Read the full briefing from me, @yuanfenyang.bsky.social &
@kaneemerson.bsky.social here: britishprogress.org/briefings/wa...

Previous competition action that enabled the rise of Lidl and Aldi created estimated welfare gains of 3.5% on certain basic products.

The Government could go further and introduce a permitted development right for grocery stores, which would make it easier to open new branches in underserved areas.

1. 🇪🇺 Closer alignment with the EU: agreeing a deal on SPS + customs arrangement, could lower food prices by 3-6%.

2. 🏗️ Reform planning to increase supermarket competition: current planning constraints benefit incumbents and limit the availability of lower-cost shops.

So what can we do?

To answer this question, @britishprogress.org has teamed up with @livingstandardsc.bsky.social to publish new research, drawing on expertise and evidence from @systemiq.bsky.social

We find that there are two main levers the Government can pull to get prices down.

The main drivers of recent food inflation are:

🌾 a global squeeze triggered by Russia’s war in Ukraine
🌡️ climate-related shocks
⚡ higher energy prices, also linked to the war, as well as Britain's dependence on gas.

Meanwhile, supermarket margins are razor-thin, and VAT is already set to 0.

And in @newstatesman1913.bsky.social here.

(Thanks @emilylawford.bsky.social for editing & publishing!)

www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

Read the full piece, and my recommendations, in @renewaljournal.bsky.social here

(thanks @dmk1793.bsky.social for editing and publishing!)

renewal.org.uk/blog/a-custo...

Dynamism ≠ innovation.

Europe has no shortage of founders & creators. The challenge is continually reallocating talent & capital to productive areas, turning ideas into companies that take on incumbents & scale.

Market structure, regulation & infrastructure matter more than ingenuity & skills.

Brexit didn’t cause our stagnation, but it created an excuse for it. Brexit sucked the air out of our debates, so we never properly interrogated the root causes of low growth.

Europe suffers a lack of dynamism. Our largest companies are older than those in the US & weighted towards legacy sectors.

We can build a runway in 4 years. The barriers are all within Parliament’s control. Where there is political will, there is a new runway.

Read the full report from @morganwild.bsky.social, @pedroserodio.com, @dantomlinson.bsky.social & me

britishprogress.org/briefings/ge...

3️⃣ Start with short-haul

Instead of relocating the M25 - a requirement for a long runway - a short-haul runway could be built within the current footprint. This would boost domestic and European flights while freeing up space for more long-haul travel on the main runways.

2️⃣ Tighten the timetable

The Public Bill could be passed by early 2026. If ministers are prepared to override Standing Orders as the government did with Scunthorpe steelworks, the Bill could be enacted even faster.

1️⃣ Speed up planning

We struggle to build because our planning system is too slow and restrictive. A Public Bill on Heathrow expansion would empower Parliament to give the new runway the go-ahead, eliminating the risk of Judicial Review & reducing the number of veto players.

We believe that a new runway in 4 years is possible. But it will require bold decisions. Here’s how you do it:

But can we actually build a runway before the next election?

Doing so would not only deliver much-needed growth, it would send a clear message to ordinary people who have lost faith in politicians’ ability to deliver: a Britain that can build things again.

While previous govts dithered and prevaricated, this government has a chance to succeed where they failed.

Heathrow expansion is good for growth, benefits the whole country, and consistent with our climate goals (see our previous piece!)

britishprogress.org/uk-day-one/h...

It is a source of national shame that governments have spent decades failing to expand Heathrow.

It is the world’s most congested airport and operates with fewer runways than its competitors (excl Dubai, which runs through the night, and is building a whole new airport)

Full analysis by me and @davidlawrenceuk.bsky.social here:
britishprogress.org/reports/isa-...