@bluewolf1983.bsky.social
In $NVDA and $AMZN for next year. Also have some $SPX 6950/7000 spreads for December 31.
AI selloff continues to get stupider. Today's catalyst is $ORCL going with a different financer for a site that is still being built. Could continue but I'll take $NVDA at 22.5 forward P/E.
AI selloff continues to get stupider. Today's catalyst is $ORCL going with a different financer for a site that is still being built. Could continue but I'll take $NVDA at 22.5 forward P/E.
December 17, 2025 at 7:26 PM
In $NVDA and $AMZN for next year. Also have some $SPX 6950/7000 spreads for December 31.
AI selloff continues to get stupider. Today's catalyst is $ORCL going with a different financer for a site that is still being built. Could continue but I'll take $NVDA at 22.5 forward P/E.
AI selloff continues to get stupider. Today's catalyst is $ORCL going with a different financer for a site that is still being built. Could continue but I'll take $NVDA at 22.5 forward P/E.
Reposted
scoop: OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 "code red" response to Google is coming next week. I'm hearing that GPT-5.2 should drop on December 9th, slightly earlier than OpenAI was originally planning. Details here 👇 www.theverge.com/report/83885...
OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 ‘code red’ response to Google is coming next week
GPT-5.2 could arrive on December 9th
www.theverge.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:03 PM
scoop: OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 "code red" response to Google is coming next week. I'm hearing that GPT-5.2 should drop on December 9th, slightly earlier than OpenAI was originally planning. Details here 👇 www.theverge.com/report/83885...
Picked up some $NVDA, $META, and $AMZN shares. Also some /MNQ contracts.
November 12, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Picked up some $NVDA, $META, and $AMZN shares. Also some /MNQ contracts.
Bought $NVDA and $META shares. Also some $SPX December 19th call spreads.
Government shutdown eventually ends as a catalyst at some point and AI bubble should continue yet.
Government shutdown eventually ends as a catalyst at some point and AI bubble should continue yet.
November 7, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Bought $NVDA and $META shares. Also some $SPX December 19th call spreads.
Government shutdown eventually ends as a catalyst at some point and AI bubble should continue yet.
Government shutdown eventually ends as a catalyst at some point and AI bubble should continue yet.
Bought some $NVDA shares now that it is sub-$200.
November 4, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Bought some $NVDA shares now that it is sub-$200.
Added $AMZN January 2028 calls and some $META shares.
October 6, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Added $AMZN January 2028 calls and some $META shares.
Re-added positions in $ELV, $CNC, and $MOH. There is expected to be an announcement today of a Medicaid drug deal with Pfizer. Additionally, while a government shutdown looks likely, it some type of ACA subsidy extension will eventually happen based on recent comments.
September 30, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Re-added positions in $ELV, $CNC, and $MOH. There is expected to be an announcement today of a Medicaid drug deal with Pfizer. Additionally, while a government shutdown looks likely, it some type of ACA subsidy extension will eventually happen based on recent comments.
Sold out of my healthcare insurance stocks ($ELV and $CNC). Not liking the price action nor new pharmaceutical tariffs.
September 26, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Sold out of my healthcare insurance stocks ($ELV and $CNC). Not liking the price action nor new pharmaceutical tariffs.
$ELV bleed program continues. (Deep ITM put volume that never translates to open interest the next day). For today, it was 550 410p and 395 430p:
September 15, 2025 at 8:06 PM
$ELV bleed program continues. (Deep ITM put volume that never translates to open interest the next day). For today, it was 550 410p and 395 430p:
Exited my $CNC and $ELV positions. Healthcare is rallying into $MOH reporting after the bell and $CNC reports on Friday. I expect both of those to disappoint based on what I've seen of the bull case posted by retail traders.
Would likely buy again if the sector further sells off on those earnings.
Would likely buy again if the sector further sells off on those earnings.
July 23, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Exited my $CNC and $ELV positions. Healthcare is rallying into $MOH reporting after the bell and $CNC reports on Friday. I expect both of those to disappoint based on what I've seen of the bull case posted by retail traders.
Would likely buy again if the sector further sells off on those earnings.
Would likely buy again if the sector further sells off on those earnings.
I've capitulated on $UNH. Healthcare stock valuations have compressed and time to accept my loss.
$ELV earnings reaction was -10% on decent results. Trading at 10 P/E of their new guide that includes a Q4 usage surge assumption. $UNH isn't likely to be a better value when they give new guidance.
$ELV earnings reaction was -10% on decent results. Trading at 10 P/E of their new guide that includes a Q4 usage surge assumption. $UNH isn't likely to be a better value when they give new guidance.
July 17, 2025 at 2:22 PM
I've capitulated on $UNH. Healthcare stock valuations have compressed and time to accept my loss.
$ELV earnings reaction was -10% on decent results. Trading at 10 P/E of their new guide that includes a Q4 usage surge assumption. $UNH isn't likely to be a better value when they give new guidance.
$ELV earnings reaction was -10% on decent results. Trading at 10 P/E of their new guide that includes a Q4 usage surge assumption. $UNH isn't likely to be a better value when they give new guidance.
Reposted
More on that JPMorgan price target upgrade on $UNH: www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly...
It comes after the analyst spoke to $UNH management. $UNH management spoke about trying to hit margin targets that are above current consensus analyst expectations. First news from management on 2026 expectations.
It comes after the analyst spoke to $UNH management. $UNH management spoke about trying to hit margin targets that are above current consensus analyst expectations. First news from management on 2026 expectations.
UnitedHealth price target raised to $418 from $405 at JPMorgan - TipRanks.com
JPMorgan analyst Lisa Gill raised the firm’s price target on UnitedHealth (UNH) to $418 from $405 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm revised est...
www.tipranks.com
June 19, 2025 at 11:35 PM
More on that JPMorgan price target upgrade on $UNH: www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly...
It comes after the analyst spoke to $UNH management. $UNH management spoke about trying to hit margin targets that are above current consensus analyst expectations. First news from management on 2026 expectations.
It comes after the analyst spoke to $UNH management. $UNH management spoke about trying to hit margin targets that are above current consensus analyst expectations. First news from management on 2026 expectations.
While not unexpected as $UNH stated they would be greatly increasing insurance premiums during its Annual Shareholder Meeting, the following articles show some initial scope of that upcoming increase (about 20%):
www.axios.com/2025/06/18/t...
rhodeislandcurrent.com/2025/06/17/r...
www.axios.com/2025/06/18/t...
rhodeislandcurrent.com/2025/06/17/r...
Tariffs drive some health plans to hike premiums
Health insurers are serving notice that tariffs will drive up the premiums they charge next year.
www.axios.com
June 19, 2025 at 3:27 PM
While not unexpected as $UNH stated they would be greatly increasing insurance premiums during its Annual Shareholder Meeting, the following articles show some initial scope of that upcoming increase (about 20%):
www.axios.com/2025/06/18/t...
rhodeislandcurrent.com/2025/06/17/r...
www.axios.com/2025/06/18/t...
rhodeislandcurrent.com/2025/06/17/r...
$UNH price target increased from $405 to $418: www.tipranks.com/news/blurbs/...
J.P. Morgan Sticks to Its Buy Rating for UnitedHealth (UNH) - TipRanks.com
In a report released today, Lisa Gill from J.P. Morgan maintained a Buy rating on UnitedHealth (UNH – Research Report), with a price target of $418...
www.tipranks.com
June 19, 2025 at 3:24 PM
$UNH price target increased from $405 to $418: www.tipranks.com/news/blurbs/...
Have made some changes as of late to portfolio:
* Closed the small $WMT put spreads for a tiny profit.
* Closed my large position 20 year bonds for a tiny profit.
* Added heavily $UNH shares.
* Closed the small $WMT put spreads for a tiny profit.
* Closed my large position 20 year bonds for a tiny profit.
* Added heavily $UNH shares.
May 8, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Have made some changes as of late to portfolio:
* Closed the small $WMT put spreads for a tiny profit.
* Closed my large position 20 year bonds for a tiny profit.
* Added heavily $UNH shares.
* Closed the small $WMT put spreads for a tiny profit.
* Closed my large position 20 year bonds for a tiny profit.
* Added heavily $UNH shares.
Capitulated to add a short position as I saw the following tweet that made sense to me on $WMT (especially as that stock has low option IV).
Might still add an index short eventually but this play allows me to scratch the itch of having a downside bet as tariffs become real.
Might still add an index short eventually but this play allows me to scratch the itch of having a downside bet as tariffs become real.
May 5, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Capitulated to add a short position as I saw the following tweet that made sense to me on $WMT (especially as that stock has low option IV).
Might still add an index short eventually but this play allows me to scratch the itch of having a downside bet as tariffs become real.
Might still add an index short eventually but this play allows me to scratch the itch of having a downside bet as tariffs become real.
Re-added 20 year bonds at an effective 4.816% yield. A portfolio of healthcare with $UNH (traditionally a defensive type stock) and bonds.
Now I just wait for us to be about flat YTD for a very tiny long dated put position. Leaning toward $QQQ for that as it has been tech leading the rally.
Now I just wait for us to be about flat YTD for a very tiny long dated put position. Leaning toward $QQQ for that as it has been tech leading the rally.
May 2, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Re-added 20 year bonds at an effective 4.816% yield. A portfolio of healthcare with $UNH (traditionally a defensive type stock) and bonds.
Now I just wait for us to be about flat YTD for a very tiny long dated put position. Leaning toward $QQQ for that as it has been tech leading the rally.
Now I just wait for us to be about flat YTD for a very tiny long dated put position. Leaning toward $QQQ for that as it has been tech leading the rally.
Bought a starter position of shares of $UNH. The valuation multiple has shrunk and I think it breaking below the $400 level would shake out most of those wanting out. Forward EPS chart from an article a few days ago:
May 2, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Bought a starter position of shares of $UNH. The valuation multiple has shrunk and I think it breaking below the $400 level would shake out most of those wanting out. Forward EPS chart from an article a few days ago:
Sold my 20 year bonds acquired around a 4.9% effective yield which are now yielding 4.71%. (So a few percentage points of profit on the position from bond yields falling). Just back to the risk free rate and dropping the duration risk for now.
April 29, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Sold my 20 year bonds acquired around a 4.9% effective yield which are now yielding 4.71%. (So a few percentage points of profit on the position from bond yields falling). Just back to the risk free rate and dropping the duration risk for now.
Reposted
Here's an updated look at all Trump's 2nd-term tariffs, accounting for today's exemption for phones & computers
The overall US tariff rate is now 25%, down from 29% pre-exemption but still 10x what it was before Trump took office
(1/3)
The overall US tariff rate is now 25%, down from 29% pre-exemption but still 10x what it was before Trump took office
(1/3)
April 12, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Here's an updated look at all Trump's 2nd-term tariffs, accounting for today's exemption for phones & computers
The overall US tariff rate is now 25%, down from 29% pre-exemption but still 10x what it was before Trump took office
(1/3)
The overall US tariff rate is now 25%, down from 29% pre-exemption but still 10x what it was before Trump took office
(1/3)
Sold out of my 20 year bonds that were a bad trade given it wasn't a flight to safety.
April 9, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Sold out of my 20 year bonds that were a bad trade given it wasn't a flight to safety.
Back into 20 year bonds once again. Added 3 $SPX 5260/5240 April 10th put spreads worth $2.5k. Will do another $2.5k worth at the end of the day if we pump into close. Just a tiny bet on sanity but probably doesn't work.
April 8, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Back into 20 year bonds once again. Added 3 $SPX 5260/5240 April 10th put spreads worth $2.5k. Will do another $2.5k worth at the end of the day if we pump into close. Just a tiny bet on sanity but probably doesn't work.
Sold out of my shares positions on the pop. Did so frantically and Fidelity Mobile app being slow didn't help. Ended up with a tiny profit and out as my thesis of some walkback to sanity didn't happen.
April 7, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Sold out of my shares positions on the pop. Did so frantically and Fidelity Mobile app being slow didn't help. Ended up with a tiny profit and out as my thesis of some walkback to sanity didn't happen.
Ended up buying stocks here. Shares only. Focused on the $VOO and $QQQ indexes. I can see further to fall but it seems like fear is quite high and the entry didn't seem bad for the long term.
April 4, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Ended up buying stocks here. Shares only. Focused on the $VOO and $QQQ indexes. I can see further to fall but it seems like fear is quite high and the entry didn't seem bad for the long term.