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Reposted by Philippe J. Fournier

The Walrus @thewalrus.ca · 7h

In September, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government unveiled its first list of “major projects.” Here, poll analyst @338canada.bsky.social takes a look at new data from Angus Reid to gauge how Canadians really feel about this vision for national renewal: thewalrus.ca/only-half-the-co...

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 10h

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Léger:

🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 38%
⚜️BQ 7% (32% in QC)
🟠NDP 6%
🟢GPC 3%

→ 338canada.com/20251004-leg...

[Léger, October 3-5, 2025, n=1,562]

#canpoli

338Canada | Leger federal poll, October 2025

338canada.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 1d

📊New episode of The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal?

🍁Plus: New polls out of B.C. + Quebec, and watch Eric sweat in this week's Quiz

www.338canada.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal?

Is Forty the new thirty?

www.338canada.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 1d

⚙️Modest support across party lines—but also deep skepticism—for the Liberals' initial list of “Nation-Building Projects”

📊My latest for @thewalrus.ca ↓ thewalrus.ca/only-half-th...

Only Half the Country Thinks Carney’s “Nation-Building Projects” Are a Good Idea | The Walrus

A new poll shows modest support across party lines—but also deep skepticism

thewalrus.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 1d

📊New episode of The Numbers: Is 40 the new 30?

🎧Could a polarized electorate be the new normal? Listen or watch here ↓ www.patreon.com/posts/video-...

(VIDEO) Could a polarized electorate be the new normal? | The Numbers / Les chiffres

www.patreon.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 1d

📊Preferred PM🍁Nanos Research tracker (Sept.12-Oct.3, 2025):

🔴49% Mark Carney (-1)
🔵 29% Pierre Poilievre (+1)

(Comparison with previous 4-week sample)

338canada.com/20251003-nan...

338Canada | Nanos Research federal poll, October 2025

338canada.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 1d

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:

🔴LPC 39%
🔵CPC 38%
🟠NDP 12%
⚜️BQ 6%
🟢GPC 4%
🟣PPC 1%

→ 338canada.com/20251003-nan...

[Nanos Research, Sept.12-Oct.3, 2025, n=1,027]

#canpoli

338Canada | Nanos Research federal poll, October 2025

338canada.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 1d

📊New B.C. polling from Research Co. finds Premier David Eby maintaining strong approval and the Greens inching upward, while John Rustad’s Conservatives remain mired in internal turmoil. The latest from @canadianpolling.bsky.social for 338 ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/bc-conserv...

B.C. Conservatives Lose Ground as NDP Holds Steady

New B.C. polling from Research Co. finds Premier David Eby maintaining strong approval and the Greens inching upward, while John Rustad’s Conservatives remain mired in internal turmoil.

www.338canada.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 2d

⚜️Mise à jour Qc125 : Legault reste à plat, Duhaime grimpe

📊À un an jour pour jour des élections générales au Québec, la CAQ stagne à un creux historique malgré les offensives médiatiques de François Legault. Le PQ continue de voguer seul en tête ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/mise-a-jou...

Mise à jour Qc125 : Legault reste à plat, Duhaime grimpe

À un an jour pour jour des élections générales au Québec, la CAQ stagne à un creux historique malgré les offensives médiatiques de François Legault. Le PQ continue de voguer seul en tête.

www.qc125.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 3d

🍁338 Sunday Update: As Carney Heads South, Polls Tighten at Home

📊Fresh federal data point to a narrowing gap, Legault struggles in Quebec, and Alberta’s municipal contests heat up. My latest for 338 ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

338 Sunday Update: As Carney Heads South, Polls Tighten at Home

Fresh federal data point to a narrowing gap, Legault struggles in Quebec, and Alberta’s municipal contests heat up.

www.338canada.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 4d

📊Taux de satisfaction un an avant les élections générales (2006 à 2025):

👍Satisfaction élevée (ou respectable) = Réélection
👎Insatisfaction élevée = Défaite

Exception à la règle : le PLQ de Jean Charest en 2007 (réduit à une minorité). Ma chronique :
lactualite.com/politique/qu...

