@aus-macron.bsky.social
Scrapping group ticket voting
February 28, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Scrapping group ticket voting
While it’s a bad move the PM and LOTO preempted the police investigation, I don’t see how it’s “pure Islamophobia”.
Let’s actually have something concrete to go off before we throw anything around.
Let’s actually have something concrete to go off before we throw anything around.
December 9, 2024 at 3:01 AM
While it’s a bad move the PM and LOTO preempted the police investigation, I don’t see how it’s “pure Islamophobia”.
Let’s actually have something concrete to go off before we throw anything around.
Let’s actually have something concrete to go off before we throw anything around.
Two things can be true at once they’re not mutually exclusive.
December 9, 2024 at 2:58 AM
Two things can be true at once they’re not mutually exclusive.
Okay…? Don’t know what that’s got to do with anything…?
December 9, 2024 at 1:13 AM
Okay…? Don’t know what that’s got to do with anything…?
And the reason voters don’t think about the relationship between the Libs and Nats is because for the vast majority of voters it’s never a choice they’re given.
In the minds of just about everyone the parties can be treated as a monolith and be largely accurate, regardless of the nuances.
In the minds of just about everyone the parties can be treated as a monolith and be largely accurate, regardless of the nuances.
December 9, 2024 at 1:03 AM
And the reason voters don’t think about the relationship between the Libs and Nats is because for the vast majority of voters it’s never a choice they’re given.
In the minds of just about everyone the parties can be treated as a monolith and be largely accurate, regardless of the nuances.
In the minds of just about everyone the parties can be treated as a monolith and be largely accurate, regardless of the nuances.
Treating them as a seperate party makes as much sense as treating Labor as two different parties.
Also, the Liberals hold country seats like Wannon and Durack so separating them out makes even less sense.
It doesn’t give as any uniquely useful information separating them out.
Also, the Liberals hold country seats like Wannon and Durack so separating them out makes even less sense.
It doesn’t give as any uniquely useful information separating them out.
December 9, 2024 at 1:00 AM
Treating them as a seperate party makes as much sense as treating Labor as two different parties.
Also, the Liberals hold country seats like Wannon and Durack so separating them out makes even less sense.
It doesn’t give as any uniquely useful information separating them out.
Also, the Liberals hold country seats like Wannon and Durack so separating them out makes even less sense.
It doesn’t give as any uniquely useful information separating them out.
While notionally they are, at the last election there was only two seats where the parties contested the same seat. This election cycle it’s only 1 so far.
They also run on a joint platform and have maintained a permanent coalition since the 1920’s.
They also run on a joint platform and have maintained a permanent coalition since the 1920’s.
December 9, 2024 at 12:57 AM
While notionally they are, at the last election there was only two seats where the parties contested the same seat. This election cycle it’s only 1 so far.
They also run on a joint platform and have maintained a permanent coalition since the 1920’s.
They also run on a joint platform and have maintained a permanent coalition since the 1920’s.
The ONP vote has been bouncing around for months now between 4 and 9 percent.
While it’s definitely increased from 2022, any shifts can be attributed to background noise.
This poll by itself doesn’t capture anything we haven’t already known, whether it’s a part of a broader trend is the question.
While it’s definitely increased from 2022, any shifts can be attributed to background noise.
This poll by itself doesn’t capture anything we haven’t already known, whether it’s a part of a broader trend is the question.
December 8, 2024 at 10:21 PM
The ONP vote has been bouncing around for months now between 4 and 9 percent.
While it’s definitely increased from 2022, any shifts can be attributed to background noise.
This poll by itself doesn’t capture anything we haven’t already known, whether it’s a part of a broader trend is the question.
While it’s definitely increased from 2022, any shifts can be attributed to background noise.
This poll by itself doesn’t capture anything we haven’t already known, whether it’s a part of a broader trend is the question.
ONP support has been bouncing around between 4% and 9% for months now.
If it’s any consolation, One Nation had their third best result at the last Queensland election and won zero seats.
7% of the vote means not very much unless it’s concentrated anywhere.
