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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 1d

Chile needs to strengthen both targets.

Read our full #Chile analysis here 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/countries/ch...

Stay up to date on the latest NDC submissions and explore our Climate Target Update Tracker ➡️ climateactiontracker.org/climate-targ...

Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 1d

🟢 absolute sectoral emissions budgets & mitigation action to meet NDC

While the 2035 target is stronger than 2030, the gap between those targets and a 1.5°C aligned fair share pathway has grown from 10 MtCO2e in 2030 to 22 MtCO2e in 2035 – signalling a weakening, not strengthening, of ambition.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 1d

2035 NDC ANALYSIS: Chile's new 2035 climate target is not 1.5˚C aligned according to its fair share.
The gap between its target and 1.5˚C compatible pathways has grown.

Positive elements:
🟢 commitment to peak emissions by 2025
🟢 2040 coal phase-out

🔗 climateactiontracker.org/countries/ch...

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 5d

Norway's newly-elected government could take the opportunity to re-evaluate the failings in this #NDC.
Europe's biggest fossil gas supplier & major fossil fuel exporter should also address the other glaring omission in the NDC: the lack of a timeline for phasing out oil & fossil gas production.

Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 5d

Equally concerning are Norway's stated plans to rely on international carbon markets, purchasing carbon credits under the Paris Agreement's #Article6 mechanisms – “if deemed necessary” – to achieve the target.
The lack of specificity about what's “necessary” makes these plans difficult to evaluate

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 5d

Counting its land and forestry sector sink toward its target, especially without spelling out how much of this sink it will use to meet it, fails the test of transparency and reduces the pressure on the government to tackle the real problem: fossil fuel emissions.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 5d

2035 NDC ANALYSIS: while #Norway's new, 2035 #climate target is nominally 1.5˚C compatible compared with its modelled domestic pathway, the #NDC contains several key issues which raise serious concerns about the true ambition of its commitment to reducing domestic emissions.
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_NOR_2035...

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 6d

Russia also recalculated its land-use sink - almost doubling it through questionable accounting & conveniently aligning with its 2050 LULUCF target.

👉 Wildfires underreported
👉 Unmanaged forests counted in inventory (against UNFCCC rules)

Details under “Policies & Action” 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_RUS_poli...

Policies & action

bit.ly

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 6d

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: CAT rates #Russia’s climate action as “Critically insufficient”. Since last assessment:

➡️ Climate Doctrine revised to ignore fossil fuels
➡️ 2035 target achievable with no new effort
➡️ Fossil fuel expansion + crackdown on environmental orgs

Read full update 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_RUS

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 8d

To ensure a fair contribution to the global climate crisis, India would need to keep emissions below the levels projected under current policies.
With international support, it could expedite faster reductions.
Our overall rating of India’s climate targets & action remains “Highly insufficient”.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 8d

With such a high share of fossil fuels in the primary energy mix & in power generation, and given no clear plan for a transition away from fossil fuels, we continue to rate India’s current policies “Insufficient”.
bit.ly/CAT_IND_poli...

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 8d

But along with building substantial new coal power capacity, the govt is pushing for increased domestic coal production & utilisation of existing thermal power plants

India has met target of 50% non-fossil capacity 5 years early, but share of non-fossil sources in power generation is stagnating.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 8d

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #India has reached a turning point in its power sector, making significant progress in renewables installation (4th in world in 2024 cumulative capacity): for the first time, non-fossil sources supplied the majority of new electricity generation in 2024–25
#climate
bit.ly/CAT_IND

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 13d

"Given China is both the world's largest emitter and a leader in clean energy, this new target could have been a major opportunity for China to help the world reach the global climate goals"
CAT Press release
climateactiontracker.org/press/chinas...

RELEASE: China's new target unlikely to drive down emissions

climateactiontracker.org

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 13d

#China's new #climate target is unlikely to drive down emissions: the country will already achieve it under its current policies.
It's a net target that includes land use & forestry; an absolute target wld be more transparent
It's a shift from emissions & energy intensity to absolute emissions

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 14d

Today at the #UNClimateSummit, we expect world leaders to step up, share their new plans and demonstrate their commitment to #ClimateAction. We'll be following the new #NDCs closely.

Stay tuned and keep an eye on our Climate Target Update Tracker!

➡️ climateactiontracker.org/climate-targ...

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 15d

So sorry, we didn't mean to make you cry
Sending hugs!!!

Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 16d

We have evaluated the progress toward clean electricity in the US power sector: fossil gas continues to head in the wrong direction, while build-out of renewable energy and phase-out of coal slows.

Full power sector analysis in our "Policies & action" tab
➡️ climateactiontracker.org/countries/us...

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 16d

While the US no longer has any official climate targets since its exit from the #ParisAgreement, there remains a coalition of states who are still working toward meeting the targets submitted by the US ahead of last year's election. However, the government is trying to head off that effort too.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 16d

US emissions are projected to be ~600MtCO2e-800MtCO2e higher in 2030 under the current administration’s policies and actions compared to its predecessor.
We project US emissions to drop to 19-30% in 2030 below 2005 level (excl LULUCF) - from 29-39% previously.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 16d

The Trump Administration is pursuing an agenda to systematically repeal federal climate targets, policies, funding for mitigation, blocking progressive actors, while encouraging the production and consumption of fossil fuels at home and abroad.

Our PR 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/press/releas...

RELEASE: CAT downgrades US to "Critically insufficient"

climateactiontracker.org

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 16d

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: We have downgraded the #US climate action to "Critically insufficient" - it's the most aggressive, comprehensive and consequential climate policy rollback the CAT has ever analysed.

🔗 bit.ly/CAT_US

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 20d

Its unconditional target is 1.5˚C compatible against fair share, but is closer to the 2°C threshold. Its conditional target is not 1.5˚C aligned.

Kenya’s 2035 NDC represents a missed opportunity & could be strengthened to include a clearer commitment to real, measurable emission reductions.

Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 20d

Kenya's #NDC does not commit to a fossil fuel phase-out and lacks clarity on the role of the land & forestry sector. It also may consider selling emission reductions to other countries under Paris Agreement Article 6, which risks undermining action.

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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 20d

2035 NDC ANALYSIS: #Kenya's new 2035 #climate target would see emissions rising significantly, exceeding our current policy pathway. Its reliance on a target based on BAU, coupled with the govt's stated right to revise it, raises concerns about transparency and accountability.
bit.ly/KEN_2035NDC

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