generic
@chrismcneil.bsky.social
charcuterie should be a breakfast option
Jimmy has fancy plans, and pants to match
December 1, 2025 at 9:26 PM
Jimmy has fancy plans, and pants to match
I think the hard-to-navigate part is (IASIP voice) The Implication.
JD Vance: "I have never fucked a couch."
JD Vance: "I have never fucked a couch."
December 1, 2025 at 7:19 PM
I think the hard-to-navigate part is (IASIP voice) The Implication.
JD Vance: "I have never fucked a couch."
JD Vance: "I have never fucked a couch."
does... every office have a carol? is a carol a universal?
December 1, 2025 at 6:47 PM
does... every office have a carol? is a carol a universal?
7) LBJ is not an exception; he proves the rule. He was horrible at mass media and he knew it. Everyone knew it. He could only win one national election.
December 1, 2025 at 6:59 AM
7) LBJ is not an exception; he proves the rule. He was horrible at mass media and he knew it. Everyone knew it. He could only win one national election.
He wants the credit.
December 1, 2025 at 5:48 AM
He wants the credit.
I can wear the same clothes to work that I wore in the late 90s. No one would notice.
If I showed up to work in the late 90s wearing clothes from 1975, I think people would notice.
If I showed up to work in the late 90s wearing clothes from 1975, I think people would notice.
December 1, 2025 at 5:40 AM
I can wear the same clothes to work that I wore in the late 90s. No one would notice.
If I showed up to work in the late 90s wearing clothes from 1975, I think people would notice.
If I showed up to work in the late 90s wearing clothes from 1975, I think people would notice.
Many mark the memory with an advent calendar.
December 1, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Many mark the memory with an advent calendar.
@indivisible.org seems to be the PAC most serious about this.
November 30, 2025 at 5:58 PM
@indivisible.org seems to be the PAC most serious about this.
I mean, Trump himself hit 34% on J6. But the timing was akin to GWB’s dip at the start of the GFC. Both were soon out of office, so there were no consequences.
November 30, 2025 at 7:55 AM
I mean, Trump himself hit 34% on J6. But the timing was akin to GWB’s dip at the start of the GFC. Both were soon out of office, so there were no consequences.
I question whether it could ever get there.
4 GOP senators in states below R+10 are up in 2026. Once you start dipping below 33, 32, you see lethal negative coattails. The chamber flips. Thune decides if he can afford to lose 2 or 3 more seats in 2028 and impeachment math gets a whole lot easier.
4 GOP senators in states below R+10 are up in 2026. Once you start dipping below 33, 32, you see lethal negative coattails. The chamber flips. Thune decides if he can afford to lose 2 or 3 more seats in 2028 and impeachment math gets a whole lot easier.
November 29, 2025 at 8:20 PM
I question whether it could ever get there.
4 GOP senators in states below R+10 are up in 2026. Once you start dipping below 33, 32, you see lethal negative coattails. The chamber flips. Thune decides if he can afford to lose 2 or 3 more seats in 2028 and impeachment math gets a whole lot easier.
4 GOP senators in states below R+10 are up in 2026. Once you start dipping below 33, 32, you see lethal negative coattails. The chamber flips. Thune decides if he can afford to lose 2 or 3 more seats in 2028 and impeachment math gets a whole lot easier.
I don't think the bet is resolved until a GOP House member resigns before January 5, 2026.
November 29, 2025 at 8:02 PM
I don't think the bet is resolved until a GOP House member resigns before January 5, 2026.
my favorite rumor about Amadeus is that it was Peter Shaffer's take on a prolific young upstart, Tom Stoppard
November 29, 2025 at 5:57 PM
the 2020 RNC was held at the literal fucking White House so maybe we can treat Hatch Act concerns as the fig leaves they are for the foreseeable future
November 29, 2025 at 4:12 AM
the 2020 RNC was held at the literal fucking White House so maybe we can treat Hatch Act concerns as the fig leaves they are for the foreseeable future
never gets to 27, imo
at 32% you get a GOP senate Panic Caucus. If you face reelection in a state below R+10, you lose with negative coattails like that (Daines-MT, Cornyn-TX, Graham-SC, Collins-ME)
At some point Thune & Barasso see they’re losing the chamber & we approach 67 votes to impeach
at 32% you get a GOP senate Panic Caucus. If you face reelection in a state below R+10, you lose with negative coattails like that (Daines-MT, Cornyn-TX, Graham-SC, Collins-ME)
At some point Thune & Barasso see they’re losing the chamber & we approach 67 votes to impeach
November 29, 2025 at 2:24 AM
never gets to 27, imo
at 32% you get a GOP senate Panic Caucus. If you face reelection in a state below R+10, you lose with negative coattails like that (Daines-MT, Cornyn-TX, Graham-SC, Collins-ME)
At some point Thune & Barasso see they’re losing the chamber & we approach 67 votes to impeach
at 32% you get a GOP senate Panic Caucus. If you face reelection in a state below R+10, you lose with negative coattails like that (Daines-MT, Cornyn-TX, Graham-SC, Collins-ME)
At some point Thune & Barasso see they’re losing the chamber & we approach 67 votes to impeach
Lizard People, aka The Alan Keyes Constant
November 29, 2025 at 2:05 AM
Lizard People, aka The Alan Keyes Constant
Nixon survived for a bit at 24% but 30-32%-ish is an “Oh Shit” zone where we’d start getting a senate Panic Caucus of 2026 GOP reeleects (Cornyn, Daines, Graham)
When negative coattails are that bad you start fearing the general more than the primary and honest-to-god impeachment is on the table
When negative coattails are that bad you start fearing the general more than the primary and honest-to-god impeachment is on the table
November 28, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Nixon survived for a bit at 24% but 30-32%-ish is an “Oh Shit” zone where we’d start getting a senate Panic Caucus of 2026 GOP reeleects (Cornyn, Daines, Graham)
When negative coattails are that bad you start fearing the general more than the primary and honest-to-god impeachment is on the table
When negative coattails are that bad you start fearing the general more than the primary and honest-to-god impeachment is on the table
Whenever I think of the final scene, I imagine the compulsion to smoke must’ve been overwhelming.
November 27, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Whenever I think of the final scene, I imagine the compulsion to smoke must’ve been overwhelming.
I guess to be consistent with Stancil’s point: I’m not going to do that. I’ll just assert there are far, far more people like me than people like you.
November 27, 2025 at 6:29 PM
I guess to be consistent with Stancil’s point: I’m not going to do that. I’ll just assert there are far, far more people like me than people like you.
Question: what percentage of the electorate would you estimate gets their ideas from studying the world?
Subquestion: to which party do you think they disproportionately sort, if at all?
Subquestion: to which party do you think they disproportionately sort, if at all?
November 27, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Question: what percentage of the electorate would you estimate gets their ideas from studying the world?
Subquestion: to which party do you think they disproportionately sort, if at all?
Subquestion: to which party do you think they disproportionately sort, if at all?