Dan Hinge
@danhinge.bsky.social
1.2K followers 720 following 440 posts
Benchmarks editor at Central Banking - covering economics, data and the BIS. Short stories published by Liars' League and Every Day Fiction 📚📰🚲🍲🏃🥾 Signal: @danhinge.89 https://www.centralbanking.com/author/daniel-hinge
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danhinge.bsky.social
*important caveat to the above: the US dollar is very much dominant still in both the exchange-traded rate derivative market (bigger than OTC) and the FX market.
danhinge.bsky.social
Also quite interesting, the euro is now top dog in the OTC interest rate derivatives market, overtaking the US dollar. The market as a whole has taken a big pivot away from the US and also grew 59%, with sterling and yen also registering massive rises.*
danhinge.bsky.social
This may have been a tiny bit influenced by the fact that the BIS collected the data in the middle of April's 'liberation day' fun and games. We'll have to wait until December for the BIS to publish their full assessment of what's driving the numbers.
danhinge.bsky.social
Pleased to confirm that the gobsmackingly huge number is $9.6 trillion daily FX turnover www.centralbanking.com/central-bank...
danhinge.bsky.social
Love Louise Hayward's etchings of London. Here's one we have of scaffolding on Trellick Tower
Scaffolding on Trellick Tower, a print by Louise Hayward, framed and on the wall of my flat.
danhinge.bsky.social
Given that a lack of transparency was a big part of the spectacular screw-up that just took place, the appointment of a top official from one of the world's most transparent central banks is probably not an accident. The RBNZ has some serious reputational damage to repair.
danhinge.bsky.social
Fun pullquote in this story on central bankers' legal immunity www.centralbanking.com/benchmarking...
Pullquote with the text "It's bloody difficult to sue the Bank of England for anything", a quote from John Gieve, former BoE deputy governor
danhinge.bsky.social
For example, what links the operating frameworks of Riksbank, RBA and Bank of Canada? Well, they all have moderate levels of reserves in the system and also moderate marginal cost of reserves, which puts them kind of in the middle between floor and corridor systems.
Reposted by Dan Hinge
robarmstrong.bsky.social
Unhedged chart of the week; Pity the poor Fed
via @hakyungkim.bsky.social
Sign up for COTW here: ep.ft.com/newsletters/...
Reposted by Dan Hinge
danhinge.bsky.social
I know I know, late to the party
danhinge.bsky.social
Gah, why did the BoE have to publish its proposals for the gilt repo market when Thomas and I were both on leave? www.bankofengland.co.uk/paper/2025/d...
Enhancing the resilience of the gilt repo market
Discussion paper
www.bankofengland.co.uk
danhinge.bsky.social
I may have mentioned once or twice that I'm fairly sceptical of AI, but this paper by Anton Korinek challenged me on that. Some pretty powerful tools available to economists on his telling www.centralbanking.com/central-bank...
AI agents are ‘transformative’ for economic research – NBER paper - Central Banking
‘Capability spiral’ is leading to rapid improvements, author says, though risks remain
www.centralbanking.com
Reposted by Dan Hinge
hetanshah.bsky.social
‘So if there is flight from the dollar… we would… be in a world where there's not enough liquidity to go around to finance global transactions as we know them. And that's a 1930s style scenario.’ @b-eichengreen.bsky.social talks to @pkrugman.bsky.social
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/talking-wi...
Talking With Barry Eichengreen
Crises, the dollar and more
paulkrugman.substack.com
danhinge.bsky.social
I can see uses, e.g. a chatbot helping people access information about workplace disputes. But the idea of settling those disputes with AI ... argh