Doruk Cengiz
@dcdorukcengiz.bsky.social
Paper (forthcoming in JARE):
"Fifty Years of IO in Agricultural Economics: Evidence, Evolution, and Emerging Directions"
Christian Rojas & Doruk Cengiz
Thanks to the 39 scholars who shared their views.
Link: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
"Fifty Years of IO in Agricultural Economics: Evidence, Evolution, and Emerging Directions"
Christian Rojas & Doruk Cengiz
Thanks to the 39 scholars who shared their views.
Link: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Fifty Years of IO in Agricultural Economics: Evidence, Evolution, and Emerging Directions
Over the past two decades, industrial organization (IO) research within agricultural and resource economics (ARE) has gained substantial influence. We document
papers.ssrn.com
August 6, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Paper (forthcoming in JARE):
"Fifty Years of IO in Agricultural Economics: Evidence, Evolution, and Emerging Directions"
Christian Rojas & Doruk Cengiz
Thanks to the 39 scholars who shared their views.
Link: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
"Fifty Years of IO in Agricultural Economics: Evidence, Evolution, and Emerging Directions"
Christian Rojas & Doruk Cengiz
Thanks to the 39 scholars who shared their views.
Link: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
How did we do this?
Web scraping with python to extract text
LLMs (GPT-4.1-mini + embeddings) to classify themes, extract topics and methods.
Google Scholar and Web of Science for citations
Shows what ML/AI can do for meta-research:
→ scale, and insight extraction
Web scraping with python to extract text
LLMs (GPT-4.1-mini + embeddings) to classify themes, extract topics and methods.
Google Scholar and Web of Science for citations
Shows what ML/AI can do for meta-research:
→ scale, and insight extraction
August 6, 2025 at 8:40 PM
How did we do this?
Web scraping with python to extract text
LLMs (GPT-4.1-mini + embeddings) to classify themes, extract topics and methods.
Google Scholar and Web of Science for citations
Shows what ML/AI can do for meta-research:
→ scale, and insight extraction
Web scraping with python to extract text
LLMs (GPT-4.1-mini + embeddings) to classify themes, extract topics and methods.
Google Scholar and Web of Science for citations
Shows what ML/AI can do for meta-research:
→ scale, and insight extraction
What do the experts think?
Top takeaways:
• Econ IO is highly respected; methods and Econ journals appreciated as gold standard.
· However, field is distinct. Its impact and uniqueness maybe underappreciated!
• Big appetite for upstream IO, climate policy, and machine learning
Top takeaways:
• Econ IO is highly respected; methods and Econ journals appreciated as gold standard.
· However, field is distinct. Its impact and uniqueness maybe underappreciated!
• Big appetite for upstream IO, climate policy, and machine learning
August 6, 2025 at 8:40 PM
What do the experts think?
Top takeaways:
• Econ IO is highly respected; methods and Econ journals appreciated as gold standard.
· However, field is distinct. Its impact and uniqueness maybe underappreciated!
• Big appetite for upstream IO, climate policy, and machine learning
Top takeaways:
• Econ IO is highly respected; methods and Econ journals appreciated as gold standard.
· However, field is distinct. Its impact and uniqueness maybe underappreciated!
• Big appetite for upstream IO, climate policy, and machine learning
Why the rise in IO in ARE?
We ran regressions on 5,000+ IO papers. Here's what correlates with citations (Google Scholar and Web of Science):
(+) Practical relevance
(+) Applied, policy-facing work
(-) Structural modeling
We ran regressions on 5,000+ IO papers. Here's what correlates with citations (Google Scholar and Web of Science):
(+) Practical relevance
(+) Applied, policy-facing work
(-) Structural modeling
August 6, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Why the rise in IO in ARE?
