Winnable Democratic Races
@winnabledemraces.bsky.social
34K followers 110K following 620 posts
Boosting only Democratic gubernatorial and Congressional races that are both STRATEGIC and WINNABLE. 🔴 Ignore solid Republican seats 🔴 Ignore solid Democratic seats 🟢🟢🟢 Only promote competitive races ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report 🟢🟢🟢
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winnabledemraces.bsky.social
But... Bernie Sanders wants Janet Mills to stay out of Maine's Senate race.

thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
It’s not official yet, but it sounds like Maine’s two-term Gov. Janet Mills (D) will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Sen. Susan Collins (R) next year.

The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race.

apnews.com/article/main...
Maine Gov. Janet Mills will challenge Sen. Susan Collins in key 2026 Senate contest, AP sources say
Maine’s two-term Democratic Gov. Janet Mills will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Republican Sen. Susan Collins next year.
apnews.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Yes, I've reached out to both of their campaigns about this, but no response yet.
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Arizona governor Katie Hobbs (D) has announced her re-election bid.

The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP.

thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
I couldn't summarize the importance of TOSS-UP races in just a few hundred characters. So I wrote it in the Substack.

Please let me know what you think.

substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Toss-Up Races: How to Take Back the United States
The "Winnable Democratic Races" Project on Bluesky
substack.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Rep. David Schweikert (R, AZ-1) is vacating his House seat to run for governor.

Center for Politics says:

“Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) has gotten some minor opposition but remains overwhelmingly favored for renomination. Our Toss-up rating for the race stands.”

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball
centerforpolitics.org
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Mikie Sherrill (D) is leading Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey gubernatorial race… according to Fox News.

thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
The Virginia gubernatorial election is November 4.

Democrats in all 50 states can support Abigail Spanberger's campaign.
abigailspanberger.com
Trump is now using the government shutdown to push more mass layoffs — further damaging Virginia’s economy.

That’s an egregious attack on Virginia jobs.
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
The New Jersey gubernatorial election is November 4.

Democrats in all 50 states can support Mikie Sherrill's campaign.
mikiesherrill.bsky.social
The Trump administration's attacks on Gateway Tunnel funding are an attack on New Jersey's economy, commuters, and nearly 100,000 jobs.

And still, Jack refuses to stand up to Donald Trump.
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Congratulations, Jonathan.

Schweikert's departure should be a boost to your campaign.
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Republican-held seat AZ-01 is ranked TOSS-UP. But incumbent David Schweikert (R) is stepping down to run for governor (which is also ranked TOSS-UP).

The loss of the Republican incumbent could improve the Democrat’s chances of flipping this seat in 2026.

www.politico.com/news/2025/09...
Schweikert to launch campaign for Arizona governor
“I've grown to believe Washington ... is unsavable," the longtime House lawmaker said. "I do believe Arizona is savable."
www.politico.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
The current Democratic candidates for AZ-01 are Jonathan Treble, Marlene Galan-Woods, Mark Robert Gordon, Rick McCartney and Amish Shah.
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
Republican-held seat AZ-01 is ranked TOSS-UP. But incumbent David Schweikert (R) is stepping down to run for governor (which is also ranked TOSS-UP).

The loss of the Republican incumbent could improve the Democrat’s chances of flipping this seat in 2026.

www.politico.com/news/2025/09...
Schweikert to launch campaign for Arizona governor
“I've grown to believe Washington ... is unsavable," the longtime House lawmaker said. "I do believe Arizona is savable."
www.politico.com
winnabledemraces.bsky.social
The current Democratic candidates are Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez; Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley; state Sen. Kelda Roys; and state Rep. Francesca Hong.