Once again, no 🇬🇧 Brennan @ 3 for the Cadel Evans Great Ocean Road Race, yet 🇩🇰 LUND ANDRESEN @ 9
#BetTheFavorite bankroll: -0,5 units
No #BetTheFavorite2.5 bet

No 🇬🇧BRENNAN on Stage 4, while he did take home stage 5 @ 2.75 and no 🇪🇨NARVAEZ @ 2.5, yet 🇦🇺VINE taking the 🇦🇺#TourDownUnder GC @ 6
#BetTheFavorite bankroll: 0.5 units
#BetTheFavorite2.5 bankroll: -3 units

🇦🇺#TourDownUnder Stage 3
🇦🇺WELSFORD @ 4.5 over 🇬🇧 Brennan @ 2.1
#BetTheFavorite bankroll: 0.75 units
#BetTheavorite2.5 bankroll: -2 units

No 🇪🇨Narvaez @ 2.5, yet 🇦🇺VINE @ 11 for Stage 2 of the 🇦🇺#TourDownUnder - #BetTheFavorite bankroll down to 1.75 unit with the #BetTheFavorite2.5 bankroll starting in the red: -1 unit

Somehow, it seems like the Belgian bookies never opened the markets for Stage 1 of the Tour Down Under, let’s see whether they wake up today #BetTheFavorite

Starting the 2026 #BetTheFavorite experiment with a win for 🇬🇧WATSON @3.75 on the prologue of the 🇦🇺 #TourDownUnder bringing the #BetTheFavorite bankroll to 2.75 units, while there was no bet on the #BetTheFavorite2.5 experiment

For the 2026 season, I'll repeat the #BetThefavorite experiment (1 unit on the favorite), to see whether we can do better by applying the rules above in a fictive #BetTheFavorite2.5 experiment

HAVE A GREAT CYCLING SEASON YOU ALL

For the 2025 season, with hindsight, you could have increased the #BetTheFavorite bankroll to a whopping 33.46 units by applying the rules above and betting the favorite at odds above 2.5, only when these odds were given to MVDP, Pedersen, Almeida or Ayuso

By applying the following rules, the #BetTheFavorite bankroll could have been sensibly increased to 17.76 units
- Do not bet the favorite at odds above 2.5
- Do not bet GT sprint stages (too chaotic)
- Do not bet Pogacar or Vingegaard on GT stages
- Do not bet TTTs

The largest favorite upset came from 🇺🇸Quinn Simmons over 🇸🇮Roglic, taking a predicted mountain top GC stage @ 301. Other triple digit wins were Dversnes on Tirreno Adriatico St3, Asgreen Giro St14, Romeo Dauphiné St3 and Gaudu on La Vuelta St3, all @ 201, followed by 4 other wins in the triple digits

You would expect 🇸🇮Pogacar to be a main contributing factor here, yet with him getting favorite status whenever he lines up, this is not the case.
The main profitable favorites were 🇵🇹Almeida (x10), 🇩🇰Pedersen (x9) & to a lesser extent 🇪🇸Ayuso (x5)

My bankroll at the end of the season stood at 11.31 units, which is way beyond what I had expected - should I have bet 100 Euro on each of these races, I would have ended the season with 1131 Euro.

An absolute legend

With Remco taking the 🌈 over POG on the ITT and POG confirming on the Road's race @ 1.55, the #BetTheFavorite bankroll now stands at 11.31 units going into the final one day race of the season

Sad but true!

Just for the record, I am increasingly talking myself into 🇬🇧PIDCOCK here! Because the course really suits him, giving him a real shot at the triple crown (CX, XC and road)!!! 🇷🇼 #Kigali2025

The shortened Stage 16 of #LaVuelta25 went to Bernal @ 34 while JVG took the overall @ 1.4, bringing the #BetTheFavorite bankroll to 11.76 units