aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL)
@aurora.nws-bot.us
4.9K followers 1 following 2.1K posts
A bot sharing aurora forecast details from the NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. This account is unmonitored. Contact @wandrme.paxex.aero if needed.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 3h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-09T01:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 09 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 09-Oct 11 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 09-Oct 11 2025 Oct 09 Oct 10 Oct 11 00-03UT 3.00 1.67 2.33 03-06UT 2.67 1.67 2.00 06-09UT 2.00 1.67 2.33 09-12UT 1.67 1.00 2.00 12-15UT 1.33 1.33 2.33 15-18UT 1.33 1.33 3.33 18-21UT 1.67 1.33 3.67 21-00UT 1.67 1.67 4.00 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 09-Oct 11 2025 Oct 09 Oct 10 Oct 11 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 09-Oct 11 2025 Oct 09 Oct 10 Oct 11 R1-R2 10% 25% 25% R3 or greater 1% 5% 5% Rationale: A slight chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts will remain for 09 Oct. R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) probabilities increase to a low chance on 10 Oct with the prospect of regions due to return. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 9h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T19:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 3.00 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 3.67 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 3.00 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 2.33 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 1.67 1.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 08 Oct due to influences from two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 15h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T13:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 3.00 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 3.67 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 3.00 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 2.33 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 1.67 1.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 08 Oct due to influences from two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 21h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T07:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 4.33 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 22h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T05:40:06Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Oct 08 0532 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 2594 Issue Time: 2025 Oct 08 0536 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2025 Oct 08 0532 UTC Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 4.33 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 22h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T05:30:03Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Oct 08 0525 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Oct 08 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 5101 Issue Time: 2025 Oct 08 0526 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2025 Oct 08 0525 UTC Valid To: 2025 Oct 08 1800 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 4.33 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 23h
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T04:10:04Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Oct 08 0408 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Oct 08 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 5100 Issue Time: 2025 Oct 08 0408 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2025 Oct 08 0408 UTC Valid To: 2025 Oct 08 0900 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 4.33 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-08T01:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 08 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 03-06UT 4.33 2.67 1.67 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.00 1.67 09-12UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.67 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 3.00 1.67 1.33 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 S1 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 08-Oct 10 2025 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 R1-R2 35% 30% 30% R3 or greater 10% 5% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09-10 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T19:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 1410 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.67 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.33 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.67 2.00 09-12UT 3.00 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.37 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.00 2.67 1.67 21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T13:50:03Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Oct 07 1343 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 2593 Issue Time: 2025 Oct 07 1347 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2025 Oct 07 1343 UTC Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T13:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T12:40:03Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Oct 07 1233 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Oct 07 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 5099 Issue Time: 2025 Oct 07 1233 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2025 Oct 07 1233 UTC Valid To: 2025 Oct 07 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
3 7
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T08:30:04Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Oct 07 0819 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Oct 07 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Additional Details Here.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 5098 Issue Time: 2025 Oct 07 0819 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2025 Oct 07 0819 UTC Valid To: 2025 Oct 07 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 5
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 1d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T07:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 2
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 2d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-07T01:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 00-03UT 2.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 2.67 06-09UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 12-15UT 4.33 2.00 1.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 1.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 1.67 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 S1 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 07-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 07-Oct 09 2025 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 R1-R2 40% 40% 35% R3 or greater 10% 10% 5% Rationale: A moderate chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to M-class flare activity, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 08 Oct. Probabilities undergo a minor decrease on 09 Oct as Region 4236 exits the western limb. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
3 4
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 2d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-06T19:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 06 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 00-03UT 1.33 2.00 3.00 03-06UT 0.67 2.67 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 1.33 3.00 3.33 09-12UT 1.33 2.33 3.00 12-15UT 1.67 4.33 2.00 15-18UT 1.67 3.00 2.00 18-21UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 2.00 21-00UT 1.67 3.00 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 06-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 R1-R2 45% 45% 45% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, and a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 06-08 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 1
