Conventional Take
@conventionaltake.bsky.social
Surely Waller is a safer bet for this? Less likely to be seen as a direct POTUS patsy
January 16, 2026 at 8:56 PM
Surely Waller is a safer bet for this? Less likely to be seen as a direct POTUS patsy
What would be a better way to save pubs?
January 9, 2026 at 10:35 AM
What would be a better way to save pubs?
People should be allowed to develop their properties as they see fit
It may not be a good idea but that’s for the owners to judge not anyone else
It may not be a good idea but that’s for the owners to judge not anyone else
January 7, 2026 at 12:02 PM
People should be allowed to develop their properties as they see fit
It may not be a good idea but that’s for the owners to judge not anyone else
It may not be a good idea but that’s for the owners to judge not anyone else
Who is Jensen?
January 6, 2026 at 4:07 PM
Who is Jensen?
If he is indeed coming after Europe next (eg via annexing Greenland) is there anything that Europe can do?
January 4, 2026 at 8:57 PM
If he is indeed coming after Europe next (eg via annexing Greenland) is there anything that Europe can do?
Depends if they have substance abuse/addiction issues. A close family member of mine does, a moderate sized cash transfer would kill them.
December 30, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Depends if they have substance abuse/addiction issues. A close family member of mine does, a moderate sized cash transfer would kill them.
(Excluding don’t knows, obviously, as I’m sure most people won’t be familiar with the story)
December 29, 2025 at 8:05 AM
(Excluding don’t knows, obviously, as I’m sure most people won’t be familiar with the story)
It is if your long term beta to EMBI<<1 (which it should be for hedge funds?)
December 17, 2025 at 5:29 PM
It is if your long term beta to EMBI<<1 (which it should be for hedge funds?)
No problem, easy mistake! Glad to follow you again on here, was a big fan of your account on Twtr
December 12, 2025 at 10:15 PM
No problem, easy mistake! Glad to follow you again on here, was a big fan of your account on Twtr
Do you expect companies which stick with human copywriters to massively outperform (in terms of sales and profits) those which move to AI?
December 12, 2025 at 10:14 PM
Do you expect companies which stick with human copywriters to massively outperform (in terms of sales and profits) those which move to AI?
Sorry Yuriy, I don’t understand- the screenshot is from January 2024? Why would the Tories claim this was impossible when they were in government when this happened?
December 12, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Sorry Yuriy, I don’t understand- the screenshot is from January 2024? Why would the Tories claim this was impossible when they were in government when this happened?
Thanks! Yes I thought so. But (sorry to be cynical) that’s hindsight bias (the inquiry was inevitably going to find a structural polling bias in favour of Labour, given the result). So saying that “Labour were overstated” is equivalent to “there was a polling miss in favour of the Tories”.
December 12, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Thanks! Yes I thought so. But (sorry to be cynical) that’s hindsight bias (the inquiry was inevitably going to find a structural polling bias in favour of Labour, given the result). So saying that “Labour were overstated” is equivalent to “there was a polling miss in favour of the Tories”.
What do you mean by revised poll figures? Aren’t all poll figures “final” once conducted?
December 12, 2025 at 5:43 PM
What do you mean by revised poll figures? Aren’t all poll figures “final” once conducted?
Nice, thanks!
December 12, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Nice, thanks!
Should also contextualise NHS spending over this period!
December 12, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Should also contextualise NHS spending over this period!
Classic example of the nirvana fallacy www.newstatesman.com/politics/201...
Jeremy Corbyn and the nirvana fallacy
A politician who uses the nirvana fallacy gains an easy rhetorical advantage. But it's a double-edged sword.
www.newstatesman.com
December 7, 2025 at 11:09 PM
Classic example of the nirvana fallacy www.newstatesman.com/politics/201...
Meloni and Frederiksen aren’t *that* unpopular (sort of Cameron-level rather than Truss/Hollande level unpopularity IIRC). Wonder why?
December 2, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Meloni and Frederiksen aren’t *that* unpopular (sort of Cameron-level rather than Truss/Hollande level unpopularity IIRC). Wonder why?
It was possible to work out that the NI cut was unaffordable before the election!
December 2, 2025 at 11:49 AM
It was possible to work out that the NI cut was unaffordable before the election!
If only someone had the power to reverse it, or to argue it was an unaffordable pre-election bribe and should be reversed!
December 2, 2025 at 10:24 AM
If only someone had the power to reverse it, or to argue it was an unaffordable pre-election bribe and should be reversed!