Co-founder of Conscium.
Co-host of the London Futurists Podcast.
Lucius’ work gives me an opportunity to plug a favourite science fiction author, Greg Egan, whose short story “Leaning To Be Me” is very relevant to the conversation.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius’ work gives me an opportunity to plug a favourite science fiction author, Greg Egan, whose short story “Leaning To Be Me” is very relevant to the conversation.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Experts were equally divided about whether the first superintelligence should ideally be conscious or a zombie.This again differs from non-experts, who mostly seem to want a zombie.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Experts were equally divided about whether the first superintelligence should ideally be conscious or a zombie.This again differs from non-experts, who mostly seem to want a zombie.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Half of the experts expect digital minds to appear by 2050, and they mostly expect superintelligence to arrive first. They then expect large numbers of such minds to be created.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Half of the experts expect digital minds to appear by 2050, and they mostly expect superintelligence to arrive first. They then expect large numbers of such minds to be created.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
May I please have your vote?
globalgurus.org/vote/futuris...
Thank you!
May I please have your vote?
globalgurus.org/vote/futuris...
Thank you!
Non-experts give a much lower estimate of digital minds being developed than experts – 23% compared with the experts’ 73%.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Non-experts give a much lower estimate of digital minds being developed than experts – 23% compared with the experts’ 73%.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
D. Social Understanding and Norms
Human and societal modelling
Normative reasoning
Pragmatism and common sense
Cultural grounding
Institutional and legal agency
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
D. Social Understanding and Norms
Human and societal modelling
Normative reasoning
Pragmatism and common sense
Cultural grounding
Institutional and legal agency
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
In a recent survey of 67 AI consciousness experts, including philosophers and cognitive scientists, Lucius and his colleague Brad Saad found their median estimate of the likelihood of digital minds being created was 73%.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
In a recent survey of 67 AI consciousness experts, including philosophers and cognitive scientists, Lucius and his colleague Brad Saad found their median estimate of the likelihood of digital minds being created was 73%.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
C. World Modelling and Planning
Rich physics world models
Counterfactual planning
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
C. World Modelling and Planning
Rich physics world models
Counterfactual planning
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
Our latest guest is Lucius Caviola, Assistant Professor at Cambridge University´s Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence. He applies experimental psychology to questions about perceptions of AI consciousness and moral status.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Our latest guest is Lucius Caviola, Assistant Professor at Cambridge University´s Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence. He applies experimental psychology to questions about perceptions of AI consciousness and moral status.
youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
B. Knowledge Creation and Reasoning
Robust scientific method
Causal discovery and variable invention
Handling ambiguity
Hunches and intuition
Analogy and cross-domain transfer
Meta-cognition
Deception and subterfuge
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
B. Knowledge Creation and Reasoning
Robust scientific method
Causal discovery and variable invention
Handling ambiguity
Hunches and intuition
Analogy and cross-domain transfer
Meta-cognition
Deception and subterfuge
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
A. Self and Agency:
Conscious phenomenal experience
Volition
Self-modelling and identity
Planning, and meaning-making over time
Sensorimotor grounding
Curiosity-driven exploration
Aesthetic sense and taste formation
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
A. Self and Agency:
Conscious phenomenal experience
Volition
Self-modelling and identity
Planning, and meaning-making over time
Sensorimotor grounding
Curiosity-driven exploration
Aesthetic sense and taste formation
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should try to understand what cognitive capabilities it lacks. This article is a list of 21 human capabilities which machines don’t have. Yet.
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should try to understand what cognitive capabilities it lacks. This article is a list of 21 human capabilities which machines don’t have. Yet.
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
It is surprisingly hard to specify all the things that human radiologists are doing which machines cannot yet replicate, but there are a lot of them. Nevertheless, 2030 is a common estimate for the arrival of superintelligence.
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
It is surprisingly hard to specify all the things that human radiologists are doing which machines cannot yet replicate, but there are a lot of them. Nevertheless, 2030 is a common estimate for the arrival of superintelligence.
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
If he´s right, it´s time to short Tesla.
www.euronews.com/next/2025/11...
