cntrfuturework-cda.bsky.social
@cntrfuturework-cda.bsky.social
This report was not just a historical forensic exercise. More price spikes will occur, especially with Trump running amok. Moreover, the carbon tax clearly did not cause that price spike in 2022. And eliminating it won't prevent the next one. See more at falseprofits.ca.
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False Profits | Fossil Fuels Are Making Life More Expensive
False Profits is a new research initiative from the Centre for Future Work to document the economic harms of fossil fuel pricing, profits, and practices.
falseprofits.ca
March 18, 2025 at 7:09 PM
We must learn from this history to avoid repeating it. Key lessons:
1. Insulate Canadian prices from the futures roller-coaster.
2. Stronger royalties & an excess profits tax on oil companies.
3. Accelerate energy conservation & transition to renewables (which are not ruled by futures markets!). /7
March 18, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Add it all up (measured relative to pre-pandemic 2019 norms), and Canadian workers and consumers lost almost $200 billion over 2022-2024. That is $12,000 per household on average. An incredible cost--and it's still growing by $5 billion (or $300/household) per month. /6
March 18, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Canada's mostly deregulated fossil fuel prices immediately passed on this price spike, even on Canadian production. In the coming 3 years, Canadians paid dearly through 4 major cost 'buckets': higher direct prices, higher indirect prices, higher interest rates, and lower employment income. /5
March 18, 2025 at 7:09 PM
The dramatic price spike in early 2022 drove the price up by two-thirds ($50US/bbl), reaching $130US/bbl. It stayed there for just a few months--but long enough to spark worldwide inflation. Surprisingly, oil supply (both global and in Canada) KEPT GROWING throughout this whole time. /4
March 18, 2025 at 7:09 PM
The report was co-authored by @jimbostanford.bsky.social and Erin Weir. First we explain how oil futures mkts work: they are not driven by 'supply and demand', as commonly assumed. They're driven by finance, speculation, emotion & cartels. Every physical barrel of oil is traded on paper 13 times. /3
March 18, 2025 at 7:09 PM