Daniel Heck
@danielheck.bsky.social
1K followers 650 following 69 posts
Professor of Psychological Methods @Phillips-Universtät Marburg Mathematical psychology | Cognitive modeling | Psychometrics | Bayesian statistics Personal: www.dwheck.de Team: https://www.uni-marburg.de/de/fb04/team-heck
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Reposted by Daniel Heck
amadeuantonio.bsky.social
Konservative 🤝Rechtsextreme = politischer Selbstmord?

In vielen EU-Ländern versuchen konservative Parteien durch Kooperationen, rechtsextreme Parteien zu „zähmen“. Die CDU-nahe Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung hat untersucht, was das für Konsequenzen hat. Spoiler: Es funktioniert nicht. 1/6🧵
Laut CDU-naher Studie: Rechte Parteien durch Kooperation zu zähmen, funktioniert nicht
Der Rechtsruck beschäftigt nicht nur Deutschland, in anderen EU-Ländern versuchen sich rechte Parteien in Regierungsverantwortung. Die Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung hat untersucht, was das für Konservative...
www.spiegel.de
danielheck.bsky.social
That's interesting - thanks for comparing the methods and for letting me know!

Analytical solutions are of course more elegant than numerical integration.
Reposted by Daniel Heck
sehellmann.bsky.social
For all who use Bayesian hierarchical models, have a look at our new preprint, out now together with @linushof.bsky.social @nunobusch.bsky.social and @thorstenpachur.bsky.social

osf.io/preprints/ps...
osf.io
danielheck.bsky.social
Still, it is worthwile to have a paper elaborating on this in detail!
danielheck.bsky.social
Just a remark regarding "The same incorrect computation appears in implementations of latent-trait multinomial processing tree models":

The issue has been mentioned in the literature (shorturl.at/Ajx0W), and the R package TreeBUGS has the function probitInverse as a solution (shorturl.at/mRp1S).
TreeBUGS: An R package for hierarchical multinomial-processing-tree modeling - Behavior Research Methods
Multinomial processing tree (MPT) models are a class of measurement models that account for categorical data by assuming a finite number of underlying cognitive processes. Traditionally, data are aggr...
shorturl.at
danielheck.bsky.social
Looks and reads great, I especially like the concise figure!

This is an important issue which is often overlooked, so the contribution will be useful for many modelers. 👍
Reposted by Daniel Heck
aufdroeseler.bsky.social
At the FORRT Replication Hub, our mission is to support researchers who want to replicate previous findings. We have now published a big new component with which we want to fulfill this mission: An open access handbook for reproduction and replication studies: forrt.org/replication_...
Reposted by Daniel Heck
jkflake.bsky.social
Help us show there is support for offering registered reports at one of Psychology's leading method's journal! chng.it/TwwnVBScVb
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods
Can you spare a minute to help this campaign?
chng.it
Reposted by Daniel Heck
nilspetras.bsky.social
1/3 I think the premise is worth some attention: why is there a (frequently wrong) expectation that science is precise? I am often confused even by textbooks for university student audiences. Confused about how frequently findings and expert judgements are portrayed as certain and final.
danielheck.bsky.social
"Science is expected to be precise, and admissions of uncertainty (especially large levels) can be perceived as scientific failures, rather than natural limitations of knowledge of a topic." 😕

Broomell et al. (2025). Expert judgment and communication of uncertainty. doi.org/10.1007/978-...
Expert Judgment and Communication of Uncertainty
Knowledge built through the scientific study of climate is essential for informed decision-making. In the presence of irreducible uncertainty, the results of climate science must be gathered and synth...
doi.org
danielheck.bsky.social
It would be good to learn already in school that uncertainty is a fundamental aspect of science.

I guess people generally dislike being in a cognitive state of uncertainty. But I vaguely remember some studies showing that scientists are better at coping with it.
danielheck.bsky.social
"Science is expected to be precise, and admissions of uncertainty (especially large levels) can be perceived as scientific failures, rather than natural limitations of knowledge of a topic." 😕

Broomell et al. (2025). Expert judgment and communication of uncertainty. doi.org/10.1007/978-...
Expert Judgment and Communication of Uncertainty
Knowledge built through the scientific study of climate is essential for informed decision-making. In the presence of irreducible uncertainty, the results of climate science must be gathered and synth...
doi.org
danielheck.bsky.social
Just submitted a minor bugfix of RRreg to CRAN:
github.com/danheck/RRre...

