David Ubilava
@davidubilava.bsky.social
1K followers 800 following 230 posts
Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Sydney. Agricultural Economics, Food and Commodity Markets, Climate, Conflict. https://davidubilava.com
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davidubilava.bsky.social
The climate–conflict nexus is an active area of research. I examine how El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks affect political violence in Africa. Headline result: Exposure to a positive ENSO shock (an El Niño event) reduces postharvest conflict. [1/13]
doi.org/10.1111/ajae...
Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict
I present new evidence of the effects of climate shocks on conflict. Focusing on political violence in Africa, I find that El Niño Southern Oscillation shocks during the crop-growing season affect ha...
doi.org
Reposted by David Ubilava
unswecon.bsky.social
Hi everyone! We're finally on bluesky! We heard this is now where all the cool people hang out, and even though we are just an economics department, we still would like to be cool.
Reposted by David Ubilava
andrcatt.bsky.social
1/ 🚀Big Update❗❗
Last year we published @NatCities, a systematic analysis of how countries are organized around multiple urban centres. That geospatial dataset is very complex. So we just launched the City-Region Explorer🔎... an easy to use platform for analysis. 🧵
#EconSky #Geography #GISChat
davidubilava.bsky.social
We have a superb lineup of 18 speakers representing 10 universities from across four countries. Really excited about this one!
ashani.bsky.social
The day is here! Looking forward to the 2nd edition of SCoPE at the University of Sydney today 🤩

@davidubilava.bsky.social

Program sydneyscope.org
davidubilava.bsky.social
In that order? That's bad editorship :)
Reposted by David Ubilava
jpeaceresearch.bsky.social
Does conflict intensify during harvest in crop-producing regions?
davidubilava.bsky.social
7/ Our study builds on and contributes to the literatures on the agricultural roots of conflict, specifically in Southeast Asia, and the seasonality of conflict. These findings highlight the need to account for seasonal dynamics in conflict research and policy.
davidubilava.bsky.social
6/ The most robust result is an increase of up to ten percent in violence against civilians in rice-producing regions during harvest season. We also show that this effect is driven by rural areas with rainfed agriculture.
davidubilava.bsky.social
5/ Generally, we find that political violence by organized groups increases, while social unrest by unorganized groups decreases during the harvest season. These findings align with the rapacity and opportunity cost mechanisms, respectively.
davidubilava.bsky.social
4/ We analyze 86,000+ violent incidents across 8 Southeast Asian countries over the 2010–2023 period.
davidubilava.bsky.social
3/ Since agricultural employment and income are seasonal, conflict stemming from them may also be seasonal. Seasonality of agrarian conflict is the key focus of this research.
davidubilava.bsky.social
2/ Small changes to household income can trigger conflict in low- and middle-income countries. This can happen in urban and rural contexts. In the rural context, agriculture is often the key mechanism linking climate shocks to conflict.
davidubilava.bsky.social
1/ Does conflict intensify at harvest time in agricultural regions? Our new study explores this question in the context of Southeast Asia. Read the paper for the full story, or read this thread for tl;dr.
davidubilava.bsky.social
There is also a chance, that we have the case of (AI induced) plagiarism. In any case, what you can do is to alert the editor of your observation, and point them to the editor of the other journal. They will sort it out between each other then.
davidubilava.bsky.social
I haven't (neither as editor nor as a reviewer), but yeah, that too sounds plausible (though not optimal imo).
davidubilava.bsky.social
Might not be a parallel, but that the authors saw the (positive) reports, and decided that they can "do better" (in terms of a journal). Assuming they notified the original editor, this might be a okay (?), but in any case, personally I think this is a bad etiquette...
davidubilava.bsky.social
"Dear passengers, we apologise for a slight delay. We will soon take off, once we sort out a minor technical issue."
dinapomeranz.bsky.social
How you know your public transit system works well: pilots take it on their way to the airport.
#Zürich #ZVV
davidubilava.bsky.social
If you're the kind of person who waits until the last minute, the wait is over. Submit your paper or extended abstract for the 2nd SCoPE workshop to be held in Sydney on 3-4 June by the end of the day.
ashani.bsky.social
Don’t forget to submit your papers to the 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) workshop at the University of Sydney School of Economics!

Deadline: 31 January

More info: sydneyscope.org

Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

@davidubilava.bsky.social
davidubilava.bsky.social
📢Workshop Announcement

The 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) Workshop will take place at the University of Sydney on June 3-4, 2025. Please submit your papers by email to [email protected] by 31 January 2025.

dubilava.github.io/Calls/SCoPE_...
Reposted by David Ubilava
ashani.bsky.social
Don’t forget to submit your papers to the 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) workshop at the University of Sydney School of Economics!

Deadline: 31 January

More info: sydneyscope.org

Join our mailing list: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

@davidubilava.bsky.social
davidubilava.bsky.social
📢Workshop Announcement

The 2nd Social Conflict and Political Economy (SCoPE) Workshop will take place at the University of Sydney on June 3-4, 2025. Please submit your papers by email to [email protected] by 31 January 2025.

dubilava.github.io/Calls/SCoPE_...
Reposted by David Ubilava
agnesq.bsky.social
Introducing my wonderful workplace where I've been for almost (gasp!) 30 years! Follow us for research on #foodpolicy, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
ifpri.org
🦋IFPRI is excited to join @bsky.app! Colleagues, partners, friends @cgiar.org and beyond - who's there? 👋 Welcome to our cloud!