps, most features are just plain useless or the model "Kind Of" does on its own (Like EMAs)
#Econsky
Thinking about adding more features soon, pruning redundant ones and keeping whats necessary for the model to learn.
November 4, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Thinking about adding more features soon, pruning redundant ones and keeping whats necessary for the model to learn.
#econsky
Mmm numbers... But important numbers.
I'll be able to prune completely cold features (like bIs_Doji)
Its interesting how a Doji means something to discretionary trader, but to the model its like "Oh nah useless"
Probably just adding noise at this point.
Mmm numbers... But important numbers.
I'll be able to prune completely cold features (like bIs_Doji)
Its interesting how a Doji means something to discretionary trader, but to the model its like "Oh nah useless"
Probably just adding noise at this point.
November 2, 2025 at 5:33 PM
#econsky
Mmm numbers... But important numbers.
I'll be able to prune completely cold features (like bIs_Doji)
Its interesting how a Doji means something to discretionary trader, but to the model its like "Oh nah useless"
Probably just adding noise at this point.
Mmm numbers... But important numbers.
I'll be able to prune completely cold features (like bIs_Doji)
Its interesting how a Doji means something to discretionary trader, but to the model its like "Oh nah useless"
Probably just adding noise at this point.
Im going to start openly sharing visual results from the ML research.
Expect to see... a lot of Heatmaps.
Currently coding feature bundles to give the models mathematical understanding of the data it has.
OHLC were only numbers until I gave maths on how to use those numbers for direction etc
Expect to see... a lot of Heatmaps.
Currently coding feature bundles to give the models mathematical understanding of the data it has.
OHLC were only numbers until I gave maths on how to use those numbers for direction etc
November 2, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Im going to start openly sharing visual results from the ML research.
Expect to see... a lot of Heatmaps.
Currently coding feature bundles to give the models mathematical understanding of the data it has.
OHLC were only numbers until I gave maths on how to use those numbers for direction etc
Expect to see... a lot of Heatmaps.
Currently coding feature bundles to give the models mathematical understanding of the data it has.
OHLC were only numbers until I gave maths on how to use those numbers for direction etc
Ive gone full quant research mode 🤣🤣
About to build out a DB and then do a bunch of feature bundle coding for experimentation to find the right features to use
About to build out a DB and then do a bunch of feature bundle coding for experimentation to find the right features to use
November 1, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Ive gone full quant research mode 🤣🤣
About to build out a DB and then do a bunch of feature bundle coding for experimentation to find the right features to use
About to build out a DB and then do a bunch of feature bundle coding for experimentation to find the right features to use
I've been pretty quiet....
The Cat has been chasing data modeling...
With an 80% return rate
All backtesting. I hope to hit forward predictive testing by the middle of next month.
#econsky
The Cat has been chasing data modeling...
With an 80% return rate
All backtesting. I hope to hit forward predictive testing by the middle of next month.
#econsky
October 25, 2025 at 6:35 PM
I've been pretty quiet....
The Cat has been chasing data modeling...
With an 80% return rate
All backtesting. I hope to hit forward predictive testing by the middle of next month.
#econsky
The Cat has been chasing data modeling...
With an 80% return rate
All backtesting. I hope to hit forward predictive testing by the middle of next month.
#econsky
October 19, 2025 at 7:52 PM
I was scrolling that bad place today....
Someone stated the market was strong haven't had a red day since June
I dont think I need to tell you we tumbled 100+ points today #econsky do i?
I'd been pricing in more tarrifs personally, but the market clearly wasnt.
Someone stated the market was strong haven't had a red day since June
I dont think I need to tell you we tumbled 100+ points today #econsky do i?
I'd been pricing in more tarrifs personally, but the market clearly wasnt.
October 11, 2025 at 6:56 AM
I was scrolling that bad place today....
Someone stated the market was strong haven't had a red day since June
I dont think I need to tell you we tumbled 100+ points today #econsky do i?
I'd been pricing in more tarrifs personally, but the market clearly wasnt.
Someone stated the market was strong haven't had a red day since June
I dont think I need to tell you we tumbled 100+ points today #econsky do i?
I'd been pricing in more tarrifs personally, but the market clearly wasnt.
Luckily we have other options. Like aggregating state level statistics.
Can't wait to see all thr SBA loan blocks -_-
Can't wait to see all thr SBA loan blocks -_-
BREAKING: The Bureau of Labor Statistics has said it won't release or collect any economic data during a government shutdown.
October 4, 2025 at 5:54 AM
Luckily we have other options. Like aggregating state level statistics.
Can't wait to see all thr SBA loan blocks -_-
Can't wait to see all thr SBA loan blocks -_-
Okay, both skew indicators are done.
Going to paper trade them in tonight's session to get a feel and make any adjustments before releasing.
Note: Skew isnt exactly something that retail traders typically trade off of, but the Big Cats (institutions) sure do.
Going to paper trade them in tonight's session to get a feel and make any adjustments before releasing.
Note: Skew isnt exactly something that retail traders typically trade off of, but the Big Cats (institutions) sure do.
September 28, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Okay, both skew indicators are done.
Going to paper trade them in tonight's session to get a feel and make any adjustments before releasing.
Note: Skew isnt exactly something that retail traders typically trade off of, but the Big Cats (institutions) sure do.
Going to paper trade them in tonight's session to get a feel and make any adjustments before releasing.
Note: Skew isnt exactly something that retail traders typically trade off of, but the Big Cats (institutions) sure do.
My last post made me come up with a skew indicator. One for “weather forecast” (it’s stormy today) and one for
“radar” (the storm cell is forming right here, right now)
#econsky
“radar” (the storm cell is forming right here, right now)
#econsky
September 28, 2025 at 1:26 AM
My last post made me come up with a skew indicator. One for “weather forecast” (it’s stormy today) and one for
“radar” (the storm cell is forming right here, right now)
#econsky
“radar” (the storm cell is forming right here, right now)
#econsky