Prof Christina Pagel
@chrischirp.bsky.social
Prof Operational Research , @UCL_CORU, passionate about health care, women in STEMs, defending liberal democracy (!). Member of @independentsage, posts personal. https://www.trumpactiontracker.info/
I know cat, me too
December 5, 2025 at 3:22 PM
I know cat, me too
Great to attend the annual Blackett Lecture and awards ceremony for the UK Operational Research Society this week!
Also pleased to announce that I will be President-Elect of the OR Society from January 2026 :-)
Also pleased to announce that I will be President-Elect of the OR Society from January 2026 :-)
December 5, 2025 at 10:02 AM
Great to attend the annual Blackett Lecture and awards ceremony for the UK Operational Research Society this week!
Also pleased to announce that I will be President-Elect of the OR Society from January 2026 :-)
Also pleased to announce that I will be President-Elect of the OR Society from January 2026 :-)
On the other respiratory viruses, Covid is back at (non-zero) baseline levels while RSV is increasing rapidly. But RSV pattern is pretty similar to recent years. 6/8
December 4, 2025 at 6:01 PM
On the other respiratory viruses, Covid is back at (non-zero) baseline levels while RSV is increasing rapidly. But RSV pattern is pretty similar to recent years. 6/8
But it could be that the whole wave is simply shifted a few weeks earlier so that the peak or overall number of admissions will be in line with previous years.
There is nothing to suggest from this data that the peak will be higher than 2022/23 or 2024/25 or that the decline will be longer. 4/8
There is nothing to suggest from this data that the peak will be higher than 2022/23 or 2024/25 or that the decline will be longer. 4/8
December 4, 2025 at 6:01 PM
But it could be that the whole wave is simply shifted a few weeks earlier so that the peak or overall number of admissions will be in line with previous years.
There is nothing to suggest from this data that the peak will be higher than 2022/23 or 2024/25 or that the decline will be longer. 4/8
There is nothing to suggest from this data that the peak will be higher than 2022/23 or 2024/25 or that the decline will be longer. 4/8
I’ve plotted the number of hospital admissions for flu per 100,000 population for each of the last 4 winters, from UKHSA data.
it is immediately apparent that this year is several weeks earlier than normal. 3/8
it is immediately apparent that this year is several weeks earlier than normal. 3/8
December 4, 2025 at 6:01 PM
I’ve plotted the number of hospital admissions for flu per 100,000 population for each of the last 4 winters, from UKHSA data.
it is immediately apparent that this year is several weeks earlier than normal. 3/8
it is immediately apparent that this year is several weeks earlier than normal. 3/8
🧵How much should the NHS worry about this winter's flu wave?
You may have seen this alarming headline on the BBC website today...
I think it's too early to make this claim and the data does not support it.
I think it will be a bad flu season but no evidence to think worse than previous yrs
1/8
You may have seen this alarming headline on the BBC website today...
I think it's too early to make this claim and the data does not support it.
I think it will be a bad flu season but no evidence to think worse than previous yrs
1/8
December 4, 2025 at 6:01 PM
🧵How much should the NHS worry about this winter's flu wave?
You may have seen this alarming headline on the BBC website today...
I think it's too early to make this claim and the data does not support it.
I think it will be a bad flu season but no evidence to think worse than previous yrs
1/8
You may have seen this alarming headline on the BBC website today...
I think it's too early to make this claim and the data does not support it.
I think it will be a bad flu season but no evidence to think worse than previous yrs
1/8
Christmas at CORU has begun!
December 3, 2025 at 11:08 AM
Christmas at CORU has begun!
Sharing a moment :)
December 1, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Sharing a moment :)
The US is also what rampant populist authoritarianism looks like
If you fear state retribution for criticising the state, you are not in a free democracy.
If you fear state retribution for criticising the state, you are not in a free democracy.
November 28, 2025 at 12:31 PM
The US is also what rampant populist authoritarianism looks like
If you fear state retribution for criticising the state, you are not in a free democracy.
