curtisduggan.bsky.social
@curtisduggan.bsky.social
Actual "this is new consumer tech moments"

Macintosh
NES
FTP into Ivy League servers and "download" things
N64
World Wide Web browser
Google Search
WiFi
iPhone
Nintendo Wii remote
Oculus Rift
Uber
Self-driving (Waymo)
ChatGPT
Vision Pro
?
July 17, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Moments (3000 BC - 1900 AD)
Writing
Wheel
Bronze working
Iron working
Aqueducts
Concrete
Printing press
Gunpowder
Compass
Telescope
Microscope
Steam engine
Electricity
Telegraph
Telephone
Photography
Railroad
Automobile
Anesthesia
Vaccination
Refrigeration
Sewing machine
Typewriter
Phonograph
July 17, 2025 at 6:58 AM
It's interesting how branding works for travel.

Croatia and Italy are the same latitude. Many areas are similiar.

Italy (and many of its regions) have a "brand" so many people go there.

How many more people would go to Croatia with a brand refresh
July 17, 2025 at 2:57 AM
Language translation AI + dating app??
July 16, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Companies will incorporate where regulations are favorable, hire where talent is best, and serve customers where demand is highest, completely independent of physical headquarters location.
July 14, 2025 at 7:57 AM
I foresee a movement, similar to the environmental or local-first movements, getting popular in the 2030s.

Total ownership movement.
July 14, 2025 at 3:01 AM
it's CRAZY how much more physiologically calming reading a book is than scrolling and watching.

I know that there is a "feels like homework" hump that most people cannot get over,

For those "habitual readers" in the cultural minority, true uninterrupted reading is tantric yoga
July 13, 2025 at 7:00 PM
At some point, at least for a short period of time, I genuinely explored and seriosuly considered what it would like to "be" all of these

Palaeontologist
Archaeologist
Teacher
Writer
Journalist
Interpreter
Video game designer
Musician
Bassist
Filmmaker
July 13, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Someone who had experience gave me advice in an elevator that amounted to:

Sounds like you're doing that right, just keep going.

This is an underrated form of advice

"I see no red flags"
"Just keep going"
"You're headed in the right direction"
July 13, 2025 at 10:56 AM
AI prompt engineering
Cross-cultural communication
Async project management
Google Analytics 4
Video editing
Meta Ads management
Conflict resolution
Systems thinking
Personal branding
Shopify store optimization
Adaptability to constant change
Voice communication skills
July 13, 2025 at 8:02 AM
In 2020, I had finished 5 years as a VC-style CEO who delegated, motivated, empowered, and cajoled other people to do all the things while I "acted as a router"

After selling, I rebooted myself as someone who knew how to indie hack and do things myself.
July 13, 2025 at 3:02 AM
I notice a bifurcation in how two different types of high-agency people use AI.

There is the kind of person who is more "GPT think-with-me focused". They ask GPT to provided frameworks, plans, lists, reviews, research.
July 12, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Boomers permanently on cruise ships, like months out of the year, half the year, most of the year, will become a travelling economy

Anyone in a port town can make six figures testing an approach to servicing the cruise ship arrivals economy
July 12, 2025 at 3:57 PM
People will always seek out hypocrisy and eliminate.

This is a feature of our species.

Whether it is society in the 1950s saying homosexuality doesn't and shouldn't exist (of course it does)

Or the reaction to woke fallacies in this decade
July 12, 2025 at 10:57 AM
When software flows like tap water, the alpha will shift to manufacturing (not drop shipping --- manufacturing) physical products
July 12, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Buy-now-pay-later will consolidate into major bank products as credit card companies acquire fintech startups to capture younger consumers.

BNPL is not going away
July 12, 2025 at 3:02 AM
Electric vehicle charging will become a retail destination category. Shopping centers will be designed around 45-minute charging sessions

Not a conspiracy but they will find ways to make you love stopping and shopping for 45 minutes

Restaurants will turn over the tables in sync
July 11, 2025 at 11:57 PM
The major shoes to drop for people who aren't that online

1. Agentic AI and the future of work
2. Robots
3. Spatial computing (seriously, the Vision Pro is from the year 2032 even though it's a flop)
4. Stablecoins
July 11, 2025 at 7:03 PM
I don't really understand when @balajis talks about how Bitcoin has appreciated against the dollar a million percent as a "reframe".

It's true but any security that didn't exist and then attained value has "appreciated against the dollar"
July 11, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Social commerce will account for 30% of online purchases as platforms integrate shopping directly into content consumption

Social commerce will eat everything

The old ways are dying
July 11, 2025 at 11:04 AM
I am really starting to see the commercial real estate problem. I don't even think the demand is dead, it's just that the offices and industrial spaces are simply not set up for the 21st century (robots, spatial computing, flexibility).

Another WeWork is not the answer but something is
July 11, 2025 at 7:57 AM
Sea days create forced relaxation that many people can't achieve on land-based vacations. Sometimes you need to be trapped on water to actually unwind
July 11, 2025 at 3:01 AM
Cruise ship balconies offer private ocean access that most coastal hotels can't match. Personal seating for sunrises and storms that would cost thousands on land.

The cruise ship industry continues to fascinate me.
July 10, 2025 at 6:59 PM
The cruise industry figured out how to make people pay premium prices to wait in lines, eat at scheduled times, and share bathrooms with strangers. Thereby achieving epic economics of scale. Peak hospitality innovation.
July 10, 2025 at 4:03 PM
It is strange to the point of warranting a time travel conspiracy how much Pachelbel Canon in D is a pop-rock song with pop chords 300 years before the 20th century and pre-Mozart, pre-Beethoven.

One guy did Don't Look Back in Anger while everyone else was doing church chorales
July 10, 2025 at 8:03 AM