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 2d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-06T13:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 06 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 00-03UT 1.33 2.00 3.00 03-06UT 0.67 2.67 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 1.33 3.00 3.33 09-12UT 1.33 2.33 3.00 12-15UT 1.67 4.33 2.00 15-18UT 1.67 3.00 2.00 18-21UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 2.00 21-00UT 1.67 3.00 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 06-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 R1-R2 45% 45% 45% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, and a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 06-08 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 6
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 2d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-06T07:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 06 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 00-03UT 3.33 2.00 3.00 03-06UT 3.67 2.67 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 3.33 3.00 3.33 09-12UT 3.00 2.33 3.00 12-15UT 2.33 4.33 2.00 15-18UT 2.00 3.00 2.00 18-21UT 3.00 4.67 (G1) 2.00 21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 06-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 R1-R2 45% 45% 45% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, and a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 06-08 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 2
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 3d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-06T01:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 06 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 00-03UT 3.33 2.00 3.00 03-06UT 3.67 2.67 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 3.33 3.00 3.33 09-12UT 3.00 2.33 3.00 12-15UT 2.33 4.33 2.00 15-18UT 2.00 3.00 2.00 18-21UT 3.00 4.67 (G1) 2.00 21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Oct due to the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 06-08 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 06-Oct 08 2025 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 R1-R2 45% 45% 45% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, and a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 06-08 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 4
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 3d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-05T19:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 05 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 3.33 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 2.67 3.33 3.00 09-12UT 2.00 3.00 2.33 12-15UT 3.00 2.33 4.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00 18-21UT 3.33 3.00 4.67 (G1) 21-00UT 3.00 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Oct due to CH HSS influences and the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 05-07 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 R1-R2 60% 60% 60% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 05-07 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
2 3
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 3d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-05T13:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 05 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 3.33 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 2.67 3.33 3.00 09-12UT 2.00 3.00 2.33 12-15UT 3.00 2.33 4.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00 18-21UT 3.33 3.00 4.67 (G1) 21-00UT 3.00 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Oct due to CH HSS influences and the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 05-07 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 R1-R2 60% 60% 60% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 05-07 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 8
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 3d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-05T07:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 05 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 00-03UT 3.67 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 3.67 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 3.33 3.33 3.00 09-12UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 12-15UT 3.00 2.33 4.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00 18-21UT 3.33 3.00 4.67 (G1) 21-00UT 3.00 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Oct due to CH HSS influences and the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 05-07 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 R1-R2 60% 60% 60% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 05-07 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
1 5
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 4d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-05T01:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 05 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 00-03UT 3.67 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 3.67 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 3.33 3.33 3.00 09-12UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 12-15UT 3.00 2.33 4.33 15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00 18-21UT 3.33 3.00 4.67 (G1) 21-00UT 3.00 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Oct due to CH HSS influences and the anticipated arrival of two slow-moving CMEs that left the Sun on 03 Oct. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over 05-07 Oct. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 05-Oct 07 2025 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 R1-R2 60% 60% 60% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 05-07 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
2
aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 4d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-04T19:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 04 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 00-03UT 3.67 3.67 3.33 03-06UT 3.67 3.67 3.67 06-09UT 4.00 3.33 3.33 09-12UT 3.67 3.00 3.00 12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 15-18UT 2.00 3.00 2.00 18-21UT 3.00 3.33 3.00 21-00UT 3.00 3.00 3.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 S1 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Oct 03 2025 1436 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 R1-R2 60% 55% 55% R3 or greater 15% 10% 10% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, on 04-06 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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aurora.nws-bot.us
Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 4d
Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-04T13:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Oct 04 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 00-03UT 3.67 3.67 3.33 03-06UT 3.67 3.67 3.67 06-09UT 4.00 3.33 3.33 09-12UT 3.67 3.00 3.00 12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 15-18UT 2.00 3.00 2.00 18-21UT 3.00 3.33 3.00 21-00UT 3.00 3.00 3.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 S1 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Oct 03 2025 1436 UTC. Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 04-Oct 06 2025 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 R1-R2 60% 55% 55% R3 or greater 15% 10% 10% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, on 04-06 Oct. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood. Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
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