@3underscores.bsky.social
1.3K followers 590 following 2.8K posts
Mostly tweeting about cities, climate change, demographics, land use, and housing econ on this account. I post photos and facts about Jersey City, where I live. Twitter:@jc_permits, @3_under_scores_ 🇨🇴🇺🇲
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3underscores.bsky.social
Newark mayor Ras Baraka's administration is proposing downzoning some parts of the city back to R-1 single-family zoning:

newark.legistar.com/LegislationD...
3underscores.bsky.social
Glad to see this is fairly far along! Saw a petition against it recently and was worried it would be stopped, but I think not at this point.
3underscores.bsky.social
The article is wrong and it has nothing to do with the new Journal Sq IZO. Its not even in the 2060 redevelopment plan. I sent them an email about it and they didn't correct it.
3underscores.bsky.social
Even he is supportive 😭

Everyone except Solomon.
3underscores.bsky.social
Yeah, those polls are the latest. They are all internal polls, so must be taken with a grain of salt. Hard to know where it stands now.
3underscores.bsky.social
We need a much more robust welfare state at the state+federal levels that provides direct aid to families in need. Until we figure that out, if we're going to do affordable in new bldgs, leveraging that huge pot of state money is the way to go, IMO.

JC's left a lot of those funds on the table.
Jersey City and AC Residential Project Receive Aspire Credits
The NJEDA Board has approved residential projects in Jersey City and Atlantic City for tax credit awards under the Aspire Program.
njbmagazine.com
3underscores.bsky.social
Oh I just saw your question about vouchers. Yes, from an economist's standpoint, vouchers/direct aid are way more efficient and would house way more people per dollar than even the best-designed inclusionary programs. The question is how to fund expanding vouchers at a local level.
3underscores.bsky.social
O'Dea is pretty much suggesting this, and I think it's because he has worked as an affordable housing developer at a non-profit and knows how these financing tools work.
3underscores.bsky.social
When you do this, the subsidy rrequired from the city per affordable unit can be lower since the state and federal governments are paying a part of it. That means for any given city PILOT subsidy budget you can build more affordable units.
3underscores.bsky.social
I think the optimal policy for affordable is to try to leverage state and federal subsidies for 20% affordable buildings. You focus all the subsidies in these bldgs, encouraging more of them to be built, rather than spreading them out over a larger number of projects that are ineligible at lower %.
3underscores.bsky.social
Thanks for your questions, they are really good ones.
3underscores.bsky.social
The way they're doing the subsidy is annual, via a PILOT that reduces the property taxes they pay.

It's the 177 Grand St PILOT proposal that's up for a vote tomorrow at Council.
3underscores.bsky.social
That same San Francisco Comptroller's report finds that every incremental 1% increase in the universal inclusionary requirement decreases total housing production and increases rents for market-rate units citywide.
3underscores.bsky.social
There is no magic rate below which underfunded/unfunded inclusionary requirements don't reduce housing supply. This SF Comptroller's report explains the mechanics:
www.google.com/url?sa=t&sou...
3underscores.bsky.social
For any given project, it might be able to afford some inclusionaey percentage. But that percentage is different for every project so any given rate will kill some projects.
3underscores.bsky.social
These requirements are way more expensive than they look.

Boston and SF have universal affordability requirements, higher rents than JC, and yet have lower construction rates of new housing than JC. With the higher rents they should be building more.
3underscores.bsky.social
There is a building downtown, in the highest-rent part of JC, that is required to do 15% affordable, and an independent audit found that they had an $18 million financing gap to make the project viable. City subsidy needed would be over $270k per affordable unit.
3underscores.bsky.social
Also, if imposing a universal affordability mandate on all new developments in JC would tank housing production, would you still be in favor?
3underscores.bsky.social
In his answer, he also says he wants to reduce the density of the proposal. The school convo is a minor quibble.
3underscores.bsky.social
I am not sure what you mean. Yes, opposing a project with substantial affordable housing in the richest and most transit-oriented part of town is evidence of being NIMBY imo. He also killed a proposal next to PS5 that would've added an extra floor and 3 affordable units to what was allowed by-right.
3underscores.bsky.social
The "we're going to stop them from building luxury-only housing" line really gets at my concern about him from way back—and I raised this concern to him directly months ago—that he is more fixated on stopping market-rate buildings than building more affordable units.
3underscores.bsky.social
The yimbyer candidates are Mussab Ali and Bill O'Dea. And uphill battle for them to get into the runoff, but not impossible. O'Dea probably has a better chance unless Ali really drives youth turnout at historic levels.
3underscores.bsky.social
He says he'll stop them from building luxury-only housing, but he's also opposing a project with 150 low-and-moderate income units and 100 workforce units in his extremely wealthy ward.

hudsoncountyview.com/odea-backing...