Adam Young Golf
adamyounggolf.bsky.social
Adam Young Golf
@adamyounggolf.bsky.social
Golf coach changing the game. Www.adamyounggolf.com
If you like advanced golf information, get my "7 advanced ways to improve your golf game" video for free, here - www.adamyounggolf.com/prm-7-advan...
7 Advanced Ways - Adam Young Golf
www.adamyounggolf.com
February 16, 2026 at 10:24 PM
So, to recap, we dropped 1.26 shots, on average by
🟢changing target location
🟢improving technique
🟢changing average strike location

While this is an extreme example (water), imagine making these kinds of improvements on every single shot you hit.
February 16, 2026 at 10:24 PM
Now the pattern would look something more like this

And the predicted score would be 3.29
February 16, 2026 at 10:24 PM
Finally, if we get this player to present the clubhead just 1 groove higher (so they hit 1 groove lower on average) it looks like this.

Now 90% of the shots fall within the acceptable area
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Now only 20% fall -25yards of max distance, making the shot pattern look like this

And predicted score would be 3.47
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Now, the area of acceptable strikes shifts up a groove and captures more of their shot pattern.

Meaning, 25% more shots fall within 25 yards of max.
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Now - imagine we change the player's technique so that they present more forward shaft lean and a steeper attack angle
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Strikes within this blue area will fly within 25 yards of their longest shots.

Strikes outside of the area will fall short (combination of fat contact and loss of smash).

So around 45% of shots are falling 25 yards short of max
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Their technique is to present 0 shaft lean and have a shallow attack angle (common with poorer players)
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Imagine this player's strike pattern looks like this - each dot representing 10% of their strike pattern.
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Now, they would score

51% x 2.9
11% x 3.4
38% x 5

a predicted score of 3.75

But let's take it a step further
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Now - let's have a look at an alternative strategy.

The player now decides to ignore the flag and target the back-middle of the green
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
This player would score
17% x 2.9
6% x 3.4
77% x 5

Average predicted score = 4.55

Likely higher given that they will probably take more than 3 shots to get in the hole from the drop zone
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
and water balls costing 1 penalty shot, plus they still have to get it in the hole from the drop zone (100 yards away)

Predicted score AT LEAST 5 (assumes they make par from the drop zone, on average).
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
and rough/fringe has up and down rate of 60%

(predicted score of 3.4)
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
If greens hit = predicted score of 2.9

(10% holed - the rest 2-putts)
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
The player lasers the flag and finds it is 160y away.

So they pull the club that they hit 160 on their best shots.

These are their predicted results - imagine if they play this hole 100 times.
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Here we see a dispersion for a 15-handicap golfer.

Each red X represents 1/100 shot, or we could say it's a 1% probability.

The best shots for this player are around 160 yards
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Here we see a tough golf hole - surrounded by water. Pin tucked short and left

Luckily, the green is pretty big - 45x45 yards.
February 16, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Learn more - get the book here - www.amazon.com/Practice-Ma...
February 2, 2026 at 9:51 PM
Different golf practice types
February 2, 2026 at 9:51 PM
Is blocked bad?
February 2, 2026 at 9:51 PM
Reps vs Context
February 2, 2026 at 9:51 PM
Performance vs learning and confidence
February 2, 2026 at 9:51 PM