If he´s right, it´s time to short Tesla.
www.euronews.com/next/2025/11...
B. Knowledge Creation and Reasoning
Robust scientific method
Causal discovery and variable invention
Handling ambiguity
Hunches and intuition
Analogy and cross-domain transfer
Meta-cognition
Deception and subterfuge
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
B. Knowledge Creation and Reasoning
Robust scientific method
Causal discovery and variable invention
Handling ambiguity
Hunches and intuition
Analogy and cross-domain transfer
Meta-cognition
Deception and subterfuge
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
About a decade ago, Geoff Hinton declared that human radiologists were like Wily E. Coyote in the Roadrunner show. They had run off the edge of a cliff, but hadn’t realised it yet. Ten years on, radiology has yet to be automated.
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
About a decade ago, Geoff Hinton declared that human radiologists were like Wily E. Coyote in the Roadrunner show. They had run off the edge of a cliff, but hadn’t realised it yet. Ten years on, radiology has yet to be automated.
www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
Lenore thinks Alan Turing would probably agree that his famous Test is better seen as a way to ascribe consciousness than to test for intelligence.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Lenore thinks Alan Turing would probably agree that his famous Test is better seen as a way to ascribe consciousness than to test for intelligence.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Michael Graziano says that a non-conscious superintelligence would be a sociopath, whereas a conscious one could be empathetic. (Admittedly, humans can be sociopathic.) Given the choice, Lenore would opt for conscious superintelligence.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Michael Graziano says that a non-conscious superintelligence would be a sociopath, whereas a conscious one could be empathetic. (Admittedly, humans can be sociopathic.) Given the choice, Lenore would opt for conscious superintelligence.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Lenore believes that artificial consciousness is not here yet, but that its arrival is inevitable, and fairly soon.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Lenore believes that artificial consciousness is not here yet, but that its arrival is inevitable, and fairly soon.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
The Blums´ CTM model has the advantage of being compatible with pretty much all the major theories of consciousness, like Global Workplace Theory, Integrated Information Theory, the four Es, and so on.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
The Blums´ CTM model has the advantage of being compatible with pretty much all the major theories of consciousness, like Global Workplace Theory, Integrated Information Theory, the four Es, and so on.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
The Blums invented a multimodal language used by the brain called Brainish. The Brainish label for “rose” would consist of a certain smell, shape, colour, and texture.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
The Blums invented a multimodal language used by the brain called Brainish. The Brainish label for “rose” would consist of a certain smell, shape, colour, and texture.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Lenore explains the CTM model with an analogy of a partygoer who cannot remember the name of someone she met before. The brain contains multiple processors which shout replies, and a winner emerges by consensus. There is no central executive.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Lenore explains the CTM model with an analogy of a partygoer who cannot remember the name of someone she met before. The brain contains multiple processors which shout replies, and a winner emerges by consensus. There is no central executive.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
Tom now promulgates “Anglofuturism”, a memeplex offering an irreverent, optimistic view of what Britain might become. It advocates for thatched space stations and putting a Wetherspoons on the moon.
calumchace.com/podcast-feed/
Tom now promulgates “Anglofuturism”, a memeplex offering an irreverent, optimistic view of what Britain might become. It advocates for thatched space stations and putting a Wetherspoons on the moon.
calumchace.com/podcast-feed/
The Blum´s model of consciousness is the Conscious Turing Machine (CTM). It was inspired by Alan Turing’s model of computation, and Bernard Baars' Global Workspace Theory, although it is neither of those things itself.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
The Blum´s model of consciousness is the Conscious Turing Machine (CTM). It was inspired by Alan Turing’s model of computation, and Bernard Baars' Global Workspace Theory, although it is neither of those things itself.
www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
The Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit in late 2023 was a high point of global anti-catastrophe league-style collaboration over AI safety. But follow-up summits have been more interested in developing AI capabilities than in pursuing AI safety.
calumchace.com/podcast-feed/
The Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit in late 2023 was a high point of global anti-catastrophe league-style collaboration over AI safety. But follow-up summits have been more interested in developing AI capabilities than in pursuing AI safety.
calumchace.com/podcast-feed/