JTAP produces current and future beliefs over a single object’s position, speed, & direction. In this example, it predicts that future beliefs over red vs green outcomes spread under occlusion, then sharpen to red once visible, while in the visible case they stay confidently red.

We started by asking participants to continuously predict whether a ball moving in a 2.5D scene with gray occluders and black barriers would hit the red or green region first. People showed varying uncertainty in their responses, while giving reliable responses (ICC1k = 0.952).