This brief presents a new data-driven framework for identifying Chinese maritime gray zone activity near Taiwan, using AIS tracking, fishing effort data, and military drill zones to flag civilian vessels likely engaged in state-directed operations.

U.S. allies and partners face new and paradigm-shifting challenges under the second Trump administration. This compendium explores how multiple actors are responding to and coping with U.S. policies in the context of disruptive changes to the global order.

If there is any hope that the current civil war will lead to the reestablishment of a unified Myanmar, creative solutions will have to be found to resolve the conflicting claims in Shan State.

Trump’s notification to Congress determining an “armed conflict” with drug cartels marks the latest escalation in ongoing U.S. operations in the Caribbean against Venezuelan drug boats. While raising concerns of potential military intervention in Venezuela, assets currently deployed fall short of what an invasion or raid would require. 

Dr. Victor Cha, Dr. Jeonghun Min, and Dr. Hanbeom Jeong discussed President Lee’s first 100 days in office, the implications of his foreign policies for extended deterrence, U.S.–ROK and U.S.–North Korea engagement, and more.

The government shutdown will have a substantial impact on the industrial base. While work will continue on contracts that are already funded, no new obligations of funds are permitted unless tied to an excepted activity. 

On October 4, Japan’s ruling party elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader, and she will likely become Japan’s first female prime minister. Nicholas Szechenyi breaks down her likely policy priorities and the implications for Japan’s strategic trajectory.

Netanyahu has favored vengeance over vision since the Hamas attack.

With Washington prioritizing America First, partners across the Pacific are weighing their options. Perceptions of a capricious and transactional Washington are creating pressure to reconsider long-standing assumptions about the alliance.