ASRA
@asranetwork.org
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A new entity to catalyse the emerging field of systemic risk analysis. Learn more: https://www.asranetwork.org/
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asranetwork.org
📣 NEW paper in Nature Communications!

The paper introduces a novel methodology to assess interconnected risks that can cascade and compound across systems, offering a much-needed blueprint for assessing risks driving today’s #polycrisis.

👉 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
@natureportfolio.nature.com
Navy blue background with a round photo of a green plant growing from extremely dry cracked earth. The title says: New paper in Nature Communications: A systemic risk assessment methodological framework for the global polycrisis.
asranetwork.org
Risk assessments aren’t just safeguarding procedures - they’re opportunities for change.

Our "Collective and Individual Agency" principle emphasizes the power of whole-of-society participation and collective action for a more equitable & healthy future.

www.asranetwork.org/insights/pri...
A flock of pigeons flies together in a blue sky. Three white rings are overlaid in a triangle formation, with the circle on the left side filled in white. This card represents ASRA's Individual and Collective Agency principle. Strengthening whole-of-society participatory processes to mobilize collective action.
asranetwork.org
New event: We’re excited to host Prof. Thomas Homer-Dixon for a presentation on @cascadeinstitute.bsky.social Polycrisis Core Model, a system-of-systems analysis of our global future.

🗓️ Date: November 6, 2025
⏰ Time: 17:00 GMT
👉 Register: unfoundation.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
#polycrisis
A green leafy canopy and photos of Thomas Homer-Dixon and Ruth Richardson who will speak during our event: Mapping the Hope Attractor. The event will take place on November 6 at 17:00 GMT.
asranetwork.org
Next week, we’re joining Global Sustainability’s webinar to discuss its “#Polycrisis in the Anthropocene” special issue.

Our Executive Director will present ASRA’s paper: “Principles for Just and Effective Systemic Risk Governance”.

🗓️ 2 October
🎟️ Register:
Polycrisis in the Anthropocene – Second Global Sustainability Webinar
Welcome to Cambridge Core
www.cambridge.org
asranetwork.org
To address the risks we face, we must challenge ourselves to ask & answer the questions: risks for whom & from what, when, & where?

Our justice principle prompts you to account for the experience of vulnerable communities, making equity key to your risk analysis. www.asranetwork.org/insights/pri...
A silky close-up of gently rolling blue water. This is ASRA's "Justice" principle card. Two white rings overlay the water. The description reads: "Incorporating the values of human rights and equity, shaped by the experiences of vulnerable communities.
asranetwork.org
We joined some of the makers of the first-ever UN Global Risk Report to discuss its impact last week.

Alongside @worldacademy.org and @unesco-bridges.bsky.social, we considered the report’s 4 future scenarios, methodology, and future development.

Learn more:
WAAS Webinar | EXTRA InfoHub: The UN Global Risk Report
Latest News: Club of Rome Webinar: Regenerative business: The strategic edge for today’s orga...
bridges.earth
asranetwork.org
We’re speaking at the Systemic Risks Conference, organized by the University of Hamburg, tomorrow (Sept 24).

Our team will present ASRA’s approach to #SystemicRisk assessment & response.

Watch online: www.fnk.uni-hamburg.de/2-research/r... @janasillmann.bsky.social
Systemic Risks Conference and Workshop
Faculties
www.fnk.uni-hamburg.de
asranetwork.org
“The current risks are a problem because we have a narrative…that is in a way attuned to things that are eventually destructive in the long-term…power, profit and money.”

Tackling #SystemicRisks requires rethinking the system according to @gkostakos.bsky.social Co-Founder of @foggsorg.bsky.social.
asranetwork.org
What would change if you took a nature-centric approach to risk assessment and future planning?

Our principle of non-human sanctity prompts you to account for the interconnected & interdependent nature of our planet.
www.asranetwork.org/insights/pri...
Bright red and pink coral grow on a rocky face under the sea. A small fish peeks its head out from a crack in the rock. Two intersecting circles are overlaid on the photo. This is ASRA's Non-human Sanctity and Interdependence principle. It means recognizing the deep connections between humans, nature, and other species - and the inherent value of non-human life.
asranetwork.org
“If we tell better stories, if we find a way to mainstream the things we talk about… more ordinary people who are not necessarily climate experts will understand it better because people understand stories.”

Arekpitan Ikhenaode, Youth Climate Movement of the UNFCCC.
asranetwork.org
A new GARP Climate Risk Podcast episode looks at why understanding the connections between risks is key to responding to them. 🎧

Ajay Gambhir, our Director of Systemic Risk Assessment, joined Jo Paisley to discuss our new #SystemicRisk assessment framework. Listen here: www.garp.org/podcast/navi...
Navy blue graphic with an illustration of the Earth on fire. Title says GARP Climate Risk Podcast, Navigation systemic risk in the age of polycrisis. Featuring Dr. Ajay Gambhir, Director of Systemic Risk Assessment, ASRA
asranetwork.org
What if the most important intelligence is already inside the building, just not inside the boardroom?

In an era of mounting systemic threats, investors can no longer rely on traditional risk assessment.

