Vlad Bastion Research
vladbastion.bsky.social
Vlad Bastion Research
@vladbastion.bsky.social
58 followers 11 following 480 posts
Building stronger portfolios with actionable financial analytics. Former Head of Equity Research | CFA | Based in London. Proud dad.
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Micron $MU is back in the S&P 500 top 10 weekly gainers (+11%).

AI-driven data center expansion is fueling huge demand for server memory, pushing revenue to record highs.

YTD +141% - 5th best in S&P 500, top performer in the S&P 500 Value portfolio.
Amazon stock has been the weakest among the S&P 500’s top 20 companies this year.

The retail giant is missing out on the global rally as its cloud unit loses share amid massive rival investments. Bloomberg estimates AWS’s share could drop from 35% in 2022 to under 20% by 2030.
Top 5 S&P 500 Performers Last Week

💳 Fair Isaac $FICO +21%
🧪 Charles River Labs $CRL +21%
🧬 Bio-Techne $TECH +21%
🧫 Thermo Fisher $TMO +18%
💊 Eli Lilly $LLY +16%
Alphabet ranks in the top 5% of best performers in the S&P 500 over the past 3 months (+38%). However, valuation remains reasonable. Forward P/E of 25x is slightly above the market median. $GOOGL
Top 5 Global Megacaps by YTD Return (2025):

🇨🇳📱 Foxconn +205%
🇺🇸🤖 Palantir +135%
🇺🇸📱 Applovin +107%
🇯🇵📱 SoftBank +106%
🇨🇳🌐 Alibaba +106%
Best Magnificent 7 stock by strategy:

🚀 Pure Growth: NVIDIA $NVDA
🏆 Pure Quality: Microsoft $MSFT
💰 Pure Value: Meta $META
⚡ Pure Momentum: Alphabet $GOOGL
🛡️ Pure Antifragility: Microsoft $MSFT

📊 GEAR (Growth + Efficiency at Reasonable Price): Microsoft $MSFT
Upsets in the S&P 500 this year:

💻 Salesforce -28%
🛒 Target -32%
🏥 UnitedHealth -32%
🍽️ Chipotle -35%
👗 Deckers -42%
🛍️ Lululemon -58%
📱 Trade Desk -62%

Who’s got the best shot at a comeback?
Reddit is the true star of the Growth + Momentum portfolio this year. The company delivered 78% revenue growth in its June-ended quarter with a record Net Income margin of 18%.

The digital advertising business looks exceptionally strong this year. $RDDT
Last week, inflation-adjusted gold prices hit their highest level since 1980. A 45-year drawdown has finally ended.
Top S&P 500 Stocks by Buyback Yield

🇺🇸🏥 DaVita +19.2% $DVA
🇺🇸🚗 Aptiv +17.4% $APTV
🇺🇸🛡️ AIG +17.0% $AIG
🇺🇸🏥 Centene +17.0% $CNC
🇺🇸🏥 Molina +15.8% $MOH
🇺🇸📦 Ball +15.2% $BALL
🇺🇸✈️ Southwest +14.9% $LUV
🇺🇸🚗 GM +14.2% $GM
🇺🇸🏖️ MGM +11.9% $MGM
🇺🇸🛒 Kroger +11.4% $KR
🇨🇳 China Growth Portfolio

Goldman Sachs highlights stocks that:

▪️ Play key themes (exports to EMs, shareholder returns, AI, services, POE support)
▪️ Deliver strong earnings growth
▪️ Likely beat consensus
Despite higher tariffs, global trade has not collapsed. Since the start of the year, its value in USD has grown by 4%.

Resilience has been achieved largely thanks to rising exports from China to Europe and Africa. Trade dynamics with the US look weak but remain positive.
Top 5 US Megacaps by 3Y Revenue Growth (CAGR):

💻 Palantir +35% $PLTR
💻 Oracle +34% $ORCL
💾 Broadcom +28% $AVGO
📱 Applovin +25% $APP
💾 NVIDIA +25% $NVDA
Oracle key stats after a massive deal with ChatGPT/ OpenAI

📈 Exp Revenue growth 3Y CAGR: +34% - market top 10%
📈 1Y Stock Total Return: +111% - market top 10%
💰 P/E FWD: 45x - market top 10%
💸 FCF Yield: -0.6% - market bottom 10%
🚀 Pure Momentum Score - top 10%
📈 Pure Growth Score - top 10%
Microsoft’s AI Diagnostic Orchestrator makes correct diagnoses in complex cases with an accuracy rate of 85%, several times higher than a group of experienced physicians.

From a Morgan Stanley report $MSFT
📊 Forward P/E Valuation Multiples – Global Top 100 Stocks
My GEAR+ strategy continues to filter out Oracle due to expensive multiples and relatively modest current efficiency metrics, keeping it out of the strategy portfolio. However, the stock shines in the speculative Growth+Momentum portfolio. $ORCL
🧮 Defensive moves: best antifragility stocks in the S&P500

These companies combine low beta, low volatility, and solid quality fundamentals.
Forward P/E Ratios: Top 100 Global Tech Stocks
Micron appears to be unlocking its potential. The memory chip maker – a critical supplier for Nvidia’s H200 GPUs – ranks among the top 20 stocks in the S&P 500 by Business Growth Score and one-month share performance. The stock trades at just 10x forward P/E.
15 S&P 500 stocks with the highest Business Growth Score

🛰️ Palantir $PLTR
💻 NVIDIA $NVDA
🍔 DoorDash $DASH
📡 Broadcom $AVGO
🔥 AMD $AMD
🖥️ Super Micro $SMCI
💊 Eli Lilly $LLY
☁️ ServiceNow $NOW
🥊 TKO Group $TKO
🌐 Arista Networks $ANET
💾 Micron $MU
🏥 Welltower $WELL
🏛️ Oracle $ORCL
⚡ Axon $AXON
🐶 Datadog
I think anyone who doesn’t know how to code but codes with ChatGPT or another AI tool understands why Nvidia’s stock is unstoppable. The company that provides the fuel for this superpower. $NVDA
Global Large Cap Stocks with the Highest Price Momentum Score

🇨🇳💾Cambricon – Chinese semiconductors
🇮🇹🏦 UniCredit SpA – Leading Italian banking group
🇪🇸🏦 Banco Santander SA – Major Spanish global lender
🇩🇪🏦 Deutsche Bank AG – German investment bank
🇨🇳🛍️ Pop Mart – Chinese toys, retail leader
The hottest stock markets in 2025. Country ETFs Top Returns in USD

🇬🇷 Greece +67%
🇻🇳 Vietnam +56%
🇵🇱 Poland +54%
🇪🇸 Spain +53%
🇦🇹 Austria +46%
20 Global Large-Cap Stocks with the Highest Growth Score

Top Overall Growth Rating
🇺🇸💻 Palantir 97
🇨🇳🛍️ Pop Mart 97
🇨🇳💾 Hygon 97