David Blagden
@blagdendavid.bsky.social
720 followers 230 following 23 posts
Assoc Prof at the University of Exeter's Strategy and Security Institute. Also currently: NATO Defence College, RN Strategic Studies Centre, UofE Press (co-edit the 'Exeter Strategic & Security Studies' book series). @blagden_david on The Other Place.
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Reposted by David Blagden
uniofexeternews.bsky.social
"this is a useful bit of extra money that will help to sustain the current programme; it’s not a massive splurge that will allow the services to meaningfully increase their numbers of soldiers, ships or aircraft" - @blagdendavid.bsky.social on #defencespending
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
New spending on drones and lasers will ‘revolutionise’ UK defence, says Reeves
Chancellor says new money will help turn Britain into a ‘defence industrial superpower’
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by David Blagden
congeostrategy.bsky.social
‘The choice has been made, and so now the Navy – and the citizenry it protects – must hope that yet more cuts in the present lead to a better future force before that future turns violent,’ writes @blagdendavid.bsky.social, @exeter.ac.uk

#BigAsk #BritainsWorld
Is Britain right to sacrifice capability today for ‘jam’ tomorrow?
The Big Ask | No. 15.2025
www.britainsworld.org.uk
Reposted by David Blagden
adamhumphreys.bsky.social
It was a pleasure to speak to Exeter SSI and @cais-exeter.bsky.social yesterday about my new book Causal Inquiry in International Relations
(open access: fdslive.oup.com/www.oup.com/...). Thanks to @blagdendavid.bsky.social and @profalexp.bsky.social for organizing
fdslive.oup.com
Reposted by David Blagden
uniofexeternews.bsky.social
"The US and Israeli governments – plus the governments of other states that could yet get dragged in – now have choices to make about whether to strike again when the question of Iranian capability advancement returns in future" - @blagdendavid.bsky.social
www.newstatesman.com/internationa...
There won't be a 'final victory' for Iran or Israel
Washington, Tehran and Jerusalem still have choices to make about whether to strike again.
www.newstatesman.com
Reposted by David Blagden
andreaghiselli.bsky.social
I’ve never participated in such kind of events.

So, thanks to the students behind the Exeter Debating Society for the invitation to share the stage with @blagdendavid.bsky.social and talk international politics!
blagdendavid.bsky.social
One downside (among many) of the USA's descent into hostile revisionism towards allies is that those allies are less likely to listen when Americans make good points.
lucyfisher.ft.com
NEW: US House of Representatives committee has sounded the alarm over China’s plan to build a huge embassy in London

The House China cmtte warned the project raises “significant security concerns” for the UK financial services industry

www.ft.com/content/7015...
US congressional committee warns on new Chinese embassy in London
Plans raise ‘significant’ security concerns for financial services industry, says Washington
www.ft.com
Reposted by David Blagden
robertsaunders.bsky.social
This is an excellent speech by the new Chancellor of Oxford University, William Hague.

Lots of good jokes, but also a staunch defence of what a university should be. We're going to need a lot of that in the years ahead.
robertsaunders.bsky.social
"We do not need a foreign policy: we are not a country. Nor do we need a view on every occurrence: we are not a newspaper. The concern of a university is that opinions are reached on the basis of truth, reason & knowledge, which requires thinking & speaking with freedom"
www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-02...
Lord Hague's Chancellor admission speech | University of Oxford
Speech by Lord Hague of Richmond on his admission as Chancellor of the University of Oxford, 19 February 2025
www.ox.ac.uk
Reposted by David Blagden
tonyjuniper.bsky.social
The @Telegraph excels itself today with the claim that @NaturalEngland is ‘ideologically wedded to concept of conservation’. This is our job, & we do it as a matter of legal requirement. Would be odd for a conservation organisation to do anything else.

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/02...
Natural England accused of favouring rewilding over saving farmland
Calls for body to be scrapped for being ‘ideologically wedded to concept of conservation and removing food production from the countryside’
www.telegraph.co.uk
Reposted by David Blagden
gregkoblentz.bsky.social
This is not the right way to do denuclearization, however you define it.

www.npr.org/2025/02/13/n...
blagdendavid.bsky.social
P.S. Yes, there *is* a 'steelman' case for the deal (trying to be as empathetic as possible)...it's just countered by a hefty set of downsides.
blagdendavid.bsky.social
(Obviously, there are plenty of more right-coded objections to this deal...but since those on the right already tend to be more persuaded, since it's not their team pushing it, thought it worth having out some potential problems from the opposite perspective)
blagdendavid.bsky.social
Or, put more bluntly: want to do free breakfast for school children? Rebuild the NHS while keeping it public? Improve our crumbling infrastructure? Build homes for young people? Great! So why make it easier for opponents to gut all that in 2029 by surrendering to foreign revisionists?
blagdendavid.bsky.social
Overall then, even if your inclination is towards normative alignment with international law (dubious here) and decolonisation (which this deal isn't), how far are you willing to jeopardise progressive domestic goals to hand UK Chagossian citizens' homeland to an imperial power...and pay to do so?
blagdendavid.bsky.social
11. Even if you're a staunch believer in international law, the case is tortuous here. It comes down to Chagos having previously been administered from Mauritius, for mere efficiency's sake, while both were UK colonies. So, ironically, the basis for the legal claim is...colonial.
blagdendavid.bsky.social
10. The Faragists (again). In the same week that one (admittedly marginal) poll placed Nigel's fanclub first, why would you gift them a MASSIVE stick with which to beat Labour on charges of being unpatriotic / anti-British? Especially after so much work to shed that taint.
blagdendavid.bsky.social
9. Russia and China. Ok, you may not relish 'great-power competition' etc. But one is currently conducting ethnic cleansing in Eastern Europe, the other has a >million Uyghurs in concentration camps. So any progressive foreign policy should prize bases from which to counter them.
blagdendavid.bsky.social
8. Trump. Worried that America's mad king could prove a menace? The UK has few levers more potent vs the US than Diego Garcia. But give BIOT away and - best-case - the UK becomes an extraneous middle-man. Tragicomic outcome is UK cedes sovereignty, then Mauritius sells DG to the US.
blagdendavid.bsky.social
7. £18bn (yet again). You may hope that it doesn't cut through. But Reform, the Conservatives, and even the Lib Dems will be trying to make sure it does. The opponents of every single Labour incumbent in 2028-29 will be pointing at the nearest pothole and saying "£18bn would fix that".
blagdendavid.bsky.social
6. £18bn (again). That number is politically deadly. Yes, the public finances Labour inherited were in a parlous state. But if this deal goes through, that line's done for. Every single thing that's cut / wasn't funded will be hit with "but you found £18bn for Mauritius".