at1antis.bsky.social
@at1antis.bsky.social
Overall, my point is that Dem electeds have virtually no control over how popular Trump is and how popular he is on any given issue - only Trump does. Dem just have to capitalize on his many weaknesses effectively.
January 27, 2026 at 7:25 PM
Overall, my point is that Dem electeds have virtually no control over how popular Trump is and how popular he is on any given issue - only Trump does. Dem just have to capitalize on his many weaknesses effectively.
There is a tradeoff between the most ethical course of action in any given battle and the most ethical course of action in the war. Yes, the battle over CECOT got at least one man released, but the war over the Senate / Presidency could save millions.
January 27, 2026 at 7:23 PM
There is a tradeoff between the most ethical course of action in any given battle and the most ethical course of action in the war. Yes, the battle over CECOT got at least one man released, but the war over the Senate / Presidency could save millions.
The Overton window of Dem primary voters maybe. Congrats on finding another factional brawler I guess, but some of us are woried about saving our democracy from Republicans.
January 27, 2026 at 7:14 PM
The Overton window of Dem primary voters maybe. Congrats on finding another factional brawler I guess, but some of us are woried about saving our democracy from Republicans.
Public opinion is thermostatic - virtually any substantial action Trump took here would be unpopular, and he's doing an especially bad job here.
It doesn't mean Dems would have been correct to raise the salience earlier.
It doesn't mean Dems would have been correct to raise the salience earlier.
January 27, 2026 at 3:29 AM
Public opinion is thermostatic - virtually any substantial action Trump took here would be unpopular, and he's doing an especially bad job here.
It doesn't mean Dems would have been correct to raise the salience earlier.
It doesn't mean Dems would have been correct to raise the salience earlier.
Why was it strategically mistaken to wait for Trump to take action and therefore make this issue less popular before increasing it's salience?
January 27, 2026 at 3:28 AM
Why was it strategically mistaken to wait for Trump to take action and therefore make this issue less popular before increasing it's salience?
Yes - I think the nuance is that they'd look for the police to stop and gather revenue from people who don't live in the neighborhood and account for most of the speeding. Can't do that with a camera (I mean you could, but making a policy like this official is difficult / impossible in the US).
January 16, 2026 at 5:06 PM
Yes - I think the nuance is that they'd look for the police to stop and gather revenue from people who don't live in the neighborhood and account for most of the speeding. Can't do that with a camera (I mean you could, but making a policy like this official is difficult / impossible in the US).
The media's stories gain traction because they can easily find both Republican and ostensibly Democratic voters who can't wait to trumpet their criticisms of Biden. Trump has eliminated that problem and is stronger for it.
January 14, 2026 at 8:02 PM
The media's stories gain traction because they can easily find both Republican and ostensibly Democratic voters who can't wait to trumpet their criticisms of Biden. Trump has eliminated that problem and is stronger for it.
So you expect him to reverse once again on mayoral control of the schools? www.nytimes.com/2025/12/31/n...
Mamdani Reverses Call to End Mayoral Control of Public Schools
www.nytimes.com
January 6, 2026 at 2:54 PM
So you expect him to reverse once again on mayoral control of the schools? www.nytimes.com/2025/12/31/n...
Yes we agree everyone is free to ask any and all leading questions for more opportunities to generate Hitler comparisons that play well with their audiences. The question of why he doesn't shun Hanania appears to have been answered however.
December 9, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Yes we agree everyone is free to ask any and all leading questions for more opportunities to generate Hitler comparisons that play well with their audiences. The question of why he doesn't shun Hanania appears to have been answered however.
This is moving goalposts - the dive into 'what's so great about Hanania' is relevant only because the criticism is 'why are you dancing for Hitler'.
December 9, 2025 at 3:46 PM
This is moving goalposts - the dive into 'what's so great about Hanania' is relevant only because the criticism is 'why are you dancing for Hitler'.
In this very thread he makes clear he doesn't agree with Katz' views on the power of shunning ...