If it’s any consolation, One Nation had their third best result at the last Queensland election and won zero seats.
7% of the vote means not very much unless it’s concentrated anywhere.
December 8, 2024 at 10:14 PM
ONP support has been bouncing around between 4% and 9% for months now.
If it’s any consolation, One Nation had their third best result at the last Queensland election and won zero seats.
7% of the vote means not very much unless it’s concentrated anywhere.
If it’s any consolation, One Nation had their third best result at the last Queensland election and won zero seats.
7% of the vote means not very much unless it’s concentrated anywhere.
It’s not that voters are “stupid” but that voters are expressing a sentiment reflective of their difficult financial situation, especially if they haven’t seen a pay increase, a large tax cut or hold higher education.
December 8, 2024 at 10:11 PM
It’s not that voters are “stupid” but that voters are expressing a sentiment reflective of their difficult financial situation, especially if they haven’t seen a pay increase, a large tax cut or hold higher education.
It shows that economic conditions are hurting voters hip pocket and the government hasn’t done enough in the mind of the electorate to satisfy voters.
As such we’ve seen a move away from Labor towards anything else really, but in most instances it’s the LNP.
As such we’ve seen a move away from Labor towards anything else really, but in most instances it’s the LNP.
December 8, 2024 at 10:10 PM
It shows that economic conditions are hurting voters hip pocket and the government hasn’t done enough in the mind of the electorate to satisfy voters.
As such we’ve seen a move away from Labor towards anything else really, but in most instances it’s the LNP.
As such we’ve seen a move away from Labor towards anything else really, but in most instances it’s the LNP.
That’s not how national polling works.
By that logic we should seperate out Labor from city Labor and country Labor.
But a degree of that is captured when you actually go through the specific poll results and it tells you the breakdown between states and between metro and regional.
By that logic we should seperate out Labor from city Labor and country Labor.
But a degree of that is captured when you actually go through the specific poll results and it tells you the breakdown between states and between metro and regional.
December 8, 2024 at 10:09 PM
That’s not how national polling works.
By that logic we should seperate out Labor from city Labor and country Labor.
But a degree of that is captured when you actually go through the specific poll results and it tells you the breakdown between states and between metro and regional.
By that logic we should seperate out Labor from city Labor and country Labor.
But a degree of that is captured when you actually go through the specific poll results and it tells you the breakdown between states and between metro and regional.
While they are reshaping politics and their success has been noticed, unless and until there’s a national “teal” party it’s impossible to include them in national polling and be able to read anything from that.
December 8, 2024 at 10:06 PM
While they are reshaping politics and their success has been noticed, unless and until there’s a national “teal” party it’s impossible to include them in national polling and be able to read anything from that.
2022 saw a surge in third party support, whether that was Climate 200 backed independents, other independents like Dai Le, UAP, JLN etc.
The problem with trying to poll for independents and minor parties is they’re not national in the same sense as Labor, Coalition or Greens.
The problem with trying to poll for independents and minor parties is they’re not national in the same sense as Labor, Coalition or Greens.
December 8, 2024 at 10:05 PM
2022 saw a surge in third party support, whether that was Climate 200 backed independents, other independents like Dai Le, UAP, JLN etc.
The problem with trying to poll for independents and minor parties is they’re not national in the same sense as Labor, Coalition or Greens.
The problem with trying to poll for independents and minor parties is they’re not national in the same sense as Labor, Coalition or Greens.
Polls are meaningful.
Yes it is only getting more difficult to scrap together the support necessary.
Yes it is only getting more difficult to scrap together the support necessary.
December 8, 2024 at 8:29 PM
Polls are meaningful.
Yes it is only getting more difficult to scrap together the support necessary.
Yes it is only getting more difficult to scrap together the support necessary.
One Nation will probably win zero seats in the House.
If you mean votes however then the LNP have won 2 elections with support from One Nation Preferences in recent years (2016, 2019).
If you mean votes however then the LNP have won 2 elections with support from One Nation Preferences in recent years (2016, 2019).
December 8, 2024 at 8:27 PM
One Nation will probably win zero seats in the House.