We ran regressions on 5,000+ IO papers. Here's what correlates with citations (Google Scholar and Web of Science):
(+) Practical relevance
(+) Applied, policy-facing work
(-) Structural modeling
We ran regressions on 5,000+ IO papers. Here's what correlates with citations (Google Scholar and Web of Science):
(+) Practical relevance
(+) Applied, policy-facing work
(-) Structural modeling
Publications:
IO in ARE is growing.
Food Policy, AJAE, JARE among others.
30%+ of ARE journal output is now IO-flavored.
And citations? ARE journals are climbing the ranks.
Food Policy is now #1 by median IO citations.
IO in ARE is growing.
Food Policy, AJAE, JARE among others.
30%+ of ARE journal output is now IO-flavored.
And citations? ARE journals are climbing the ranks.
Food Policy is now #1 by median IO citations.
August 6, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Publications:
IO in ARE is growing.
Food Policy, AJAE, JARE among others.
30%+ of ARE journal output is now IO-flavored.
And citations? ARE journals are climbing the ranks.
Food Policy is now #1 by median IO citations.
IO in ARE is growing.
Food Policy, AJAE, JARE among others.
30%+ of ARE journal output is now IO-flavored.
And citations? ARE journals are climbing the ranks.
Food Policy is now #1 by median IO citations.
Methods:
Today, 95% of IO in ARE is empirical.
But mostly reduced-form + descriptive.
Structural models? Shrinking.
Meanwhile, IO econ is doubling down on structural
Today, 95% of IO in ARE is empirical.
But mostly reduced-form + descriptive.
Structural models? Shrinking.
Meanwhile, IO econ is doubling down on structural
August 6, 2025 at 8:38 PM
Methods:
Today, 95% of IO in ARE is empirical.
But mostly reduced-form + descriptive.
Structural models? Shrinking.
Meanwhile, IO econ is doubling down on structural
Today, 95% of IO in ARE is empirical.
But mostly reduced-form + descriptive.
Structural models? Shrinking.
Meanwhile, IO econ is doubling down on structural
Themes:
IO in ARE has steadily shifted focus:
From upstream issues like grain markets & coops
→ To downstream topics: food retail, nutrition, labeling, climate, & resilience.
Consumer-facing policy issues now dominate.
IO in ARE has steadily shifted focus:
From upstream issues like grain markets & coops
→ To downstream topics: food retail, nutrition, labeling, climate, & resilience.
Consumer-facing policy issues now dominate.
August 6, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Themes:
IO in ARE has steadily shifted focus:
From upstream issues like grain markets & coops
→ To downstream topics: food retail, nutrition, labeling, climate, & resilience.
Consumer-facing policy issues now dominate.
IO in ARE has steadily shifted focus:
From upstream issues like grain markets & coops
→ To downstream topics: food retail, nutrition, labeling, climate, & resilience.
Consumer-facing policy issues now dominate.
We asked 5 questions:
What has IO in ARE studied?
What methods have been used?
Where has it been published?
How influential is it?
Where is IO in ARE going?
What has IO in ARE studied?
What methods have been used?
Where has it been published?
How influential is it?
Where is IO in ARE going?
August 6, 2025 at 8:37 PM
We asked 5 questions:
What has IO in ARE studied?
What methods have been used?
Where has it been published?
How influential is it?
Where is IO in ARE going?
What has IO in ARE studied?
What methods have been used?
Where has it been published?
How influential is it?
Where is IO in ARE going?
Key result: IO in ARE is now more influential than ever. The fraction and volume of IO papers in ARE journals keeps growing fast. They receive a large volume of citations.
IO papers in ARE journals now receive comparable or higher citations than those in leading IO econ journals
IO papers in ARE journals now receive comparable or higher citations than those in leading IO econ journals
August 6, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Key result: IO in ARE is now more influential than ever. The fraction and volume of IO papers in ARE journals keeps growing fast. They receive a large volume of citations.
IO papers in ARE journals now receive comparable or higher citations than those in leading IO econ journals
IO papers in ARE journals now receive comparable or higher citations than those in leading IO econ journals