Danielle Navarro
@djnavarro.net
2.6K followers 210 following 130 posts
not very committed to sparkle motion
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djnavarro.net
not to be harsh, but i quit twitter because it was being taken over by a CEO who was publicly transphobic and dismissive of trans users who have concerns about trust and safety. explain to me how bluesky is any different to that? it's pretty clear now that the company doesn't want us here.
djnavarro.net
i feel very down on bluesky at the moment.
djnavarro.net
CEO of microblogging platform takes brave stance in support of transphobia. I feel like we did that one already?
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
hedgehogsafety.bsky.social
Love that the lack of safety for trans people on here is a fucking punchline to Jay
A bluesky conversation. Jay makes some generic point about making a less confrontational social media platform, using the waffle/pancakes meme. A user rightly asks if they have banned Jesse Singal yet. Jay replies with "waffles".
djnavarro.net
i looked. i was not surprised (CEO making fun of trans people's fears), but i am again reminded why i am glad i am still mostly on mastodon and not particularly invested in this place.
djnavarro.net
Quote with your yellow art 💛
abstract piece showing yellow and orange tone swirls against a light grey background
djnavarro.net
oh the feeling is mutual. i spend a lot of time thinking about your pieces and how they might be constructed - truly magnificent work
djnavarro.net
oh this one is amazing
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
tetrismegistus.bsky.social
Binding

#Abstract #creativecoding #algorithmicArt #Processing #programming #glsl #java #computerart #digitalart #post-processed
A distressed digital artwork dominated by red and black tones. Beneath the textured surface lies a faint geometric grid, overlaid with angular star-like linework converging at the center. Around it, circular traces, scratches, and weathered patterns give the impression of an ancient schematic or occult diagram unearthed from erosion and decay.
djnavarro.net
heh. yeah, i started getting frustrated at the number of times i’ve seen data from that yougov survey go viral because people don’t know how to interpret these sorts of data. there’s a lot of nuances that the post doesn’t really talk about, but hopefully the central idea comes across clearly :)
djnavarro.net
sigh. yeah. i wish people who report results like this would show where these numbers sit relative to an appropriate calibration curve. otherwise you have no way to tell whether people are legitimately misinformed, or if it’s just garden variety measurement issues re human probability judgment 😕
djnavarro.net
I find it works better for me than bluesky tbh. My life on mastodon is calmer and doesn’t poke at my anxieties and ptsd triggers the way this place does :/
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
jwolondon.bsky.social
A great post from @djnavarro.net, providing an accessible explanation of why statistics that can appear to reveal our ignorance may actually do the opposite. Makes excellent use of #datavis to provide visual support for the argument.

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
djnavarro.net
yeah i’m starting to realise that too, having come from a field in which you don’t have to think about these things, and now work in a field where sometimes you do. the post barely scratches the surface, and in some respects is just a note-to-self to look more closely next time this comes up
djnavarro.net
A few words on survey weights, why I'm embarrassed to have forgotten to take them into account in the past, and how I got lucky because I personally didn't get burned. Not a mistake I intend to repeat in the future

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
Some notes on survey weights – Notes from a data witch
An area of statistics in which the author is not strong, and really needs to up her game
blog.djnavarro.net
djnavarro.net
Supposedly McLuhan chose the title after a typo from the publisher introduced it as an error and he ran with it. But yes, given that the post is in some ways making a “medium is the message” style point about the measurement method, it felt too good to pass up when I saw it on the bookgun site 🙂
djnavarro.net
strong agree. the post is very light on formal modelling, but to the extent there’s a serious point underpinning it you’re exactly right: calibration in these tasks is messed up, but people show clear evidence of domain knowledge, and researchers ought to focus on how to elicit that expertise better
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
rbly.bsky.social
Prediction modelling hat on: this great post extends to how humans interact with predictions. Generally we appear to be good at discrimination, ie ranking things by risk. Calibration OTOH: cooked. Maybe we should focus decision support on realistic risk preds, w less focus on AUROC?
#statsky #rstats
djnavarro.net
Against my better instincts, I have written some notes on how human probability judgements work and what you should expect from surveys that ask people to guess what proportion of the population is transgender. I hope never to speak of this matter again
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
djnavarro.net
mashed the like button 20 seconds in. late birthday party early bad seeds was *such* an amazing vibe
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
nrennie.bsky.social
For this week's #TidyTuesday chess player rating data, I made an annotated barcode plot to show the distribution of age by title ♟️ It was hard to set a good transparency level for the lines since there's such a difference between the number of male and female players 📊

#RStats #DataViz #ggplot2
Barcode plots showing the distribution of age of grandmaster, international master, fide master, and candidate master for male and female chess players. Age seems to be less related to title for male players.
djnavarro.net
It's a consistent problem when designing survey questions, to be honest. It's very hard to write questions that aren't ambiguous in some way, and there's always a subset of people who get so frustrated by the imprecision in the question that they stop answering
djnavarro.net
and again and again and again. because if there are two things on the internet that people love to argue about it's (a) why other people are stupid but i personally am really smart and (b) trans people