Clément Plaisant
@cplaisant.bsky.social
1.1K followers 230 following 2K posts
International Relations | Diplomacy | Turkey-Syria | Et un peu d'@OL. Personal views here
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cplaisant.bsky.social
As we pass the 100-day mark of the politico-judicial operation against Istanbul Mayor İmamoğlu, I've compiled in 3 blog posts a few keys/resources that will (I hope) help to better understand this event (which is not over) :

1) a detailed timeline of the operation ++
medium.com/@Mayis_Sikin...
Updated timeline of the politico-judicial operation against the Mayor of Istanbul Ekrem İmamoğlu…
https://medium.com/@Mayis_Sikintisi/updated-timeline-of-the-politico-judicial-operation-against-the-mayor-of-istanbul-ekrem-i̇mamoğlu-4f02aaa92be7
cplaisant.bsky.social
A very thorough examination of the China-Turkey partnership by leading experts on the subject (including Barçın Yinanç, Ceren Ergenç, and Tolga Bilener). The authors conclude that the relationship is hampered by contradictions and a lack of institutionalization
www.globalpanorama.org/2025/10/turk...
Türkiye-Çin İlişkilerinde Yeni Dönem: Çok Kutupluluk, Ticaret ve Jeostrateji - Karel Valansi – Global Panorama
Küresel düzen ciddi bir değişim yaşarken dünya, çok katmanlı krizler, jeopolitik sarsıntılar ve belirsizliklerle şekillenen bir döneme girdi. Soğuk Savaş
www.globalpanorama.org
cplaisant.bsky.social
A must-read : "In Erdogan’s Turkey, decisions are made by an inner circle in Ankara, far removed from the wishes of Turkish Cypriots. At best, the Northern Cyprus elections will be a test of how quickly Ankara’s authoritarian contagion is spreading"
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/08/e...
Turkish Cypriots Go to the Polls. Will It Matter?
What a potentially unfair election in a definitely unrecognized country means for the Middle East and Europe.
foreignpolicy.com
cplaisant.bsky.social
Personally, what still strikes me is all the fuss this summer about disarmament. Months later, nothing has changed.
Reposted by Clément Plaisant
heissenstat.bsky.social
One of the big stories underway in Turkey is the process by which the ruling party is pulling in opposition leaders at both the municipal level and, more importantly, in parliament

It has both symbolic importance and direct political implications, moving TR towards a consolidated autocracy
cplaisant.bsky.social
"Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said state lender Halkbank’s legal case in the US is due to be resolved following recent talks with President Donald Trump, prompting bank shares to rise"
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
cplaisant.bsky.social
An interesting point made by Murat Yutkin: neither the DEM nor the MHP have yet formalised the proposal [Turkey's Kurdish peace commission's visit to Öcalan], and the two parties seem to be passing the buck between them. The situation in Syria could put a brake on such an initiative.
cplaisant.bsky.social
Turkey’s Kurdish peace commission could visit jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan by the end of October or early November. While the most important figures in the ruling bloc have given their approval (from Bahçeli to Uçum), all that remains is the green light from the CHP.
t24.com.tr/haber/devlet...
Devlet Bahçeli kapıyı araladı: TBMM komisyonu, MİT Başkanı Kalın’ın sunumundan sonra İmralı’ya gidebilir
Heyette kimler olacak, hangi tarih konuşuluyor?
t24.com.tr
cplaisant.bsky.social
Turkey’s Kurdish peace commission could visit jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan by the end of October or early November. While the most important figures in the ruling bloc have given their approval (from Bahçeli to Uçum), all that remains is the green light from the CHP.
t24.com.tr/haber/devlet...
Devlet Bahçeli kapıyı araladı: TBMM komisyonu, MİT Başkanı Kalın’ın sunumundan sonra İmralı’ya gidebilir
Heyette kimler olacak, hangi tarih konuşuluyor?
t24.com.tr
cplaisant.bsky.social
Discreetly, the commission responsible for amending the constitution, composed solely of AKP members, met every week this summer. While the work could be completed in four months, some within the party are already calling for a referendum and general election to be held simultaneously.
cplaisant.bsky.social
Kurdish leaders have expressed anger following the Turkish government's refusal to release Selahattin Demirtaş. However, this does not mark the end of the peace process, as the Kurds are not in a position to halt such an initiative. On the other hand, it clearly shows that the solution process +
cplaisant.bsky.social
"Turkish officials proposed settling a U.S. legal case against state lender Halkbank for some $100 million during a meeting between President Donald Trump and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan at the White House last month, two sources told Reuters"
www.reuters.com/world/turkey...
cplaisant.bsky.social
"Turkey is the armed and powerful version of Qatar," a senior Israeli security source told Al-Monitor. "Whereas Qatar is boosting its influence through money, 🇹🇷 is now expanding its clout throughout the Middle East through its military power, as well as through the creativity of Erdogan and Fidan"
cplaisant.bsky.social
I wouldn't go so far as to call it Turkish marketing, as the author is also critical of Turkish actions (however, one could argue that he does not draw the right conclusions).
cplaisant.bsky.social
"Another area where US officials should follow Trump’s lead and explore cooperating with Turkey is Africa [...] With China and Russia jockeying to fill the resulting void, Turkey is a potential alternative for the United States to support"
nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-...
Can Turkey Help the US in Africa?
Turkey maintains an outsized footprint in Africa, and, in certain respects, its interests align with those of the United States.
nationalinterest.org
cplaisant.bsky.social
"One Qatari source confirmed that Turkish Defence Minister Yasar Guler and Air Force commander General Ziya Cemal Kadioglu were in Doha on Tuesday to discuss the potential procurement of the jets"
www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
Turkey eyes second-hand Eurofighter jets from Qatar
Sources say Ankara close to securing a deal as Turkey’s defence minister visits Doha
www.middleeasteye.net
cplaisant.bsky.social
A new court case showing that Turkish courts can have very different judgments and assessments on the legality of the assault (March 19 operation, congress case) being carried out by the Turkish government against the CHP. Nevertheless, this will probably not prevent Ankara from achieving its goals.
t24.com.tr
🔴 İBB dosyasında tutuklu sanıkların itirazları birleştirildi, mahkeme "bu kadar isim için karar veremem" dedi

✍️ Prof. Dr. Tolga Şirin'in yazısı...
t24.com.tr/yazarlar/tol...
Reposted by Clément Plaisant
heissenstat.bsky.social
The rise of the "prison industrial complex" in Turkey is quite remarkable. This graph brings us to 2018, but the trend has continued to this day.
cplaisant.bsky.social
Turkish opportunism : "Turkey is discussing developing rare-earth reserves in western Anatolia with the US, marking a shift toward its NATO ally after similar talks with China and Russia slowed amid disagreements over technology transfer and refining rights"
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Turkey Eyes US Rare Earths Deal After China, Russia Talks Slow
Turkey is discussing developing rare-earth reserves in western Anatolia with the US, marking a shift toward its NATO ally after similar talks with China and Russia slowed amid disagreements over techn...
www.bloomberg.com