Anthony Masiello
@antmasiello.bsky.social
1.2K followers 570 following 1.7K posts
Climate, weather, sub-seasonal to seasonal processes/forecasting. Music, song writing, dad. Located in Burlington, NJ.
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antmasiello.bsky.social
A nor'easter is becoming likely this weekend/early next week for the Mid Atlantic. The idea of the northern stream s/w not cutting off to interact with the coastal storm is losing support.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Existing and intensifying Walker Circulation during Wyrtki Jet season is shown nicely there.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Great thread, Tomer. I've noticed the overall wave pattern over the last few days, despite the bouncing around with the s/w, has trended a little more amplified on the ensemble mean. I wonder if this will help tilt the scale into having a more cut off northern wave. But alas, it's only Wednesday.
antmasiello.bsky.social
This weekend's partial to full phase is going to be fun.
antmasiello.bsky.social
I went to check these products this morning and forgot...oh right, of course. :( It's the end of an era in the stratosphere world: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/str...
Climate Prediction Center - Stratosphere Home
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
antmasiello.bsky.social
Seeing fallstreaks/hole punch signatures on the visible satellite this morning over NJ.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Okay, tomorrow has my attention. I'll be at CHOP and distracted but will need to keep an eye on this.
00z HRRR sounding for S-C NJ at 21z 9/25/25 showing favorable streamwise vorticity/SRH in a moist environment for a potential tornado.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Thanks. Yeah, it's rare, but the good news is many kids make a full recovery. Got to keep an eye on their kidneys and stomach in the meantime for serious complications. She currently doesn't want to walk and has stiff/painful joints, ankles etc.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Having a child who's suffering from Henoch-Schönlein Purpura (HSP) is terrible. We're in the midst of it. Have any of you had experience with this? I never heard of it until we went to the ER Monday.
antmasiello.bsky.social
The sentiment, "There is no place for violence in this country," is rich, an empty platitude, and wholly ignores the violent history of this place. In fact, this country is a place of gun violence, and we should change that.
antmasiello.bsky.social
There is a culture of death here which does not want to operate in reality.
antmasiello.bsky.social
We are also seeing signs of spatial patterns in the tropical forcing for +TNH/PNA enhancement this autumn/early winter. We'll have to see as ENSO/QBO settles in how the low pass signal will alter. The consensus is we shift away from this as the winter goes on, but it's super early.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Climate change has been linked with westward-displaced Rossby Waves for the NH late summer, and precipitation deficits/sea ice are usually a positive feedback for that (e.g. the resilient western ridge of North America).
antmasiello.bsky.social
I remember watching this a lot when I was really young. Good stuff. He also put out the song "Put it there" in the late '80s and that of course is excellent too.
antmasiello.bsky.social
The warming in the Northeast Pacific lately 👀
psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst...
antmasiello.bsky.social
Looks like a TDS near Holden, MA
antmasiello.bsky.social
Multiple mesos across New England.
ALB SRV tilt 1 showing 4 mesocyclones.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Some of the forecast profiles tomorrow over interior New England/E NY are nasty. A tornado outbreak cannot be ruled out. Let's see how the new day-2 looks.
antmasiello.bsky.social
Horizontal vortex action on the Burlington tornado. It's a good thing this tornado stayed mostly away from structures. youtu.be/RmD37aLbeVE?...
Burlington, NJ tornado
YouTube video by my people
youtu.be