@branewave.bsky.social
EO to decertify voting machines; criminal prosecution of election officials.
February 1, 2026 at 3:34 PM
EO to decertify voting machines; criminal prosecution of election officials.
Classic voter suppression plus potentially some novel attacks: county-level allies refusing to certify the canvass; legal attacks on mail ballots; federal enforcement actions in key precincts on election day
February 1, 2026 at 3:10 PM
Classic voter suppression plus potentially some novel attacks: county-level allies refusing to certify the canvass; legal attacks on mail ballots; federal enforcement actions in key precincts on election day
If he has plans to disrupt the elections, it won’t be to cancel the election outright or to play small ball with 11 months in a single district. The threat model would be, an intent to maintain control of each house by acting on the margins.
February 1, 2026 at 3:07 PM
If he has plans to disrupt the elections, it won’t be to cancel the election outright or to play small ball with 11 months in a single district. The threat model would be, an intent to maintain control of each house by acting on the margins.
Compared to 1/3 of the Senate and the entire House?
February 1, 2026 at 3:03 PM
Compared to 1/3 of the Senate and the entire House?
If you ignore the state-sponsored terrorism and the proxy militia groups, Iran has been a pretty good neighbor, actually
February 1, 2026 at 2:25 PM
If you ignore the state-sponsored terrorism and the proxy militia groups, Iran has been a pretty good neighbor, actually
Was it a dice roll tho? Should we recalibrate our assessment of Iran’s capacity and willingness to strike regional targets? Are they constrained by internal turmoil, economic sanctions, or fear of a decapitation strike?
February 1, 2026 at 1:26 PM
Was it a dice roll tho? Should we recalibrate our assessment of Iran’s capacity and willingness to strike regional targets? Are they constrained by internal turmoil, economic sanctions, or fear of a decapitation strike?
"law and order" is usually a euphemism for "order"
January 30, 2026 at 6:02 PM
"law and order" is usually a euphemism for "order"
She's about to blow the lid off the Italian military satellites that Hammer/Scorecarded the 2020 vote, it would seem
January 29, 2026 at 11:25 PM
She's about to blow the lid off the Italian military satellites that Hammer/Scorecarded the 2020 vote, it would seem
I got mad when she bought me socks with yellow toes, because now my socks are no longer fully interoperable. Chaos!
January 29, 2026 at 2:18 PM
I got mad when she bought me socks with yellow toes, because now my socks are no longer fully interoperable. Chaos!
My wife has a *lot* of socks. This might be the solution I’m looking for.
January 29, 2026 at 2:15 PM
My wife has a *lot* of socks. This might be the solution I’m looking for.
Sounds like it's already an introduction-into-hostilities to me.
Would Iran have an international-law basis for a preemptive self-defense strike?
Would Iran have an international-law basis for a preemptive self-defense strike?
January 28, 2026 at 5:13 PM
Sounds like it's already an introduction-into-hostilities to me.
Would Iran have an international-law basis for a preemptive self-defense strike?
Would Iran have an international-law basis for a preemptive self-defense strike?
I’m just hate-watching Starfleet Academy
January 25, 2026 at 4:01 PM
I’m just hate-watching Starfleet Academy
That makes sense, thanks
January 24, 2026 at 7:45 PM
That makes sense, thanks
Ah ok, I didn’t realize that. But now I’m wondering what benefit is it for the fed officer to ever make use of this. They can get a different judge, but everything else is the same.
January 24, 2026 at 7:38 PM
Ah ok, I didn’t realize that. But now I’m wondering what benefit is it for the fed officer to ever make use of this. They can get a different judge, but everything else is the same.
Ah, ok. I’m thinking of 28 usc 1442, where federal agents can get the state’s case moved to federal court. I dunno if that can be called immunity, but it does mean the state won’t be able to successfully prosecute a federal agent.
January 24, 2026 at 7:21 PM
Ah, ok. I’m thinking of 28 usc 1442, where federal agents can get the state’s case moved to federal court. I dunno if that can be called immunity, but it does mean the state won’t be able to successfully prosecute a federal agent.
She might just have misspoke which immunity doctrine. She must’ve meant sovereign immunity
January 24, 2026 at 7:12 PM
She might just have misspoke which immunity doctrine. She must’ve meant sovereign immunity
I am hoping that MN officials will push the boundary farther than what they did for Rene Good. Run an investigation to the fullest extent possible. But they won’t have access to physical evidence and maybe even eyewitness video, because the Feds are going to defend their turf.
January 24, 2026 at 6:49 PM
I am hoping that MN officials will push the boundary farther than what they did for Rene Good. Run an investigation to the fullest extent possible. But they won’t have access to physical evidence and maybe even eyewitness video, because the Feds are going to defend their turf.
But either way, the question is whether a federal agent can be prosecuted in state court. The answer is almost always no.
January 24, 2026 at 6:46 PM
But either way, the question is whether a federal agent can be prosecuted in state court. The answer is almost always no.
Federal prosecutors are
January 24, 2026 at 6:44 PM
Federal prosecutors are
Sovereign immunity. Any court case would get removed to federal court.
January 24, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Sovereign immunity. Any court case would get removed to federal court.
From ICE’s perspective, this tactic will result in a large batch of additional removals, even if eventually a handful of deportees manage to get a stay on their individual removal proceedings.
January 22, 2026 at 12:52 PM
From ICE’s perspective, this tactic will result in a large batch of additional removals, even if eventually a handful of deportees manage to get a stay on their individual removal proceedings.
I suspect that ICE is very intentionally ignoring the 4A, having concluded that a 4A violation won’t prevent removal. So the argument is kind of moot as a practical matter.
Is there another legal avenue to prevent this? A class action made up of “persons subject to removal” to get an injunction?
Is there another legal avenue to prevent this? A class action made up of “persons subject to removal” to get an injunction?
January 22, 2026 at 12:41 PM
I suspect that ICE is very intentionally ignoring the 4A, having concluded that a 4A violation won’t prevent removal. So the argument is kind of moot as a practical matter.
Is there another legal avenue to prevent this? A class action made up of “persons subject to removal” to get an injunction?
Is there another legal avenue to prevent this? A class action made up of “persons subject to removal” to get an injunction?
Yeah me neither. My intuition is that they know exactly what they’re doing and know they can get away with it
January 21, 2026 at 11:35 PM
Yeah me neither. My intuition is that they know exactly what they’re doing and know they can get away with it
Yeah I'm just spouting legal-sounding phrases, so here I'm using "TRO" in a rather general sense. Could someone slow down the removal process with some habeas petition or anything else? A lawyer racing to the courthouse before the bus can leave the station? And even if so, is a remedy available?
January 21, 2026 at 11:05 PM
Yeah I'm just spouting legal-sounding phrases, so here I'm using "TRO" in a rather general sense. Could someone slow down the removal process with some habeas petition or anything else? A lawyer racing to the courthouse before the bus can leave the station? And even if so, is a remedy available?
What about if you can get a TRO or something before getting sent out of the country. Even if you prevail in court that the seizure was a 4A violation, they'll just release you and pick you up again on your way out of the courthouse. Would any judge hand out a non-removal order in this circumstance?
January 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM
What about if you can get a TRO or something before getting sent out of the country. Even if you prevail in court that the seizure was a 4A violation, they'll just release you and pick you up again on your way out of the courthouse. Would any judge hand out a non-removal order in this circumstance?