Alan Abdo
@alanabdo13.bsky.social
Will, Glory, and Strength.
I am Ukrainian middle easterner!
I am Ukrainian middle easterner!
5/ Bottom line: The Witkoff–Kushner scheme is DOA. U.S. law blocks every path to territorial concessions. Ukraine cannot be coerced into surrendering land that Washington is legally prohibited from recognizing. @housedemocrats.bsky.social @houserepublicans.bsky.social @bloomberg.com
December 3, 2025 at 1:01 PM
5/ Bottom line: The Witkoff–Kushner scheme is DOA. U.S. law blocks every path to territorial concessions. Ukraine cannot be coerced into surrendering land that Washington is legally prohibited from recognizing. @housedemocrats.bsky.social @houserepublicans.bsky.social @bloomberg.com
4/ If an administration tries to bypass the law, Congress can investigate, cut funding, and impose sanctions independently. Any attempt 2 trade Ukrainian territory would ignite a political and constitutional firestorm. @lisa-shymko.bsky.social @juliadavisnews.bsky.social @natashabertrand.bsky.social
December 3, 2025 at 12:55 PM
4/ If an administration tries to bypass the law, Congress can investigate, cut funding, and impose sanctions independently. Any attempt 2 trade Ukrainian territory would ignite a political and constitutional firestorm. @lisa-shymko.bsky.social @juliadavisnews.bsky.social @natashabertrand.bsky.social
3/ No president, adviser, billionaire, or backroom negotiator can create a workaround. “Special regimes,” temporary zones, private understandings — all of it becomes legally void the moment it hits Title 22 U.S. Code §9546. @timinhonolulu.bsky.social
December 3, 2025 at 12:50 PM
3/ No president, adviser, billionaire, or backroom negotiator can create a workaround. “Special regimes,” temporary zones, private understandings — all of it becomes legally void the moment it hits Title 22 U.S. Code §9546. @timinhonolulu.bsky.social
2/ CAATSA isn’t a policy mood. It’s binding law passed almost unanimously by Congress. It requires the U.S. to reject annexation, reject territorial concessions, and uphold Ukraine’s full sovereignty. @nicolastenzer.bsky.social
December 3, 2025 at 12:49 PM
2/ CAATSA isn’t a policy mood. It’s binding law passed almost unanimously by Congress. It requires the U.S. to reject annexation, reject territorial concessions, and uphold Ukraine’s full sovereignty. @nicolastenzer.bsky.social
3/
A few Republicans are pushing to lock sanctions into law, blocking Trump from chasing fantasy deals for his family—so let him and Putin drink seawater. The free world won’t indulge their delusions any longer. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
A few Republicans are pushing to lock sanctions into law, blocking Trump from chasing fantasy deals for his family—so let him and Putin drink seawater. The free world won’t indulge their delusions any longer. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
Ivana Stradner: “Putin Is Playing an Old KGB Game — Europe Must Not Fall for It” | APT
YouTube video by APT
youtu.be
December 2, 2025 at 4:48 PM
3/
A few Republicans are pushing to lock sanctions into law, blocking Trump from chasing fantasy deals for his family—so let him and Putin drink seawater. The free world won’t indulge their delusions any longer. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
A few Republicans are pushing to lock sanctions into law, blocking Trump from chasing fantasy deals for his family—so let him and Putin drink seawater. The free world won’t indulge their delusions any longer. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
2/
Your assessment is spot on: Putin will stall, manipulate, and exploit every opening to undermine Ukraine and extract concessions. He will reject any credible peace framework and return with even more extreme demands—because that has always been his playbook. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
Your assessment is spot on: Putin will stall, manipulate, and exploit every opening to undermine Ukraine and extract concessions. He will reject any credible peace framework and return with even more extreme demands—because that has always been his playbook. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
Ivana Stradner: “Putin Is Playing an Old KGB Game — Europe Must Not Fall for It” | APT
YouTube video by APT
youtu.be
December 2, 2025 at 4:46 PM
2/
Your assessment is spot on: Putin will stall, manipulate, and exploit every opening to undermine Ukraine and extract concessions. He will reject any credible peace framework and return with even more extreme demands—because that has always been his playbook. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
Your assessment is spot on: Putin will stall, manipulate, and exploit every opening to undermine Ukraine and extract concessions. He will reject any credible peace framework and return with even more extreme demands—because that has always been his playbook. youtu.be/CMW1MZfL4UM?...
