Constantin
@constantin87.bsky.social
Originally from Luhansk, Ukraine
No doubt they are cheating with economic data. Back in 2021, when I compared COVID new-case figures with other European countries, one thing stood out: daily cases versus the 7-day MA were suspiciously smooth in ru, clearly indicating manual control to hide spikes.
January 1, 2026 at 4:40 PM
No doubt they are cheating with economic data. Back in 2021, when I compared COVID new-case figures with other European countries, one thing stood out: daily cases versus the 7-day MA were suspiciously smooth in ru, clearly indicating manual control to hide spikes.
I always find it ironic when russians label every new Ukrainian president a “regime,” while power at home has been concentrated in the same hands for nearly three decades.
December 27, 2025 at 9:52 PM
I always find it ironic when russians label every new Ukrainian president a “regime,” while power at home has been concentrated in the same hands for nearly three decades.
In practice, no one really expects these loans to be repaid — this mechanism has been used for years. Most likely, the settlement dates are simply rolled over indefinitely.
December 27, 2025 at 9:47 PM
In practice, no one really expects these loans to be repaid — this mechanism has been used for years. Most likely, the settlement dates are simply rolled over indefinitely.
Using repos in this case is just another way for the central bank to print money indirectly. It allows commercial banks to earn some transaction fees and makes the whole process look more “natural.”
December 27, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Using repos in this case is just another way for the central bank to print money indirectly. It allows commercial banks to earn some transaction fees and makes the whole process look more “natural.”
There is usually a 12–18 month lag between monetary policy actions and their impact on inflation, so the absence of an immediate spike is not surprising. Moreover, as others have noted, official figures are far from the best source for a thorough analysis.
December 27, 2025 at 9:38 PM
There is usually a 12–18 month lag between monetary policy actions and their impact on inflation, so the absence of an immediate spike is not surprising. Moreover, as others have noted, official figures are far from the best source for a thorough analysis.
Not to mention that russia’s growth rates are often manipulated; such comparisons make little sense. What really matters is the base level: smaller economies naturally grow faster than advanced ones, but this does not translate into better living conditions.
December 25, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Not to mention that russia’s growth rates are often manipulated; such comparisons make little sense. What really matters is the base level: smaller economies naturally grow faster than advanced ones, but this does not translate into better living conditions.
Well, it’s hardly surprising. He is essentially relying on the same people who were responsible for planning the so-called three-day “SMO.”
December 23, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Well, it’s hardly surprising. He is essentially relying on the same people who were responsible for planning the so-called three-day “SMO.”
Agree. I meant exactly this — that the elections must be held strictly under Ukrainian law.
December 9, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Agree. I meant exactly this — that the elections must be held strictly under Ukrainian law.
I would be especially eager to see elections held in the russian-occupied Donbas and Crimea. These are the places that haven’t had real elections for the longest time—aside from russia itself.
December 9, 2025 at 1:27 PM
I would be especially eager to see elections held in the russian-occupied Donbas and Crimea. These are the places that haven’t had real elections for the longest time—aside from russia itself.
For what? You’ve already hit the highest MRI score ever.
December 2, 2025 at 5:19 PM
For what? You’ve already hit the highest MRI score ever.
The math is a bit more complicated, I guess. They do have costs—old ships aren’t acquired for free. To make a profit, they need multiple successful runs. If a ship is lost on the first attempt, it would have been more effective to use it elsewhere instead.
November 29, 2025 at 11:54 AM
The math is a bit more complicated, I guess. They do have costs—old ships aren’t acquired for free. To make a profit, they need multiple successful runs. If a ship is lost on the first attempt, it would have been more effective to use it elsewhere instead.
Lol. There is only one type of election in russia — a rigged one. There are no voters there as a class, so raising taxes is never a problem from an electoral-risk perspective. Comments like that are nonsense.
November 26, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Lol. There is only one type of election in russia — a rigged one. There are no voters there as a class, so raising taxes is never a problem from an electoral-risk perspective. Comments like that are nonsense.
Besides, in peacetime—assuming real guarantees exist—no one would maintain a million-strong army, as it’s too expensive and the economy needs those people as workers.
November 25, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Besides, in peacetime—assuming real guarantees exist—no one would maintain a million-strong army, as it’s too expensive and the economy needs those people as workers.
I think this equation is missing several critical variables—such as cost, personnel losses, the state of the economy, and external aid for both sides, both now and in the future. It’s not just about who controls Donbas in a year, but at what price and with what remaining resources overall.
November 22, 2025 at 9:15 AM
I think this equation is missing several critical variables—such as cost, personnel losses, the state of the economy, and external aid for both sides, both now and in the future. It’s not just about who controls Donbas in a year, but at what price and with what remaining resources overall.
A more accurate representation would be to show the number of russian casualties required to capture this territory—likely a few hundred thousand.
November 21, 2025 at 5:47 PM
A more accurate representation would be to show the number of russian casualties required to capture this territory—likely a few hundred thousand.
And this is happening alongside yet another batch of US guarantees tied to accepting the plan — genuinely ridiculous.
November 21, 2025 at 1:47 PM
And this is happening alongside yet another batch of US guarantees tied to accepting the plan — genuinely ridiculous.
Just the response I was expecting from you, comrade!
November 20, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Just the response I was expecting from you, comrade!
What’s even more striking is the idea that a black market for them already existed. Why would unknown buyers have been in a better position to extract value from these weapons than Ukraine itself, which actually possessed them?
November 20, 2025 at 7:29 AM
What’s even more striking is the idea that a black market for them already existed. Why would unknown buyers have been in a better position to extract value from these weapons than Ukraine itself, which actually possessed them?
So it seems we’re getting closer to acknowledging that the nuclear weapons did have value and were not completely unusable.
November 20, 2025 at 7:28 AM
So it seems we’re getting closer to acknowledging that the nuclear weapons did have value and were not completely unusable.
There are many arguments about why Ukraine supposedly couldn’t have used its nuclear weapons. Even though most of them seem one-sided and overly simplified, I still don’t understand one thing: if those weapons were “of no value,” why were both the US and russia so determined to make UA give them up?
November 20, 2025 at 7:07 AM
There are many arguments about why Ukraine supposedly couldn’t have used its nuclear weapons. Even though most of them seem one-sided and overly simplified, I still don’t understand one thing: if those weapons were “of no value,” why were both the US and russia so determined to make UA give them up?
While you can keep playing with terminology, Ukraine gave up what was then the world’s third-largest nuclear arsenal — a far stronger guarantee than any written pledge from the US. History has already proven this many time.
November 20, 2025 at 6:15 AM
While you can keep playing with terminology, Ukraine gave up what was then the world’s third-largest nuclear arsenal — a far stronger guarantee than any written pledge from the US. History has already proven this many time.