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 5d

🔥New special episode of The Numbers: Contrarian Hot Takes Edition

🎧Be warned: I struggled with this one, but Eric knocked it out of the park ↓ www.patreon.com/posts/video-...

(VIDEO) Contrarian Hot Takes | The Numbers / Les chiffres

www.patreon.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 5d

À un an des élections générales au Québec, quelles sont les probabilités pour Legault d’inverser la vapeur ?

Ma chronique pour @lactualite.com dans laquelle j'explore les sondages pré-électoraux des deux dernières décennies.

lactualite.com/politique/qu...

Quelles sont les probabilités pour Legault d'inverser la vapeur ?

Rien de mieux que de retourner voir d'anciens sondages pour évaluer les chances que François Legault nous surprenne aux prochaines élections. Car ça se pourrait. Mais...

lactualite.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 7d

📊The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties?

🎧Let's nerd out on the latest federal, provincial and municipal polls ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties?

Let's nerd out on the latest federal, provincial and municipal polls.

www.338canada.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 8d

📊New episode of The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties?

🎧Get it first (and ad-free) ↓ www.patreon.com/posts/video-...

(VIDEO) Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties? | The Numbers / Les chiffres

www.patreon.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 8d

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:

🔴LPC 41%
🔵CPC 37%
🟠NDP 12%
⚜️BQ 5%
🟢GPC 4%
🟣PPC 1%

→ 338canada.com/20250926-nan...

[Nanos Research, September 5-26, 2025, n=1,030]

#canpoli

338Canada | Nanos Research federal poll, September 2025

338canada.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 10d

📊338 Sunday update → www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

🍁Updated federal numbers → 338canada.com/federal.htm

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 10d

338 Sunday Update: Federal Race Narrows Again

Federal, Alberta, and Montreal numbers in today's 338 Sunday Update: www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

338 Sunday Update: Federal Race Narrows Again

Federal gap shrinks, but Carney still leads Poilievre on favourability, while municipal and provincial polls stir the waters in Alberta, Calgary, and Montreal.

www.338canada.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 12d

📊Sondages municipaux de la maison Léger : Martinez en avance à Montréal, avantage Marchand à Québec

🏙️Détails ici ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/martinez-e...

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 13d

Êtes-vous satisfait de la première liste de « grands projets nationaux » proposée par le gouvernement Carney ?

Au Canada :
🟢44% Satisfait
🔴32% Insatisfait

Au Québec :
🟢45% Satisfait
🔴28% Insatisfait

lactualite.com/politique/le...

Les grands projets nationaux de Carney reçoivent un accueil prudent

La première liste des grands chantiers (mines, infrastructures portuaires et centrale nucléaire) qu'entend pousser le gouvernement fédéral vers la voie rapide plaît aux Québécois et aux Canadiens.

lactualite.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 13d

📊Léger: Extreme Weather Fuels Canadians’ Climate Concerns

🔥More than a third of Canadians say they were personally affected in the past year, helping explain recent rise in climate concern ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/leger-extr...

Léger: Extreme Weather Fuels Canadians’ Climate Concerns

More than a third of Canadians say they were personally affected in the past year, helping explain recent rise in climate concern.

www.338canada.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 14d

🎧The Numbers: What's the leadership review magic number?

www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSR-...

The Numbers: What's the leadership review magic number?

YouTube video by Éric Grenier

www.youtube.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 14d

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:

🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 37%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 5% (23% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 2%

→ 338canada.com/20250920-lia...

[Liaison Strategies, September 19-21, 2025, n=1,000]

#canpoli

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, September 2025

338canada.com

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 14d

⭐🏆⭐

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Philippe J. Fournier @338canada.bsky.social · 14d

📊Today's quiz on The Numbers was a doozy!

🥅Do you know the answer?

→ www.338canada.ca/p/the-number...

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