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War on the Rocks
@warontherocks.bsky.social
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Experience. Conflict. Commentary. Join our community: https://warontherocks.com/membership/
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 39m
America’s chip industry withered over decades. Can Washington’s latest ploy finally bring it back?
Can Lutnick’s Chip-for-Chip Idea Work?
The Commerce Department’s imminent Section 232 investigation — launched in April and expected to conclude soon — may fundamentally shift how the United
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 1h
Data centers, not bases, are the new frontline of U.S. power in the Gulf.
Silicon Statecraft: How U.S.-Gulf AI Deals Project Power
The great-power contest is not unfolding on battlefields or carrier decks, but inside data halls cooled by air conditioning, far from America’s shores.
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 2h
Some firms will thrive at the intersection of defense and commercial markets. Many won’t. Here’s why.

Listen here: warontherocks.com/20...
warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 2h
Is the Shanghai Cooperation Organization a security bloc, an economic club, or something else entirely?
Is the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Just a Talking Shop?
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization convened for its 25th summit in Tianjin on Sept. 1, the largest gathering of leaders in the organization’s history.
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 3h
The war that was supposed to ignite the region instead exposed Iran’s limits.
The 12 Days of War That Didn’t Ignite the Middle East or the World
For decades, predictions about a war with Iran carried an air of inevitability: Analysts warned a conflict would close the ranks of the Iranian military
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 4h
The rush to field new weapons risks leaving intelligence behind, and that’s dangerous.
Beyond Decision Superiority: The Role of Intelligence in Innovation & Adaptation
Wars are not won by speed and better decisions. They are won when weapons find their targets and destroy them. Yet in the race to build faster, cheaper,
warontherocks.com
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 5h
What if China doesn’t invade Taiwan the way we expect?
A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 5h
As the U.S. mission in Iraq winds down further, regional actors are taking note.

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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 6h
Two years after Oct. 7, Israel and Gaza are still reeling, and the Middle East has changed around them.
The Ripple Effects of the Oct. 7 Attack on Israel
This is a special edition of our members-only newsletter, In Brief, where each week, experts will dig deep into a single issue happening in the world to
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 7h
Don’t just keep up. Get ahead. Become a War on the Rocks and join thousands of professionals who already have.
Membership - War on the Rocks
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks Newsletter Sign Up Keep up to date The latest articles and podcasts from War on the
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 8h
“The great-power contest is not unfolding on battlefields or carrier decks, but inside data halls cooled by air conditioning, far from America’s shores,” argues Kody McKinley.
Silicon Statecraft: How U.S.-Gulf AI Deals Project Power
The great-power contest is not unfolding on battlefields or carrier decks, but inside data halls cooled by air conditioning, far from America’s shores.
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 8h
Every shutdown sends one message abroad, and America’s adversaries are listening.
The Shutdown and the Spy
Author’s Note: The following story is a fictitious depiction of a plausible scenario that is meant to illustrate the real damage done to critical
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 9h
Live from London: Can Europe’s defense reset really deliver, or is it too little, too late?

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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 10h
Kasserine Pass reminds us that the true test of an army is not avoiding defeat, but adapting after it.
The Importance of the Battle of Kasserine Pass
The Battle of Kasserine Pass in February 1943 was the first significant engagement between German and U.S. forces in World War II. The fight delivered a
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 11h
Military innovation has always depended on something harder to measure.
Beyond Decision Superiority: The Role of Intelligence in Innovation & Adaptation
Wars are not won by speed and better decisions. They are won when weapons find their targets and destroy them. Yet in the race to build faster, cheaper,
warontherocks.com
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 11h
Get exclusive insights from Michael Kofman on The Russia Contingency and Afshon Ostovar on The Iran Reckoning: only for War on the Rocks members. Join today.
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War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks Newsletter Sign Up Keep up to date The latest articles and podcasts from War on the
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 12h
No world war. No oil shock. No rally-around-the-flag. Just a reckoning for Tehran.
The 12 Days of War That Didn’t Ignite the Middle East or the World
For decades, predictions about a war with Iran carried an air of inevitability: Analysts warned a conflict would close the ranks of the Iranian military
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 13h
The U.S. government can build fabs. The real test is whether “chip-for-chip” can make them run.
Can Lutnick’s Chip-for-Chip Idea Work?
The Commerce Department’s imminent Section 232 investigation — launched in April and expected to conclude soon — may fundamentally shift how the United
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 13h
“There is a foreign policy case for lending Argentina a hand, though perhaps not one stuffed with hundred-dollar bills,” argues Benjamin Gedan.
When Ideology Writes the Check: Washington’s Risky Bet on Argentina
Last month, Javier Milei, Argentina’s flashy libertarian leader, arrived in New York City not with his trademark chainsaw, but with his hat in his hand.
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 14h
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 14h
What began as a border-security pact now claims to represent a new vision for global governance.
Is the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Just a Talking Shop?
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization convened for its 25th summit in Tianjin on Sept. 1, the largest gathering of leaders in the organization’s history.
warontherocks.com
warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 15h
If you have something to say about defense technology and industry, we want your voice. Contribute to @Cogs0fWar and shape the debate.
How to Contribute to Cogs of War - War on the Rocks
Cogs of War is our dedicated vertical on defense technology and defense industrial base issues produced in partnership with Booz Allen Hamilton. Read on
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 16h
America can’t prevent every crisis, but it can build a strategy that survives one.
Resilience in American Strategy Is More Important Than Ever
In 2021, Erica Lonergan wrote, “A Grand Strategy Based on Resilience,” where she argued the United States should focus more time and resources on
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 16h
Day-one doctrine often hardens into dogma. The time to wrestle with AI’s future is right now.
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Four AI Policy Choices Policymakers Can’t Afford to Get Wrong  
Editor’s Note: This is the first in a series of articles. Subsequent articles will examine answers to each of the four questions laid out below. As
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warontherocks.bsky.social
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 17h
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