California Transit Nerd
@catransitnerd.bsky.social
880 followers 250 following 1.7K posts
Bay area native lived in LA for college. I work on Supercomputers with a Poly Sci degree. Rail nerd working on state policy RT=/= endorsement
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catransitnerd.bsky.social
Intro:
My focus is on regional and intercity transit statewide and ending freeway expansion.
Ask don’t assume my position on issue, 99% of the time I’ll happy answer
catransitnerd.bsky.social
I think that’s a case where we need to move to a quarterly rather than a half year period for rate adjustments to account better for solars changing production. Looking yesterday 9am-4pm was peak solar generation

There also could be grid capacity issues in some areas.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
I wouldn’t do any sort of major utilities at the county level
catransitnerd.bsky.social
Oh fun that looks like a little more than 12.5%
Cool so that’s now .12$kwh we can cut off peak rates
catransitnerd.bsky.social
NEM?
Much of the major transmissions network is still going to be in those fire prone areas no matter what and so have them actually address their aging network is a must
catransitnerd.bsky.social
We could cut at least 10% off of PG&E rate by making them publicly owed
But some things would have to massively change to see residential users approach .20$kwh off peak and hold to .35$kwh at peak
catransitnerd.bsky.social
Building a new double track tunnel would probably be a good idea so Ignacio south can eventually be fully double tracked allowing east west trains to interline rather than force a transfer
Reposted by California Transit Nerd
mateosfo.bsky.social
$11 billion to raise and widen a highway, through a wetland, during a climate crisis.

Imagine spending $11 billion on workforce housing in Marin/Sonoma/Napa/San Francisco so the people driving across 37 every day to get to work ... could just live where they work.

California is a climate pariah.
alfredtwu.com
The entire proposed Highway 37 Solano-Marin super bridge is estimated to cost $11 billion, all to replace an existing road between a couple of suburbs. And it's proposed at 114 feet wide.

For comparison, the Golden Gate Bridge is 90 feet wide.
warrenjwells.bsky.social
Caltrans has released a cross section for the ultimate (raised viaduct) version of SR-37.

Now maybe I'm just being paranoid, but if you were building a road that you planned to keep at 4 lanes wide, I don't think it would look like this.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
East west smart from Fairfield and the existing line being under wire and running at 15 min headways even using the insanely inflated Caltrain and SMART construction costs would be less than 10B
Reaching further south is probably NIMBY hell but could be done
catransitnerd.bsky.social
You can get to the north edge of Sausalito by adding rail back onto the now trailed alignment. I just doubt Corte Madera and Mill Valley will be very warm to the idea.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
given the need to expand the embankment for the majority of the run to accommodate a 2nd main as part of that they can raise it at the same time.
the existing ballast (rock) can likely be used as fill given its likely fairly rounded and not good for railroad use.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
You aren't going to be able to shoehorn rail in later given the loading profile unless you do some ultra light special cars like BART and even then I doubt it
catransitnerd.bsky.social
yes and I think like a lot of places are going to have to make the politically unpopular choice to abandon/accept its going to be closed at times for Mare island to Sears Point
catransitnerd.bsky.social
Or rail for the north bay. SMART plus a SMART east west line running every 15 mins under wire wouldn't be hard to do in that budget.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
They can cut out 28ft by removing 1 breakdown lane and making the lanes 11ft rather than 12ft. That makes it only 86ft...
Almost certain caltrans will end up re striping this for 3 GP lanes not long after it opens so just assume from a carbon perspective its 3+3
catransitnerd.bsky.social
You’d be building a whole new bridge because the space and likely spare load capacity was taken up by all the seismic improvements
catransitnerd.bsky.social
They want to get it off of fill and onto a viaduct like for Alviso wetlands so they can have it be almost transparent to smaller wildlife
Eh SR-37 can just not exist between Sears point and Mares island
Reposted by California Transit Nerd
warrenjwells.bsky.social
Regrettably, Governor Newsom just signed this bill, paving the way to widen a rapidly sinking highway.
mtcbata.bsky.social
Today’s passage of AB 697 marks a major advance for long-running efforts to start work on a suite of projects to enhance North Bay marshlands and wildlife habitats, reduce flooding, improve traffic flow along Highway 37, and introduce transit service between Vallejo and Novato.
Legislature passes bill paving way for Highway 37 improvements
Today’s passage by the California State Senate of Assembly Bill 697 — sponsored by the Solano Transportation Authority, authored by Assemblymember Lori Wilson of Solano County and passed by the Assemb...
mtc.one
catransitnerd.bsky.social
Calling any highway expansion congestion relief is lying
Reposted by California Transit Nerd
warrenjwells.bsky.social
Caltrans has released a cross section for the ultimate (raised viaduct) version of SR-37.

Now maybe I'm just being paranoid, but if you were building a road that you planned to keep at 4 lanes wide, I don't think it would look like this.
Cross section of 114' wide bridge structure with each direction having a 12' outside shoulder and a 10' inside shoulder.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
The existing alignment with the Schellville curve cut restored is likely good enough and could be done significantly cheaper than any of the SR-37 options
It won’t serve Vallejo directly unless they branch service between there and Fairfield which ideally is 15 mins on the overlapping segment
catransitnerd.bsky.social
I don’t see the rail line and Caltrans will absolutely use those 20ft of shoulders to add in 1 if not 2 lanes in the future like Dumbarton
catransitnerd.bsky.social
Outside of the hotshot intermodals and officer car specials they don’t care at all about on time performance of any trains.
California has bonuses worth 5-10 million dollars a year for high OTP on each of the 3 Amtrak CA routes and it doesn’t really move the needle
catransitnerd.bsky.social
Ridership will be decent if we can use it as a half hourly spine like smart is with bus transfers at each end
Opex should be a combo of more state support and from Solano and probably Napa counties
catransitnerd.bsky.social
As for operating costs it’s not particularly expensive to run even if the farebox ratio is going to be low.
catransitnerd.bsky.social
I disagree the alignment exists it needs an investment to bring the track standard up, some powered switches on passing sidings and a singling system. We probably can’t get it started for 500M given SMARTs fairly expensive project delivery but for 1-1.5B we could do it which is 10% the road cost