If you mean votes however then the LNP have won 2 elections with support from One Nation Preferences in recent years (2016, 2019).
If you mean votes however then the LNP have won 2 elections with support from One Nation Preferences in recent years (2016, 2019).
We don’t.
Teals is a media construct, not a national political party.
It’s next to impossible to genuinely poll for independents (as they tend to over perform by a long way) and even harder to actually use that data to even remotely guess anything.
Teals is a media construct, not a national political party.
It’s next to impossible to genuinely poll for independents (as they tend to over perform by a long way) and even harder to actually use that data to even remotely guess anything.
December 8, 2024 at 8:25 PM
We don’t.
Teals is a media construct, not a national political party.
It’s next to impossible to genuinely poll for independents (as they tend to over perform by a long way) and even harder to actually use that data to even remotely guess anything.
Teals is a media construct, not a national political party.
It’s next to impossible to genuinely poll for independents (as they tend to over perform by a long way) and even harder to actually use that data to even remotely guess anything.
While Netanyahu’s comments are ridiculous and inflammatory, it remains true that there are many in the Jewish community who felt unsafe before a synagogue was burnt to the ground.
There is genuine fear and anger, and a desire to see more action from the government around dealing with antisemitism.
There is genuine fear and anger, and a desire to see more action from the government around dealing with antisemitism.
December 7, 2024 at 2:35 PM
While Netanyahu’s comments are ridiculous and inflammatory, it remains true that there are many in the Jewish community who felt unsafe before a synagogue was burnt to the ground.
There is genuine fear and anger, and a desire to see more action from the government around dealing with antisemitism.
There is genuine fear and anger, and a desire to see more action from the government around dealing with antisemitism.
But doesn’t change the reality that voters are doing it tough and are not feeling like the government is doing enough to address their concerns, and so the knee jerk reaction is to support the other guy.
As we get closer to the election we should see things become clearer.
As we get closer to the election we should see things become clearer.
December 6, 2024 at 3:53 AM
But doesn’t change the reality that voters are doing it tough and are not feeling like the government is doing enough to address their concerns, and so the knee jerk reaction is to support the other guy.
As we get closer to the election we should see things become clearer.
As we get closer to the election we should see things become clearer.
Similarly they do report on what’s happening in politics and conduct analysis of the policies of the government and the proposed agenda of the opposition.
It’s also not their job to just parrot good things about team red and bad things about team blue.
It’s also not their job to just parrot good things about team red and bad things about team blue.
December 6, 2024 at 3:52 AM
Similarly they do report on what’s happening in politics and conduct analysis of the policies of the government and the proposed agenda of the opposition.
It’s also not their job to just parrot good things about team red and bad things about team blue.
It’s also not their job to just parrot good things about team red and bad things about team blue.
What the MRP poll shows is a nowcast, that voters are right now not feeling positive about the state of the economy, their finances and the country as a whole.
It’s appropriate to report that as of right now things are not crash hot for Labor.
It’s appropriate to report that as of right now things are not crash hot for Labor.
December 6, 2024 at 3:50 AM
What the MRP poll shows is a nowcast, that voters are right now not feeling positive about the state of the economy, their finances and the country as a whole.
It’s appropriate to report that as of right now things are not crash hot for Labor.
It’s appropriate to report that as of right now things are not crash hot for Labor.
There’s probably a few things to mention.
First is that an ever larger share of the electorate doesn’t consume media from traditional sources.
Second is that large portions of the electorate don’t follow politics that closely or really make up their mind until an election is actually called.
First is that an ever larger share of the electorate doesn’t consume media from traditional sources.
Second is that large portions of the electorate don’t follow politics that closely or really make up their mind until an election is actually called.
December 6, 2024 at 3:48 AM
There’s probably a few things to mention.
First is that an ever larger share of the electorate doesn’t consume media from traditional sources.
Second is that large portions of the electorate don’t follow politics that closely or really make up their mind until an election is actually called.
First is that an ever larger share of the electorate doesn’t consume media from traditional sources.
Second is that large portions of the electorate don’t follow politics that closely or really make up their mind until an election is actually called.