18/ That is dangerous 4 Europe’s security architecture & catastrophic 4 Ukraine’s sovereignty. insist on procedure as much as on outcome. Any peace that arises without credible legal grounding, multilateral guarantees, & democratic oversight will be temporary & may store up far greater instability.
December 2, 2025 at 2:19 PM
18/ That is dangerous 4 Europe’s security architecture & catastrophic 4 Ukraine’s sovereignty. insist on procedure as much as on outcome. Any peace that arises without credible legal grounding, multilateral guarantees, & democratic oversight will be temporary & may store up far greater instability.
17/ the current pattern — private intermediaries + Kremlin input + trimmed public plans — risks converting a political-military conflict into a commercial settlement that undermines law, legitimizes conquest by purchase, and fragments Western institutions.
December 2, 2025 at 2:17 PM
17/ the current pattern — private intermediaries + Kremlin input + trimmed public plans — risks converting a political-military conflict into a commercial settlement that undermines law, legitimizes conquest by purchase, and fragments Western institutions.
16/ How civil society & media should respond: investigative scrutiny, public hearings, and parliamentary oversight are essential. Leaks sparking debate are better than secret deals finalised in private; democratic legitimacy requires sunlight.
December 2, 2025 at 2:16 PM
16/ How civil society & media should respond: investigative scrutiny, public hearings, and parliamentary oversight are essential. Leaks sparking debate are better than secret deals finalised in private; democratic legitimacy requires sunlight.
15/ demand full transparency of drafts and participants; (b) re-engage the State Dept., Congress, NATO, and EU in formal talks; (c) insist on multilateral guarantees and monitoring mechanisms; (d) decouple legitimate reconstruction investment from recognition of wartime territorial grabs.
December 2, 2025 at 2:16 PM
15/ demand full transparency of drafts and participants; (b) re-engage the State Dept., Congress, NATO, and EU in formal talks; (c) insist on multilateral guarantees and monitoring mechanisms; (d) decouple legitimate reconstruction investment from recognition of wartime territorial grabs.
14/ any agreement that tries to neutralize UN Charter guarantees will be legally contestable & politically delegitimized. Effective, durable peace requires transparent, multilateral frameworks with credible enforcement & guarantors — not private, bilateral pay-to-settle schemes
December 2, 2025 at 2:15 PM
14/ any agreement that tries to neutralize UN Charter guarantees will be legally contestable & politically delegitimized. Effective, durable peace requires transparent, multilateral frameworks with credible enforcement & guarantors — not private, bilateral pay-to-settle schemes
13/ normalized trade-for-territory deals reduce the cost of aggression for revisionist powers. If Russia can extract economic rents and partial recognition without sustained cost, the incentive to use coercion remains. That’s destabilizing beyond Ukraine — to the Baltics, and frozen conflicts.
December 2, 2025 at 2:14 PM
13/ normalized trade-for-territory deals reduce the cost of aggression for revisionist powers. If Russia can extract economic rents and partial recognition without sustained cost, the incentive to use coercion remains. That’s destabilizing beyond Ukraine — to the Baltics, and frozen conflicts.
12/member states will face diplomatic shocks, public protests, disrupted military planning, and pressure to either recognize faits accomplis or confront them — a choice that risks fragmentation inside NATO at precisely the moment cohesion matters most. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
December 2, 2025 at 2:12 PM
12/member states will face diplomatic shocks, public protests, disrupted military planning, and pressure to either recognize faits accomplis or confront them — a choice that risks fragmentation inside NATO at precisely the moment cohesion matters most. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
11/ History shows that secrecy + transactional bargains often lead to renewed conflict. when high-value national assets become convertible into private profit, it invites corruption, opaque concessions, and rent-seeking that can entrench authoritarian influence in supposedly market transactions
December 2, 2025 at 2:11 PM
11/ History shows that secrecy + transactional bargains often lead to renewed conflict. when high-value national assets become convertible into private profit, it invites corruption, opaque concessions, and rent-seeking that can entrench authoritarian influence in supposedly market transactions
10/ Long term, this degrades oversight, accountability, and the capacity to form durable, lawful agreements. deals struck outside normal checks are often unstable — they lack legitimacy, enforcement mechanisms, and buy-in from key stakeholders, which makes them prone to reversal or exploitation.