Read The Rethink by @pdiviews.bsky.social www.asranetwork.org/news/the-ret...
The Rethink: Why multi-stakeholder governance is an investor’s early warning system. A circular photo shows birds flying across a cloud-streaked blue sky.
“Consider the example of Boeing. A firm can generate record returns right until disaster strikes. Boeing illustrates this problem with chilling clarity. Once synonymous with American engineering excellence, it has become a cautionary tale of systemic failure...Yet until 2019, when its share price sharply corrected, Boeing consistently outperformed the S&P 500, even as operational risk accumulated beneath the surface.”

—Raphaële Chappe & Delilah Rothenberg,
Predistribution Initiative
asranetwork.org
“We live in capitalism and many of the topics we talk about are clearly linked to that…might we need a completely other system? – Florian Ulrich Jehn

Hear two powerful ways to address #SystemicRisks from ASRA network members @edwardrcarr.com & Florian Ulrich Jehn.
asranetwork.org
What if you had to account for people, non-human species, ecosystems AND future generations in your risk assessments?

The Universal Responsibility principle challenges us to assess #SystemicRisks & design responses that are accountable to people & ecosystems.
👉 www.asranetwork.org/insights/pri...
People carry dried crops from their shoulders and walk through a lush green field with brown cows meandering ahead of them. There is white circle overlaid in the centre and the title "Universal Responsibility 1/10." In smaller text: "Acknowledging accountability to each other, natural systems, other species and future generations."
asranetwork.org
New episode of @disordershow.bsky.social interviews our Executive Director, Ruth Richardson, on interconnected risk.

Recorded during our symposium,
@janekinninmont.bsky.social also speaks with the fascinating @laramani14.bsky.social & @catalinajaime.bsky.social.

open.spotify.com/episode/5DZA...
Ep 138. Are we prepared for global disasters?
open.spotify.com
asranetwork.org
“The future is something that we create collaboratively.”

Lewis Akenji from the Hot or Cool Institute asks three questions that encourage us to picture the future we want, and to identify the systemic risks we must address to get there.

Filmed at our #CurrentsOfChange symposium by Clara Carbajo.
Reposted by ASRA
janekinninmont.bsky.social
Thanks to @laramani14.bsky.social, @catalinajaime.bsky.social and Ruth Richardson at @asranetwork.org for speaking to me about their amazing work at the Currents of Change symposium earlier this summer. Lots of useful food for thought for us at @una-uk.bsky.social.
janekinninmont.bsky.social
I interviewed some amazing people working on how to reduce the risks of disasters - from major volcanic eruptions to disruption to global food supplies - starting by understanding the connections between global risks. Listen here podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/d...
asranetwork.org
“If you’re willing to see knowledge, if you’re willing to look at justice through other lenses and perspectives, it’s easier to understand how systems function...”
— Rishika Das Roy, India Climate Collaborative

Filmed during our #CurrentsOfChange symposium.
#systemicrisk #socialjustice
asranetwork.org
We are facing the rise of a novel systemic risk called ‘bullshit risk’.

In the latest edition of our Rethink series, Nick Silver argues that bullshit not only permeates & pollutes public discourse, but becomes reality & policy, creating a new #SystemicRisk.

www.asranetwork.org/news/on-the-...
Reposted by ASRA
cascadeinstitute.bsky.social
Excited to share a new Nature Communications paper from the @asranetwork.org.

The co-authors, including Cascade Institute’s Megan Shipman and Thomas Homer-Dixon, present a new framework to assess and respond to interconnected and compounding global risks.

📖 Read here: www.doi.org/10.1038/s414...
asranetwork.org
📣 NEW paper in Nature Communications!

The paper introduces a novel methodology to assess interconnected risks that can cascade and compound across systems, offering a much-needed blueprint for assessing risks driving today’s #polycrisis.

👉 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
@natureportfolio.nature.com
Navy blue background with a round photo of a green plant growing from extremely dry cracked earth. The title says: New paper in Nature Communications: A systemic risk assessment methodological framework for the global polycrisis.
asranetwork.org
“Complex system science can help us to learn to think in that breadth beyond the narrow silos in which most of us have been educated.”

Arthur Lyon Dahl, International Environment Forum, offers his insight on addressing #SystemicRisks during our #CurrentsOfChange symposium.
asranetwork.org
“A lot of what I noticed is being focused on in systemic risk…is major extrinsic things. But the way in which that impacts & engages with the patterned behaviors & assumptions, explicit & tacit, around human communities’ decision-making systems is really critical.”

— Kirsten Dunlop, Climate KIC
asranetwork.org
Huge congratulations to ASRA Network member Luke Kemp on his new book ‘Goliath’s Curse: the history and future of societal collapse.’

The book explores why past civilizations collapsed and how we can save our own from the same fate.

Learn more: www.penguin.co.uk/books/321192... #SystemicRisk
Goliath’s Curse
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www.penguin.co.uk
asranetwork.org
What does it really mean to put justice and future generations at the heart of #SystemicRisk responses?

Watch two powerful speakers from the #CurrentsOfChange symposium explore this question in depth. 📽️

Full talk on YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJ3t...
asranetwork.org
New commentary by Ajay Gambhir, ASRA's Director of #SystemicRisk Assessment, for @undp.org report.

Ajay unpacks the systemic risks that threaten development efforts and advocates centering systemic resilience over economic efficiency for a new development story.

👉 www.undp.org/sites/g/file...