butterickjoe.bsky.social
@butterickjoe.bsky.social
Reposted
“How many sisters or cousins will you have? We've developed the first method to calculate the probability distribution of kin numbers across your lifetime – not just averages, but actual chances of having 0, 1, 2+ relatives at each age.”

📄👉https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/54/9
February 11, 2026 at 9:29 AM
Reposted
🔖 NEW paper by Butterick, Smith, Bijak and Hilton

Extends research on #kinship models, showing how where people live – a #demographic characteristic ubiquitous across (and between) societies – can influence their #family networks.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
A mathematical framework for time-variant multi-state kinship modelling
Recent research on kinship modelling in demography has extended age-structured models (i) to include additional characteristics, or “stages” (multi-st…
www.sciencedirect.com
March 17, 2025 at 9:26 AM