The R package focuses on analyzing univariate & multivariate data collected with the Randomized Response Technique (RRT), which protects anonymity in surveys by randomly scrambling responses.

I also added a new logo 🚀
Reposted by Daniel Heck
lewan.bsky.social
What an incredible resource from the indefatigable @chrischirp.bsky.social . No one can say we didn't know -- it's all happening in broad daylight.
chrischirp.bsky.social
🧵Introducing the Trump Action Tracker website!

Today I’m launching www.trumpactiontracker.info - a live, searchable list of authoritarian‑style actions from Trump’s second term (over 740 actions so far). 1/14
Reposted by Daniel Heck
matkau.bsky.social
Ein ganz ganz wichtiger Text in diesen Zeiten. "Die vorliegende Kampagne gegen eine deutsche Top-Juristin ist nichts anderes als ein weiterer Versuch der Trumpisierung deutscher Politik. [...] es liegt kurzum an wirklich allen Demokraten, dies nicht zuzulassen." 👊
janskudlarek.bsky.social
"Rechtspopulisten, Rechtsradikale und Antidemokraten versuchen abermals, unsere demokratischen Institutionen zu schwächen, um so den Weg zu bereiten für ihre rechtspopulistische, rechtsradikale und antidemokratische Politik. Es liegt an uns allen, das zu verhindern."

Mein neuer Artikel!
Die Mär von der Neutralität (Der Fall Brosius-Gersdorf)
Eine unwahrscheinliche Kandidatin lässt momentan den Blutdruck der Nation anziehen: Frauke Brosius-Gersdorf. Top-Juristin, anerkannte Wissenschaftlerin und, wenn es nach…
steady.page
danielheck.bsky.social
of course, we also need a new badge!
danielheck.bsky.social
The effort by the authors is laudable and may be useful in itself.

But I am not sure where all the checklists will lead us...
danielheck.bsky.social
Yet another checklist for science 🚀

✅A checklist...
✅for incentivizing...
✅and facilitating...
✅good theory building
✅https://osf.io/preprints/osf/7qvfz_v2

Luckily enough, we can nowadays use AI to fill out all the checklists during the research process 😅
Reposted by Daniel Heck
rmcelreath.bsky.social
Here's a paper with a skeleton of the idea, but there is really lots of research to do on the structure of workflow networks, now to make them robust, how to development diagnostics and calculi for steps within them. doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
Bridging theory and data: A computational workflow for cultural evolution | PNAS
Cultural evolution applies evolutionary concepts and tools to explain the change of culture over time. Despite advances in both theoretical and emp...
doi.org
Reposted by Daniel Heck
mcxfrank.bsky.social
Experimentology is out today!!! A group of us wrote a free online textbook for experimental methods, available at experimentology.io - the idea was to integrate open science into all aspects of the experimental workflow from planning to design, analysis, and writing.
Experimentology cover: title and curves for distributions.
Reposted by Daniel Heck
zpid.bsky.social
Simplifying ethics applications and their evaluation 👍

Leibniz Institute for Psychology (ZPID) provides a free webtool for ethics proposals in collaboration with #Chemnitz #University of #Technology
👉 ethiktool.org/en

Thank you @volkswagenstiftung.de
#ethic #psychology #humanities
Ethiktool - Main page
ethiktool.org
Reposted by Daniel Heck
leemarvinoswald.bsky.social
Please read this article.

Once you see it, you can't not see it.

And it will make you a better consumer of the news and therefore a better and more informed citizen.

👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
markjacob.bsky.social
I’m sick of the mainstream media using euphemisms and other weasel wording to soft-pedal the Trump regime’s corruption.
Rather than committing crimes, Trump “sidesteps laws.”
Rather than lying, he’s “untethered to truth” or “inverting the facts.”
Read my latest Stop the Presses newsletter.
The media’s weasel wording helps Trump
Here are 5 ways news outlets sugar-coat fascism with euphemisms.
www.stopthepresses.news