David H. Montgomery
@dhmontgomery.com
Words, data, code. Senior data journalist with @today.yougov.com. Host of the French history podcast The Siècle (@thesiecle.com).
Reposted by David H. Montgomery
The real danger isn't that your boss replaces you with Claude Code. The danger is that your company's customers replace your company with Claude Code. These tools aren't increasing supply of SaaS. They're reducing demand.
January 11, 2026 at 9:06 AM
The real danger isn't that your boss replaces you with Claude Code. The danger is that your company's customers replace your company with Claude Code. These tools aren't increasing supply of SaaS. They're reducing demand.
Reposted by David H. Montgomery
Live look inside the vatican:
January 11, 2026 at 5:12 AM
Live look inside the vatican:
Packers go up with seconds remaining, Bears Hail Mary TD.
January 11, 2026 at 4:18 AM
Packers go up with seconds remaining, Bears Hail Mary TD.
Second-half Packers vs. second-half Bears is quite the showdown.
January 11, 2026 at 3:51 AM
Second-half Packers vs. second-half Bears is quite the showdown.
I would like to subscribe to your newsletter.
January 11, 2026 at 3:44 AM
I would like to subscribe to your newsletter.
And if you’re interested in where this analysis came from, in part, I recommend you listen to my series for @thesiecle.com covering France’s July Revolution of 1830, starting here (or from Episode 1 — it’s all good!):
Episode 39: The Four Ordinances
On July 26, 1830, Parisians woke up to four stunning proclamations from King Charles X, four ordinances rewriting French politics and public life. Join me to...
thesiecle.com
January 11, 2026 at 3:13 AM
And if you’re interested in where this analysis came from, in part, I recommend you listen to my series for @thesiecle.com covering France’s July Revolution of 1830, starting here (or from Episode 1 — it’s all good!):
Whether you are sympathetic to the radical opposition or to the moderate opposition, there can be very good reasons to not ally with the other opposition faction!
But avoiding such an alliance is a choice that probably weakens the odds of a short-term victory.
But avoiding such an alliance is a choice that probably weakens the odds of a short-term victory.
January 11, 2026 at 1:03 AM
Whether you are sympathetic to the radical opposition or to the moderate opposition, there can be very good reasons to not ally with the other opposition faction!
But avoiding such an alliance is a choice that probably weakens the odds of a short-term victory.
But avoiding such an alliance is a choice that probably weakens the odds of a short-term victory.
Also a certain subset of moderates views radicals as outside the respectable body politic, and will only work with them under duress. And a certain subset of radicals views moderates as indistinguishable from reactionaries, and will etc. etc. Bringing them together is a leadership task.
January 11, 2026 at 12:37 AM
Also a certain subset of moderates views radicals as outside the respectable body politic, and will only work with them under duress. And a certain subset of radicals views moderates as indistinguishable from reactionaries, and will etc. etc. Bringing them together is a leadership task.
The obstacle is often that both moderates and radicals, to varying degrees, also often have their eyes on a hypothetical post-uprising settlement; working together with the other faction could mean putting them in a stronger position for that settlement. A classic Prisoner’s Dilemma!
January 11, 2026 at 12:19 AM
The obstacle is often that both moderates and radicals, to varying degrees, also often have their eyes on a hypothetical post-uprising settlement; working together with the other faction could mean putting them in a stronger position for that settlement. A classic Prisoner’s Dilemma!
My general conclusion from reading history is that popular uprisings are most reliably successful, at least in the short term, when radicals and moderates work together. Either faction alone tends to either lose or produce a tenuous victory.
January 11, 2026 at 12:08 AM
My general conclusion from reading history is that popular uprisings are most reliably successful, at least in the short term, when radicals and moderates work together. Either faction alone tends to either lose or produce a tenuous victory.
Radicals are disparaging moderates for temporizing and seeking compromise with the Enemy? Moderates are warning radicals about not being provocative?
Folks, such has it always been.
Folks, such has it always been.
January 11, 2026 at 12:08 AM
Radicals are disparaging moderates for temporizing and seeking compromise with the Enemy? Moderates are warning radicals about not being provocative?
Folks, such has it always been.
Folks, such has it always been.
Yeah, no one likes this! But "get rid of the bundle" was exactly what people were demanding a decade ago. This seems like a plausible (if not inevitable) consequence of blowing up the bundle.
January 10, 2026 at 7:34 PM
Yeah, no one likes this! But "get rid of the bundle" was exactly what people were demanding a decade ago. This seems like a plausible (if not inevitable) consequence of blowing up the bundle.
"Less than half" was imprecise/wrong, depending on how you qualify "successful streaming services," but the broader point still stands.
Even the successful streaming services make less than half per hour watched than did old linear TV.
U.S. households complained about how much money the old cable bundles cost. They got what they wanted and are on average paying a lot less. Now we'll see if that's what people REALLY wanted.
U.S. households complained about how much money the old cable bundles cost. They got what they wanted and are on average paying a lot less. Now we'll see if that's what people REALLY wanted.
January 10, 2026 at 7:32 PM
"Less than half" was imprecise/wrong, depending on how you qualify "successful streaming services," but the broader point still stands.
January 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM