Donald Bowen
@bowen.finance
140 followers 480 following 33 posts
Bridging finance & tech @ Lehigh. Research: 💡innovation, 🤖 AI lending, ⚖️ algorithmic bias, & 🚀 startups. Data and papers at https://bowen.finance
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bowen.finance
WP thread: “Measuring and Mitigating Racial Bias in LLM Mortgage Underwriting” with Don Bowen, McKay Price, and Ke Yang

Our audit study asks AI to assess simple mortgage applications (real HMDA data w/ randomized race and credit scores)

🦶🦶🏼🦶🏿 Download lukeste.in/llmmortgage

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bowen.finance
THANKS! And great timing. I teach my class on this next week. I was able to update my link to your website thanks to you.
6.6. Significant warnings about “statistical significance” — LeDataSciFi-2025
ledatascifi.github.io
bowen.finance
that’s the wrong word

It's dramatic tho
bowen.finance
Congrats! Very cool and well done paper
Reposted by Donald Bowen
josh-kaplan.bsky.social
THREAD: In 2023, I received an envelope with no return address. Inside was a flash drive containing tens of 1000s of secret files.

It came from a vigilante with a tumultuous past, who'd conducted a years-long undercover operation. He didn’t tell the FBI or his family. He only told me.
bowen.finance
This paper is an example of how nice it is to work with great coauthors AND how great peer review can be. (Weird? But true!) We got wonderful feedback from referees at the JFQA previously and our current editorial team, and these have materially improved the paper. We are very grateful.

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bowen.finance
Policy implication: One-size-fits-all governance mandates can harm firms by forcing out directors with valuable firm-specific knowledge. More flexible approaches might better balance monitoring & advising roles.

Firms know this & recognize value of their dirs and so reclass when possible.

9/N
bowen.finance
Mechanism: Reclassified directors had ~25% more board experience & were 60pp more likely to be former employees. When firms couldn't reclassify, new directors focused more on monitoring (20% more likely to join audit committees) vs advising.

8/N
bowen.finance
Design insight: Previous work compared compliant vs non-compliant firms. This paper's triple-diff compares reclassifying vs non-reclassifying firms within the non-compliant group. Cleaner identification.

7/N
bowen.finance
Key findings: Non-reclassifying firms saw ROA decline by 2.7pp vs reclassifiers.

Main channel? Labor efficiency. These firms had higher SG&A costs, lower sales/profits per employee, and their 10Ks discuss process innovation less -> 📉 of op. expertise as knowledgeable directors depart 🛫

6/N
bowen.finance
Reclassifying firms (R=1) became compliant with exchange independence quickly via this way (panel 2), even though ISS classifications of their directors remain least independent (panel 3).

Upshot: R firms are able to retain employee directors at much higher rate (panel 4)

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bowen.finance
Identification: Some firms could reclassify directors as "independent" (eg if they retired > 3 years ago) while others had to hire new outside directors. Reclassification eligibility was largely predetermined before mandates > quasi-random variation in compliance strategy that we can exploit.

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bowen.finance
Takeaways
1. Inside dir advice is performance relevant via oper. efficiency
2. Insiders <=/=> agency problems
3. Gov standards disregard pre-existing governance arrangements (which tradeoff monitor/advice)
4. Speaks to policy debates (eg the push for maximal independence)

3/N
bowen.finance
Punchline: After the 2002 NYSE/NASDAQ board independence mandates, firms that replaced existing non-independent directors underperformed firms that retained these directors by reclassifying them as independent. Suggests valuable firm-specific knowledge was lost.

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bowen.finance
🧵 I'm happy to share an updated draft!

"Revisiting Board Independence Mandates: Evidence from Director Reclassifications" provides causal evidence on the effects of mandated board independence.

Joint with Jerome Taillard (@babsoncollege.bsky.social)

#ASSA2025 #EconSky #FinSky

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bowen.finance
@emollick.bsky.social I thought this little trick mighty be of interest
bowen.finance
Somehow, just asking LLM to be unbiased
• Eliminates approval recommendation gap (on average and across different credit scores)
• Reduces average racial interest rate gap by about 60% (from 35bp to 14), with even larger effects for lower-credit-score Black applicants

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bowen.finance
Can't wait for the @khoavuumn.bsky.social meme on this paper
mvelikov.bsky.social
An academic paper has excellent empirical evidence & hypotheses that perfectly match the patterns in the data.

One catch: AI wrote the hypotheses after seeing the results.

Should this matter?

New paper w/ Robert Novy-Marx on AI-Powered (Finance) Scholarship🧵

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
bowen.finance
Really cool work that raises questions about how we think about science and progress. The push towards pre registration has benefits but foregoing HARKing has many costs too. The optimal balance is not obvious!
mvelikov.bsky.social
An academic paper has excellent empirical evidence & hypotheses that perfectly match the patterns in the data.

One catch: AI wrote the hypotheses after seeing the results.

Should this matter?

New paper w/ Robert Novy-Marx on AI-Powered (Finance) Scholarship🧵

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
bowen.finance
Lesson: don't start your social media life during a hectic working lunch - I didn't change the author names in the first post 🤣
bowen.finance
I’m very excited to now be able to follow this saga on main, now that I’m not just a lurker. 🤘
bowen.finance
My coauthors (@lukestein.com, McKay Price, and Ke Yang) and I were thrilled to find out our work “Measuring and Mitigating Racial Disparities in LLM Mortgage Underwriting” was recognized as the Best Paper at the (fantastic!) New Zealand Finance Meeting
acfr.aut.ac.nz/conferences-...
bowen.finance
Thanks and apologies to @lukestein.com for the thread copy. Can't improve on this!
bowen.finance
There’s more in the draft lukeste.in/llmmortgage

Obviously no one should (/would?😢) make critical financial decisions using prompts so simple. But genAI is getting deployed and importance of audits and intentional design are even more important in more complex systems!

Fin.
Measuring and Mitigating Racial Disparities in Large Language Model Mortgage Underwriting
We conduct the first study exploring the application of large language models (LLMs) to mortgage underwriting, using an audit study design that combines real lo
lukeste.in