December 2, 2025 at 2:10 PM
10/ Long term, this degrades oversight, accountability, and the capacity to form durable, lawful agreements. deals struck outside normal checks are often unstable — they lack legitimacy, enforcement mechanisms, and buy-in from key stakeholders, which makes them prone to reversal or exploitation.
9- That would not only be a material loss but would delegitimize Ukrainian sovereignty in the region.
bypassing Congress and professional agencies to let “fixers” and business intermediaries negotiate state-level bargains concentrates power in opaque networks and personal loyalties.
bypassing Congress and professional agencies to let “fixers” and business intermediaries negotiate state-level bargains concentrates power in opaque networks and personal loyalties.
December 2, 2025 at 2:09 PM
9- That would not only be a material loss but would delegitimize Ukrainian sovereignty in the region.
bypassing Congress and professional agencies to let “fixers” and business intermediaries negotiate state-level bargains concentrates power in opaque networks and personal loyalties.
bypassing Congress and professional agencies to let “fixers” and business intermediaries negotiate state-level bargains concentrates power in opaque networks and personal loyalties.
8/The plan’s reported core — territorial compromises and election timetables decided by others — would be an existential political and security blow to Kyiv: loss of territory, loss of control over reconstruction, displacement questions, and the legitimization of wartime conquest.
December 2, 2025 at 2:08 PM
8/The plan’s reported core — territorial compromises and election timetables decided by others — would be an existential political and security blow to Kyiv: loss of territory, loss of control over reconstruction, displacement questions, and the legitimization of wartime conquest.
7/Economic consequences: large-scale Russian access 2 Arctic hydrocarbons, rare earths, or LNG under preferential terms 4 selected Western investors would distort markets, reward kleptocratic extraction models & create dependent commercial networks that entangle Western firms with sanctioned actors.
December 2, 2025 at 2:07 PM
7/Economic consequences: large-scale Russian access 2 Arctic hydrocarbons, rare earths, or LNG under preferential terms 4 selected Western investors would distort markets, reward kleptocratic extraction models & create dependent commercial networks that entangle Western firms with sanctioned actors.
6/ EU/NATO cohesion would be strained. Europe would face a sudden reordering of security lines while losing leverage over reconstruction & access 2 energy/Arctic/rare-earth rents if those assets R quietly handed 2 private investors tied to Kremlin-friendly actors. www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
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www.telegraph.co.uk
December 2, 2025 at 2:05 PM
6/ EU/NATO cohesion would be strained. Europe would face a sudden reordering of security lines while losing leverage over reconstruction & access 2 energy/Arctic/rare-earth rents if those assets R quietly handed 2 private investors tied to Kremlin-friendly actors. www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
5/ Why that matters globally: if a great power settlement is engineered outside international law, it sets a precedent where territorial changes are commodified and enforced by money and clientelistic networks rather than by treaties and institutions — undermining the post-1945 order.
December 2, 2025 at 2:02 PM
5/ Why that matters globally: if a great power settlement is engineered outside international law, it sets a precedent where territorial changes are commodified and enforced by money and clientelistic networks rather than by treaties and institutions — undermining the post-1945 order.
4/ Red flags: a negotiated quid-pro-quo that recognizes or cedes territory in exchange for cash, projects, or investment would collide with jus cogens norms (territorial integrity, prohibition on acquisition by force)& would be legally & politically fragile. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Exclusive: US peace plan for Ukraine drew from Russian document, sources say
The U.S.-backed 28-point peace plan to end the war in Ukraine became public last week.
www.reuters.com
December 2, 2025 at 2:01 PM
4/ Red flags: a negotiated quid-pro-quo that recognizes or cedes territory in exchange for cash, projects, or investment would collide with jus cogens norms (territorial integrity, prohibition on acquisition by force)& would be legally & politically fragile. www.reuters.com/world/europe...