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Senators l Charge l REDBLACKS fan. Love stats & aviation, weather junkie.
The number that caught my eye is an 8.8% lead amongst the +7.3 million who've already voted. MQO have a 16% already voted lead. In order for the CPC to stop a Liberal majority, they'll need to win election day voting by 10%. Not gonna happen.
April 27, 2025 at 11:51 PM
The number that caught my eye is an 8.8% lead amongst the +7.3 million who've already voted. MQO have a 16% already voted lead. In order for the CPC to stop a Liberal majority, they'll need to win election day voting by 10%. Not gonna happen.
Right now Mainstreet are doing rolling polls. Over the weekend, they had two consecutive nights of strong CPC polling. Now that this has dropped off, the spread is beginning to widen again and is up to 2.7%. But in their seat projections, it's not even close:
April 16, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Right now Mainstreet are doing rolling polls. Over the weekend, they had two consecutive nights of strong CPC polling. Now that this has dropped off, the spread is beginning to widen again and is up to 2.7%. But in their seat projections, it's not even close:
If EKOS' regional numbers hold for Ontario, it means the Libs are north of 60% support in Ottawa/the NCR, meaning Pierre would almost certainly be unemployed come April 29th.
Unless Carney's debate performances are disastrous, I don't think PP can hold his own seat. Ottawans remember the convoy.
Unless Carney's debate performances are disastrous, I don't think PP can hold his own seat. Ottawans remember the convoy.
April 11, 2025 at 10:18 PM
If EKOS' regional numbers hold for Ontario, it means the Libs are north of 60% support in Ottawa/the NCR, meaning Pierre would almost certainly be unemployed come April 29th.
Unless Carney's debate performances are disastrous, I don't think PP can hold his own seat. Ottawans remember the convoy.
Unless Carney's debate performances are disastrous, I don't think PP can hold his own seat. Ottawans remember the convoy.