Chris Karbownik
@chriskarbownik.bsky.social
1.8K followers 560 following 140 posts
I play with data @EmoryEconomics. Interested in family, education, health, child development, labor, crime, and environment. Uppsala University alumnus. I hang out in Pacific Northwest a lot thus ⛷️ and 🚵 posts too https://sites.google.com/site/kkarbownik
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chriskarbownik.bsky.social
We're hiring in applied micro. Come be my colleague and if you don't like me then we have a ton of other great people in the department.
apply.interfolio.com/173387
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
We updated our paper on employment protection of older workers. It now includes estimates of both externalities as well as "deadwood labor" effects. Still no externalities but up to 4.8% separation effects once EPL is removed suggesting modest "deadwood labor" among workers 60+: tinyurl.com/4kh6tykr
Dropbox
tinyurl.com
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
If you don't like the numbers just make them up. I was born in a country that had "full employment". Based on experience I don't recommend going this way. Also it's ironic that he hates China so much but basically is turning US into China
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
new fun AI hallucinations: Gemini keeps upgrading JOLE papers to JPE papers when creating references in bibtex. Since AI will be our new overlords, I wonder if I can also upgrade my CV :)
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
This is such sad news. I've personally interacted with Ghazala only a few times but loved her papers. Economics lost a brilliant researcher way too soon...
In Memoriam: Ghazala Azmat (1979 - 2025) | EEA
eeassoc.org
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
I find it really amusing when a journal that has been sitting on my submission for almost 9 months is sending me a reminder that I'm late with my referee report by two weeks...
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
If you think US politics is messed up then newsflash Poland just elected ex gang member and ex pimp as a president. Times of Israel also called him Holocaust revisionist and yet he was supported by the current US administration. So yeah, universities are not about antisemitism...
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
New paper out: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti.... We study (using DiD) effects of 1968 Poor People's Campaign on election outcomes. Overall these peaceful protests had no effects on elections (contrasting prior civil rights era findings) but they hurt Ds in the South and helped them in the West.
Civil rights protests and election outcomes: Exploring the effects of the poor people’s campaign
The Poor People’s Campaign (PPC) of 1968 was focused on highlighting, and ultimately reducing, poverty in the United States. As part of the campaign, …
www.sciencedirect.com
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
I'd be carful about drawing strong conclusions based on test scores. Earlier we found massive declines in test scores for these EdChoice students (like south of 1SD) but clearly for college they are doing fine. Private schools have no incentives to deliver on test scores - at least in most settings
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
@wsj.com coverage of our latest voucher research: www.wsj.com/opinion/edch.... I wouldn't conclude with "But its results are consistent with a large and growing body of evidence that school choice can lift all students" but I think it'd be good to do more research on choice rather than demonizing it
Opinion | Ohio’s School Choice Success Story
Voucher recipients saw substantially improved academic outcomes.
www.wsj.com
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
New research out: positive participation and competitive effects of EdChoice vouchers for college attendance and graduation. Participation compared to remaining in underperforming public school. Competitive compared to schools that just missed voucher threat.
urbaninstitute.bsky.social
New #research shows that #students participating in Ohio’s EdChoice program between 2008 and 2014 were significantly more likely to enroll in #college and earn a bachelor’s degree than public school students.

Learn more in a report from the Urban Institute.
The Effects of Ohio’s EdChoice Voucher Program on College Enrollment and Graduation
More than a million US students now participate in private school choice programs because of recent growth in vouchers, tax credit scholarships, education savings accounts, and tax credits. Given the ...
www.urban.org
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
As someone who wrote multiple papers on consequences of childhood disability for families, I find this disgusting. That's why you should increase funds to these families rather than cutting them. A+ geniuses!!!
the-independent.com
WATCH | RFK Jr claims autistic children will never go on dates or pay taxes

Read the recent CDC autism report here: www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
Meritocracy in action ;)
josephpolitano.bsky.social
Import Chinese battery: 145% tariff
Import Chinese battery inside Chinese laptop: 20% tariff
Import Chinese battery inside Vietnamese laptop: 0% tariff

Fuckin brilliant. A+ work here team. I am so glad there are such smart people working on our trade policy.
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
That's kind of obvious but oh well. ROI in publicly funded research is something like 5 to 1 on average so basically you're killing a goose laying golden eggs... but let's be clear here, this was always about cutting people off information/services/anything that could make them vote D.
gelliottmorris.com
Today's Chart of the Week: DOGE is not cutting the deficit

Because of cuts to revenue-generating services, Trump and Musk may be making government output more expensive on a unit-output-per-taxpayer-dollar basis. (In other words, less efficient)
DOGE is not cutting the deficit
Real federal spending is higher in 2025 so far than in past years, and DOGE is making it harder to raise revenue
www.gelliottmorris.com
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
just imagine what would Republicans do if this mess was generated by Biden, Harris, Obama, ... [paste any other Democrat]. Also can someone explain to me why congress cannot end this? Aren't there enough Republicans worried about 2026? Or are we not planning the economy to survive to '26?
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
Here is a simple solution to this: pass the cuts onto your consumers and see how they and their families vote in '26. In the short-run issue bonds. It's not like demand for education and healthcare is very elastic. Maybe then the public will realize how much public goods these funds generate.
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
That about sums it up...
joshtpm.bsky.social
You may be fearing your 401k is no longer enough for you to retire. But with all the cuts to NIH and Medicare you also won't live as long. So the policies are integrated.
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
I mostly just feel sorry for the poor penguins... how are they going to survive the tariffs...
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
OMG this makes sense. That's how they will solve fentanyl/drug abuse crisis - just stop tracking it. Reminds me of Covid when they suggested that we just don't test and then Covid will vanish ;)
egolberstein.bsky.social
NSDUH is one of the only ways we can track trends in substance use in the US. NSDUH is one of the only ways we can track adolescent mental health problems in the US.

We cannot afford to fly blind on these critical issues.
reginalabelle.bsky.social
The entire SAMHSA staff that manages the National Survey on Drug Use and Health has been terminated. This is the only survey that tracks mental health and substance use trends in the US.

We really are flying blind now.
chriskarbownik.bsky.social
That's our fault though b/c we don't know how to talk to people. 20 points drop in confidence over 10 years is massive. It's kind of crazy that you have to sell the value added to people but maybe unis need strong PR departments.