If you fear state retribution for criticising the state, you are not in a free democracy.
or how about these for how it's reaching into and upending people's lives all over the US
November 28, 2025 at 12:25 PM
or how about these for how it's reaching into and upending people's lives all over the US
the US is what rampant militarised populist nationalism looks like. Don't stop paying attention.
Below are just some of the actions that I added to the TrumpActionTracker this morning
www.trumpactiontracker.info
Below are just some of the actions that I added to the TrumpActionTracker this morning
www.trumpactiontracker.info
November 28, 2025 at 12:20 PM
the US is what rampant militarised populist nationalism looks like. Don't stop paying attention.
Below are just some of the actions that I added to the TrumpActionTracker this morning
www.trumpactiontracker.info
Below are just some of the actions that I added to the TrumpActionTracker this morning
www.trumpactiontracker.info
lovely to catch up with my 2016/17 Harkness fellow friends in Barcelona for #Harkness100 this weekend :-)
November 19, 2025 at 7:03 PM
lovely to catch up with my 2016/17 Harkness fellow friends in Barcelona for #Harkness100 this weekend :-)
it's the govt briefing this
November 17, 2025 at 11:34 AM
it's the govt briefing this
Hey Labour
Remember the majority of voters who believe in treating people decently and not stealing from those who've endured months and years of hardship fleeing war and persecution to seek a place of safety?
We're still over here 👋
Remember the majority of voters who believe in treating people decently and not stealing from those who've endured months and years of hardship fleeing war and persecution to seek a place of safety?
We're still over here 👋
November 17, 2025 at 7:49 AM
Hey Labour
Remember the majority of voters who believe in treating people decently and not stealing from those who've endured months and years of hardship fleeing war and persecution to seek a place of safety?
We're still over here 👋
Remember the majority of voters who believe in treating people decently and not stealing from those who've endured months and years of hardship fleeing war and persecution to seek a place of safety?
We're still over here 👋
Here's a reminder of the 2024 bill
November 16, 2025 at 11:06 PM
Here's a reminder of the 2024 bill
Another chilling aspect... The Tories simply passed a law declaring Rwanda "safe".
Do we really trust that this govt or the next won't resort to similar tactics if this finds them politically convenient?
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
Do we really trust that this govt or the next won't resort to similar tactics if this finds them politically convenient?
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
November 16, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Another chilling aspect... The Tories simply passed a law declaring Rwanda "safe".
Do we really trust that this govt or the next won't resort to similar tactics if this finds them politically convenient?
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
Do we really trust that this govt or the next won't resort to similar tactics if this finds them politically convenient?
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
Every time I land back in UK I get an immediate craving for a British crisp (or crisp like) snack
November 16, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Every time I land back in UK I get an immediate craving for a British crisp (or crisp like) snack
New reflections from me about the challenge of countering disinformation when the state itself is distributing it
christinapagel.substack.com/p/the-erosio...
christinapagel.substack.com/p/the-erosio...
November 15, 2025 at 2:23 PM
New reflections from me about the challenge of countering disinformation when the state itself is distributing it
christinapagel.substack.com/p/the-erosio...
christinapagel.substack.com/p/the-erosio...
Barcelona conference run :)
November 15, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Barcelona conference run :)
we need to protect both the independent, expert creation of evidence and information *and* the communication of it by independent, non-partisan, media organisations.
christinapagel.substack.com/p/informatio...
christinapagel.substack.com/p/informatio...
November 11, 2025 at 10:56 AM
we need to protect both the independent, expert creation of evidence and information *and* the communication of it by independent, non-partisan, media organisations.
christinapagel.substack.com/p/informatio...
christinapagel.substack.com/p/informatio...
The early flu season in England continues to build, while the latest Covid wave continues to recede.
Latest UKHSA hospital admission data up to 27 Oct.
Latest UKHSA hospital admission data up to 27 Oct.
November 6, 2025 at 7:28 PM
The early flu season in England continues to build, while the latest Covid wave continues to recede.
Latest UKHSA hospital admission data up to 27 Oct.
Latest UKHSA hospital admission data up to 27 Oct.