Alex Stockdale
@alexstockdale.bsky.social
490 followers 500 following 43 posts
Senior Clinical Lecturer in Infectious Diseases at the University of Liverpool and Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Research Programme. Epidemiology, virology and implementation science. Interested in eliminating hepatitis B as a public health threat in Africa.
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alexstockdale.bsky.social
Denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance?
alexstockdale.bsky.social
8/ HBV antiviral treatment prevents HCC and improves survival- and is cheap and effective. We need urgent improvements to our service delivery to address a leading cause of liver related death globally.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
7/ our care cascade shows huge losses at every step of patient care and we need to learn how to do it better- learning from HIV care. Implementation research, better training and equipping of primary or decentralised care is needed to promote access to care
alexstockdale.bsky.social
6/ some innovative community models linked to dedicated research clinics had very good rates of assessment and treatment initiation but the long term outcomes are lacking.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
5/ really serious losses observed in linking pregnant women to HBV care after delivery- 56·9% (40·2–72·1; I2=98·8%) linked to care (five cohorts) and when community screening led to self-directed care (without follow up arrangements) 33·2% (23·1–45·1; I2=98·6%)
alexstockdale.bsky.social
4/ retention in care is a real problem and especially among patients not started on antiviral treatment - RR 1·72 [95% CI 1·16–2·54]; p=0·019 for retention in care for those on AVT vs not
alexstockdale.bsky.social
3/ 12% don’t commence antiviral therapy when eligible, again it is worse in primary or co-managed care
alexstockdale.bsky.social
2/ over 15% don’t complete an assessment of their treatment eligibility in specialist care and it is worse in co-managed and primary care.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
Never let excel get anywhere near dates! It’s a menace
alexstockdale.bsky.social
Introducing sumvar for R. A package to rapidly summarise and visualise variables with one-line commands, bringing the brilliant tab and sum functions from stata, to R. Install it from cran using install.packages(“sumvar”). #rstats

alstockdale.github.io/sumvar/
Summarise Continuous and Categorical Variables, Check for Duplicates and Missing Data
The sumvar package quickly explores continuous and categorical variables. sumvar aims to bring the ease and simplicity of the "sum" and "tab" functions from stata, to R.
alstockdale.github.io
alexstockdale.bsky.social
They did emphasise shared decision making which is a great idea
alexstockdale.bsky.social
Much clearer, simpler and easier to implement in practice. A job well done
alexstockdale.bsky.social
But for HBeAg positive young people, no recommendation for treatment, given a lack of strong evidence of benefit
alexstockdale.bsky.social
Elevated ALT and HBV DNA >2000, or LSM>8kPa and detectable HBV DNA are the main criteria, liberalising treatment thresholds.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
A packed conference room to hear about the new HBV treatment guidelines from #EASL2025
alexstockdale.bsky.social
What are the three platforms?
alexstockdale.bsky.social
Demonise and Oppress Government Employees
alexstockdale.bsky.social
7. Presently the birth dose vaccination coverage in the WHO African region is just 18%. We aim to assess in The Gambia and Malawi the effectiveness, cost-effectiveness, feasibility and safety if tenofovir alone is enough, in settings with low birth dose coverage, in our study starting this year.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
6. With enough coverage of birth dose vaccination and maternal antiviral prophylaxis we estimate the we could reduce vertical transmission to <0.1%, achieving the WHO elimination targets. The question is- is tenofovir alone effective when birth dose vaccination coverage is low?
alexstockdale.bsky.social
5. We’ll also need antiviral prophylaxis with tenofovir- cheap, effective and safe in pregnancy- for women with high viral loads (>200,000 IU/ml). The challenge is access to viral load testing. New WHO guidelines recommend a treat-all policy in pregnancy when viral load testing is unavailable.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
4. Vaccine coverage is an important part of the solution but it’s not enough- data from Cameroon show that even with timely birth dose, over 30% women with high viral loads continue to experience vertical transmission.
alexstockdale.bsky.social
3. We found a depressingly slow reduction in vertical transmission events, from a peak of 339,000 (149,000- 634,000) in 2001 to 172,000 (82,000-383,000) in 2022. That’s still 0.4% of live births having hep B vertical transmission almost 40 years after development of an effective vaccine.