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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 5d

I am not familiar enough with local geography to know.

Rustie's writings are all from before the boundaries (draft or final) were published but I think he's planning further analysis.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 6d

New Zealand has undergone a redistribution of their electorate boundaries, and I thought I would summarise the changes and estimate the vote margins for the new seats. #nzpol www.tallyroom.com.au/62140

New Zealand’s new electoral map

New Zealand will go to the polls next year at their next general election, and the electoral map of New Zealand has been redrawn in advance of that election. New Zealand’s parliament is elect…

www.tallyroom.com.au

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 9d

Somewhat, but overall it’s still close.

Ben Raue @benraue.com · 9d

you're welcome

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 9d

yep.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

I’m going to be discussing this topic on ABC Radio Sydney in a few minutes.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

Yes I’ve noticed the Nationals were much more enthusiastic about parliamentary expansion than the Liberals when the committee was discussing the issue.

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Reposted by Ben Raue

Travis Jordan @grugstan.bsky.social · 10d

I'm voting in UQ's Senate election today for the three alumni seats and it's a masterclass in terrible electoral design.

For one it uses the terrible perversion that is the FPTP method of election multiple members in a seat.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

Overall the extra Senate seats wouldn’t have changed the left-right balance by much.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

As for the Senate, Brandis claims the Greens would be the main beneficiaries, but this couldn’t be more wrong. The Greens at the moment are over-represented in the Senate. Expanding to 14 or 16 senators would just solidify their current seats. Most seats would go to Labor, the Coaltion or One Nation

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

An expanded parliament would add seats in all five mainland states, but shouldn’t benefit particular parties. If parties benefit from urban areas having an increasing share of seats, that will happen whether or not the parliament is expanded.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

For now I’m just talking about the proposal to increase the number of senators per state, and the increased number of seats in the House as a consequence.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

In response to an error-riddled op-ed from George Brandis yesterday, I’ve written a post about who would benefit from an expanded parliament. www.tallyroom.com.au/62130

Who would benefit from an expanded parliament?

Today’s blog post is inspired by a strange opinion piece in the Nine papers yesterday by former federal Liberal Attorney-General George Brandis. Brandis’ piece (in addition to incorrect…

www.tallyroom.com.au

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

yes I did notice that Thorpe thing. I've got a blog post tomorrow morning on this.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

Here's the op-ed link www.theage.com.au/politics/fed...

A larger parliament makes sense, but that’s not why Albanese wants one

The argument for increasing the size of the parliament is a respectable one. But Labor’s motivation for doing so would be a cold-blooded calculation of political advantage.

www.theage.com.au

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

The article just has a flat-out mistake where he says the parliament was last expanded in 1987. They even re-use that mistake in a pull-out quote! It was 1984.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

It also isn't logical that the Greens would benefit significantly from a Senate increase. Lowering the quota to 11% wouldn't really give the Greens much of a chance of winning extra seats - most of the benefits would go to the majors or smaller parties!

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

If the parliament is expanded, those new seats will be shared around the country proportionally, including in regional area. That will include slow-growing rural areas not losing seats they would have otherwise lost.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10d

This op-ed from George Brandis is full of holes and I don't know how The Age let it through.

-He claims that "Because most population growth is in city electorates", the ALP would gain most from a House expansion, even though the population growth benefits parties who do well in cities regardless.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 11d

I do think for a particular kind of election postal voting probably works better - depoliticised, not in the public eye, little known about the candidates, non partisan.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 11d

I don't think I've ever had a good dataset on this question. Advocates of postal voting in Victoria pointed to higher turnout - I think there are other issues with turnout. The last election in VIC to feature a mix of methods was in 2016, and turnout was lower on average in attendance councils.

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 12d

I can't find the cross of trams cover right now, where would I find it?

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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 12d

put the stadium on the top of the mountain and take the cable car there

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Reposted by Ben Raue

André Brett @drdrehistorian.bsky.social · 13d

Besides how insulting this is to the hardworking election crew, or how wrong the international comparison is, it ignores a very simple fix: NZ does not have a live progress count after election night. This is why Australian counts feel faster even though they often aren't; we can see results firm up

RNZ News Feeds @rnzrss.bsky.social · 13d

'Slowest folk on the planet': Luxon says he wants votes to be counted faster

The prime minister says he expects the Electoral Commission to speed up the official vote count after an election.

www.rnz.co.nz

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Reposted by Ben Raue

Ea-nāṣir @jedgarnaut.bsky.social · 16d

On the street, it's got a dozen names. Some call 'em White Devils. Simple, classic. Some cats call 'em The Levelers, 'cause they take you from a 10 on the pain scale down to a zero. Smooths you right out. You call it Tylenol. I call it death.

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