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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · 18d

How does the new H1B executive order affect universities, which had a non-capped limit on H1Bs under the prior system (vs a lottery for for-profit corporations)?

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · 20d

We might need to tweak a few things given an eventful several months, but pleased to announce Sameer Lalwani & my co-edited volume on Pakistani strategic debates is now forthcoming at @georgetownup.bsky.social . Thanks to @stimsoncenter.bsky.social & Smith Richardson Foundation for the support.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · 23d

At @goodauth.bsky.social we thought it would be helpful to ask peacekeeping experts about peacekeeping proposals for Ukraine. Thanks to @wnomikos.bsky.social and Joshua Zhang for their insightful essay! goodauthority.org/news/rethink...

Rethinking how Europe can lead peacekeeping in Ukraine.

What would make this concept viable?

goodauthority.org

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · 26d

I still have free eprints available for my article, "Is India underbalancing China?" I argue that it is hard to understand why India has been willing to make tangible concessions in its post-2020 bargaining with China except by looking at the military balance.
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/CWRUD...

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · Aug 22

Time to put @jrovner.bsky.social 's book back on syllabi, if it wasn't there already.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · Jul 29

A billion here, a billion there and pretty soon…

John Ismay @johnismay.bsky.social · Jul 28

$2 billion for more THAAD interceptors

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Reposted by Christopher Clary

Huss Banai @hbanai.bsky.social · Jun 24

Some thoughts on regime change in Iran (less-ish relevant now, but who knows)

indianexpress.com/article/opin...

Why regime change in Iran is easier said than done

Change cannot be delivered from the skies, nor imposed through external pressure alone. It must be nurtured from within, supported by sustained diplomatic engagement, and informed by humility about th...

indianexpress.com

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · Jun 17

Christensen and Snyder 1990?

a man with a beard says " now that 's a name i 've not heard in a long time .

ALT: a man with a beard says " now that 's a name i 've not heard in a long time .

media.tenor.com

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · Jun 11

This is a perfectly interesting little ethical topic, but I can't possibly understand why my human subjects training needs to talk about it before I can get permission to conduct a public opinion survey.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · Jun 11

I'll believe AGI is here when the MS Word numbering/outlining feature works predictably.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · Jun 5

When I teach about intelligence problems, for years I’ve drawn on Prof. Rovner’s book, Fixing the Facts. So when I saw news stories about potential intelligence politicization, I knew exactly who I wanted to ask about it.

Joshua Rovner @jrovner.bsky.social · Jun 5

I spoke with @claryc.bsky.social at @goodauth.bsky.social about intelligence and politicization: goodauthority.org/news/will-th...

Will the U.S. intelligence community be politicized?

A Good Chat about the Trump administration’s Tren de Aragua assessment.

goodauthority.org

Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 30

This article by Raag Yadava on the Indus Waters Treaty is worth your time. One small excerpt on the China angle. www.theindiaforum.in/internationa...

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Reposted by Christopher Clary

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · May 28

For me the big takeaway is that India's ability to strike Pakistan at range has been greatly enhanced by recent acquisitions of missiles, guided bombs, and anti-air systems. That will worry Rawalpindi, and clearly did during the crisis, perhaps explaining the resort to ballistic missiles.

Ian Hall @drianhall.bsky.social · May 28

An excellent summary of what we know about the India-Pakistan spat from @claryc.bsky.social. The discussions of both the early air battle, "drone duels", and the final attempted missile strike by Pakistan are especially useful. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...

Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025 • Stimson Center

An early assessment of available evidence on what transpired in the recent India-Pakistan crisis and its implications

www.stimson.org

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 28

The events of May 2025 do not settle how binding or expansive India’s nuclear no first use commitment is. But they definitely show how tempting the prospect of counterforce is for the Indian commentariat. Whether senior officials buy-in is another matter.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 28

A little over 6 years ago, Vipin Narang & I argued that better intelligence capabilities, more precise conventional and dual-use delivery vehicles, & improving air and missile defenses were combining to create “counterforce temptations” in the Indian system. direct.mit.edu/isec/article...

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 28

Thanks to @ethrelkeld.bsky.social and the entire Stimson South Asia team for their quick work getting this through the publication process.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 28

New publication: "Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025" up now at the Stimson Center
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 28

“Are you afraid of ideologies?”

“A little bit,” the witness answers. A pause.

“Or even a lot.”

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 25

“My view is that any time two nuclear-armed states start exchanging ordnance, the risk of nuclear war has increased over the pre-crisis baseline in some immeasurable manner: This is because of the essentially unpredictable character of warfare.” Well said, @nktpnd.bsky.social

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 23

Yes, I understood. I was just saying I had a lot of citations to things without a DOI

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 23

Good to know re: DOI. had a lot of government website links—official statements and the like—and may have bumped into problems as a result.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 23

ChatGPT is pretty good at making a footnote in the appropriate style if you just give it a website URL to draw info from, but about 25% of the time it just makes stuff, sometimes little things, sometimes big things (changes titles etc) in the citation text. Which seems less than ideal.

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 16

Pleased to have a chance to chat with @nktpnd.bsky.social about last week’s crisis.

Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · May 16

For my latest @warontherocks.bsky.social podcast, @claryc.bsky.social joins me to talk about how India and Pakistan escalated last week, nuclear risks, and the role of the US in promoting deescalation (and more) warontherocks.com/episode/thin...

Defusing the Nuclear Crisis Between India and Pakistan - War on the Rocks

warontherocks.com

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 13

I make no promises about the future!

Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · May 13

My article from Sunday's Times of India on this new era in the India-Pakistan rivalry.

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