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Reposted by Cornelius Erfort

Jeyhun Alizade @jeyalizade.bsky.social · 8d

Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

Concern that immigration worsens crime problems is prevalent across Western publics. How does it shape electoral politics? Prior research asserted a growing left–right divide in immigration attitudes...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Christina Gahn @christinagahn.bsky.social · 21d

💥 Update! 💥

This paper is now officially published in Volume 30, Issue 4 of The International Journal of Press/Politics! 🗳️

Experimental evidence that voters prefer moderately tailored messages - highly tailored ones can backfire & targeting can be too much: doi.org/10.1177/1940... #IJPP

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Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · Sep 3

Looking forward to presenting recent findings on the attitudinal effects of election polls later this term in Mannheim, in part based on joint work w/ @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social, @linushagemann.de, @hannahrajski.bsky.social, Thomas Gschwend, @lstoetze.bsky.social & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social.

MZES Social Science Data Lab @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social · Sep 2

▶️ Social Science Data Lab: Fall 2025 Events

Six input talks by great researchers (see below ⤵️)!

🗓️ Details & Zoom:
socialsciencedatalab.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/page/events/

👥 Organizers:
@rubac.bsky.social,
@denis-cohen.bsky.social and Alexander Wenz

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Reposted by Cornelius Erfort

EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Aug 7

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵

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Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · Aug 1

New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!

🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.

Read full 🧵 below:

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António Valentim @antvalentim.bsky.social · Jul 25

1/ New paper out in Electoral Studies with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social
We show that nuclear power plants reduce electoral support for Green parties in Germany.
🔗 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
A thread on the paper:

How nuclear power hurts the Greens: Evidence from German nuclear power plants

What are the electoral consequences of nuclear energy for Green parties? Despite the centrality of nuclear opposition to Green party platforms, and th…

www.sciencedirect.com

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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · Jul 9

📣 Call for Applications 📣

3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀

Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social

Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!

🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025

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Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · Jul 5

The Department of Homeland Security has spend over $800k worth of ads on Facebook and Instagram clearly targeted at people with Latin American / Mexican background telling them that "if you are here illegaly we will find you and we will deport you".

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Annina Hermes @anninahermes.bsky.social · Jun 26

Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday!
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253

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Frederik Thieme @frederikthieme.bsky.social · Jun 26

Are tailored ads in political campaigns as persuasive as conventional wisdom holds? 📢

In joint work w/ @heikekluever.bsky.social we present evidence from a field experiment with the German Greens ahead of the 2024 European Elections calling this into question 🤔
#epsa2025

⏰: Friday, 16:50
📍: 0A.10

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

That’s #EPSA2025 of course 😅

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

Code and data are here: github.com/cornelius-er...

GitHub - cornelius-erfort/epsa-2025

Contribute to cornelius-erfort/epsa-2025 development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

And last but not least, there is an overall imbalance by gender (about 60/40), but with variation across institutions.

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

There is also an interactive map on affiliations here: corneliuserfort.de/files/epsa20... (And yes, @gessler.bsky.social, the Viadrina is included in the maps this year!)

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

And a closer look at Europe

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

How are the affiliations spread out on the map?

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

This year's top individual contributors are @heikekluever.bsky.social and @tonirodon.bsky.social 🎉

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

In the top affiliations, we see some changes with Gothenburg gaining momentum, and the LSE losing its first place from last year. Happy to see Humboldt making it into the top 10!

(All figures are based on the number of (co-)authorships.)

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Jun 26

I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸

@epsanet.bsky.social‬

A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · May 20

I'm on my way to Mannheim, looking forward to talk about our forecasting project (zweitstimme.org) with @hannahrajski.bsky.social. Join us at the MZES or online 🤗

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Apr 3

And this tailoring likely isn’t just about gender.

👵👩👧 The way parties feature different age groups is also linked to the audience age—suggesting broader patterns in ad strategy.

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Apr 3

What about ads targeted specifically at women?

📌 Parties tailor these ads, showing women much more often—though with differences across party families.

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Apr 3

First, how often do parties feature women in their ads overall?

👀 Some party families consistently include more women than others.

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Apr 3

I analyze ad images & videos from all parties in the EP elections, identifying the gender of people shown.

🔍 Do parties visually represent women differently in their ads? Let’s find out.

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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · Apr 3

How do parties tailor their campaign ads to women? 🗳️👩

Excited to share that my paper on how parties adapt their ads is out now at @thejop.bsky.social!

📖 Read it here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

A quick breakdown of the findings ⬇️🧵

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