December 9, 2025 at 3:21 PM
In this very thread he makes clear he doesn't agree with Katz' views on the power of shunning ...
Of course, and also some people what to exclude more demographics than other people do.
December 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Of course, and also some people what to exclude more demographics than other people do.
Just bad luck then that Mamdani attracted a third-party challenger that could pull significant votes and Harris and Adams didn't?
November 10, 2025 at 2:28 PM
Just bad luck then that Mamdani attracted a third-party challenger that could pull significant votes and Harris and Adams didn't?
No, sincerely unfamiliar unless the differences are merely pedantic eg oligarchy instead of autocracy. Will Google thanks.
November 5, 2025 at 10:07 PM
No, sincerely unfamiliar unless the differences are merely pedantic eg oligarchy instead of autocracy. Will Google thanks.
Not quite following - what is the plan from people who raise this objection and also dislike tyranny?
November 5, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Not quite following - what is the plan from people who raise this objection and also dislike tyranny?
Because overall, it feels like winning elections to avoid authoritarianism is pretty fundamental to the whole promise of democracy.
November 5, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Because overall, it feels like winning elections to avoid authoritarianism is pretty fundamental to the whole promise of democracy.
Curious, is this just a (well-deserved) criticism of Garland's failure to prosecute Trump / Congressional failure to impeach and remove? Or are there other options you'd like them to pursue now that we're here?
November 5, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Curious, is this just a (well-deserved) criticism of Garland's failure to prosecute Trump / Congressional failure to impeach and remove? Or are there other options you'd like them to pursue now that we're here?
Bouie said the same in response to that article - not clear enough for him either?
October 27, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Bouie said the same in response to that article - not clear enough for him either?
Bananas and tuna rolls for all!
October 22, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Bananas and tuna rolls for all!
You’ve clearly forgotten the War on Terror years
October 11, 2025 at 2:13 PM
You’ve clearly forgotten the War on Terror years
I mean this sounds like broken clock fallacy: wouldn’t leftists have had to correctly predict Trump’s first term behavior to take a victory lap here?
October 10, 2025 at 4:13 PM
I mean this sounds like broken clock fallacy: wouldn’t leftists have had to correctly predict Trump’s first term behavior to take a victory lap here?
I don't think a fair reading of Yglesias et al is that issue by issue polling determines elections. The argument is in short a) Manchin is better than Justice even if Manchin hurts the left's intracoalitional interests and b) moderation can help us win, worth doing even if just small benefit
October 6, 2025 at 7:05 PM
I don't think a fair reading of Yglesias et al is that issue by issue polling determines elections. The argument is in short a) Manchin is better than Justice even if Manchin hurts the left's intracoalitional interests and b) moderation can help us win, worth doing even if just small benefit
Good question, starting to reach the end of my ability to contribute meaningfully here - off the top of my head I'd say candidates endorsed by Congressional Progressive Caucus in primaries, but I'd like to dig into this more.
October 6, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Good question, starting to reach the end of my ability to contribute meaningfully here - off the top of my head I'd say candidates endorsed by Congressional Progressive Caucus in primaries, but I'd like to dig into this more.
No, it's a fair point. But where are the leftists winning elections in swing states? I read you to be saying they can't because of the media environment, but assuming that doesn't substantially change before the midterms, how should that inform our candidate selection?
October 6, 2025 at 6:52 PM
No, it's a fair point. But where are the leftists winning elections in swing states? I read you to be saying they can't because of the media environment, but assuming that doesn't substantially change before the midterms, how should that inform our candidate selection?
Is ballotpedia a bad source for this? Suggestions on where else to look? ballotpedia.org/Ballotpedia%...
Ballotpedia's Polling Index: Comparison of opinion polling during the Trump and Biden administrations
ballotpedia.org
October 6, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Is ballotpedia a bad source for this? Suggestions on where else to look? ballotpedia.org/Ballotpedia%...