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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Aug 20

And, by the way, no one really cares about it - at least among German politicians, even though demography is, in my opinion, our most serious economic challenge. /END

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Aug 20

I fully agree. But even the best childcare etc. can not fully compensate for the opportunity costs. The best we can do is to stabilize the FR at a low equilibrium, but imo we will not see a significant increase that would solve our demographic problems. 1/

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Aug 20

that these messures are enough to cause a strong reversal in the fertility rate. The main reason for the decline in the latter is higher education and thus better employment opportunities for women. /END

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Aug 20

I have seen some data that, in Germany, the fertility decline is mainly driven by a later age when the first child was born, consequently fewer consecutive children (while the share of childless women is fairly stable over time). Better childcare etc. may increase fertility, but I have doubts… 1/

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Fabian Wahl @wahlfabi.bsky.social · May 18

Thank you for the amazing podcast episode and for featuring @thilohuning.bsky.social and my research on the role of wine growing for long-run regional development in Baden-Württemberg (academic.oup.com/ereh/advance...) in the episode!

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Thilo N. H. Albers @thiloalbers.bsky.social · May 17

We are looking to hire post-doc interested in working on migration, citizenship, and diaspora. Come join us in Münster! Generous contract + no teaching for 2 years.

Many details and link to job add here:

sites.google.com/site/tnhalbe...

Please PM me incase you have questions!

Thilo N. H. Albers - Job ads

2 years postdoc with a thematic focus on Migration, Diaspora, Citizenship

sites.google.com

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Bård Harstad @bardharstad.bsky.social · Apr 8

After being an editor for 6.5 years (4 REStud; 2.5 JEEA), I have accumulated a few suggestions that can help you avoid unnecessary rejections.

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Apr 4

Erschreckend ist vor allem, dass die Republikaner diesem Schwachsinn mehrheitlich quasi apathisch zuschauen. Und ja: wer in DE jetzt noch Trump, Musk etc. noch unterstützt, dem ist nicht mehr zu helfen. Ökonomisch ist das alles absurd.

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Guillaume Blanc @guillaumeblanc.bsky.social · Nov 19

Going to give this website a try - with a new profile picture! Definitely feels like an econ bubble, but I guess that’s the point.

Expect a thread on my newest work, Malthusian Migrations (with @romainwacziarg.bsky.social), soon! 🚨

www.guillaumeblanc.com/files/theme/...

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Guillaume Blanc @guillaumeblanc.bsky.social · Mar 10

🚨 Migration as escape valve from Malthus 🚨

1) high fertility or late fertility transition -> spread of diasporas
2) Age of Mass Migration -> transition to modern growth

www.nber.org/papers/w33542

@nber.org @romainwacziarg.bsky.social

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Laetitia Lenel @laetitialenel.bsky.social · Mar 5

*Best Paper Award Economic and Social History*

Bis zum 09. März kann man sich noch mit Vorträgen, die für den kommenden 6. Kongress für Wirtschafts- und Sozialgeschichte angenommen wurden, für den Best Paper Award Economic and Social History bewerben. Alle weiteren Informationen hier: udue.de/0ifec

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

Nice paper!

Reposted by Alexander Donges

Thilo Huning @thilohuning.bsky.social · Feb 25

Can winegrowing cause rural development? @wahlfabi.bsky.social and I have just published our little piece on this in the European Historical Economics Review! academic.oup.com/ereh/advance... #econhist #economics #history

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

This is a great data source for scholars working on the economic history of the interwar period 👇

Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke @kevinhorourke.bsky.social · Feb 26

Raymond Hicks (@arpie71.bsky.social) has just posted a vast amount of "raw" interwar trade data; it is available at
github.com/arpie71/inte...

#econhist

GitHub - arpie71/interwar: Interwar Trade data

Interwar Trade data. Contribute to arpie71/interwar development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

I don’t make any statement whether this behavior is rational or not. Overall, it is not very rational to vote AfD. Nevertheless, if you talk with people in rural areas, this was a big deal.

Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

And we see of course a strong negative correlation between low population density (= rural areas) and AfD voting. /END

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

Also interacted with time, since my impression is that the AfD gained momentum due to the long „heating law debate“ - below average income people living at the country side in their own house are those who are primarily affected by this regulation. 2/

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

For me, the most striking result of these regressions is the that the „East Germany“ effect gets insignificant when controlling for enough variables, at least in the most recent election. (Also knowing that we only see correlations.) Would be interesting to see the effect of „Home Ownership Rate“ 1/

Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · Feb 25

If one attempts to fit a simple regression model for the AfD's gain since 2021, other predictors appear to be more robust than the GDP per capita of a constituency. Per capita disposable income also seems to be a weak predictor and quickly becomes insignificant when control variables are added.

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

Generell wäre ein Crashkurs in empirischer Wirtschafts- bzw. Sozialforschung für viele Journalisten sehr sinnvoll.

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · Feb 25

If one attempts to fit a simple regression model for the AfD's gain since 2021, other predictors appear to be more robust than the GDP per capita of a constituency. Per capita disposable income also seems to be a weak predictor and quickly becomes insignificant when control variables are added.

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

Könnte mir vorstellen, dass es hier eine positive Korrelation gibt. Mein Gefühl (noch nicht gestützt durch Daten) ist, dass die Heizungsgesetz-Diskussion der AfD nochmal einen starken Push von ~10 auf ~20 gegeben hat, relevant vor allem für Leute mit kleinem Haus. / END

Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

Anekdotisch: in meinem alten Heimatkreis Calw (Schwarzwald, ökonomisch sehr solide Gegend ohne Not) hat die AfD auch schon stärker abgeschnitten als der Rest. Ich würde noch „Home Ownership Rate“ in die Regression aufnehmen… 2/

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Alexander Donges @alexanderdonges.bsky.social · Feb 26

Danke für die Regressionen. Für mich vor allem interessant, dass der Ost-Dummy insignifikant wird. In den Medien wird immer noch das Narrativ verbreitet, dass die AfD im Osten stark ist. Wenn ich mir aber jetzt die Karte anschaue, sieht man z.B. auch in RLP hohe Anteile… 1/

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Bernhard Ganglmair @ganglmair.bsky.social · Feb 25

ZEW Mannheim @zew.de is on the Sky now. Follow us and add us to your starter packs for economic analyses from and for Germany, Europe, and beyond!

#EconSky

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Reposted by Alexander Donges

Julius Koschnick @juliuskoschnick.bsky.social · Feb 21

🚨🚨🚨PhD summer school at the University of Southern Denmark 🚨🚨🚨What can we learn about tariffs and trade from history? Chris Meisner, our keynote speaker, is one of the most renowned experts on historical trade and policy. + Learn ML + NLP tools in a hands-on-approach. Join us 11-22 August 2025!

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