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Alaa Al Khourdajie

@dralaaclimate.bsky.social

2.7K followers 320 following 150 posts

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · Jul 23

🚨New Paper🚨"Science-based targets miss the mark" with @andyreisinger.bsky.social, Annette Cowie, Oliver Geden @natureportfolio.bsky.social - Comm Earth & Env #OpenAccess

In this perspective, we challenge the equity & ambition claims of science-based targets 🧵

nature.com/articles/s43...

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 6d

We finally have a new paper out looking at how summary statistics from the AR6 scenario database are highly dependent on the sampling of the database.

High profile statistics are often more representative of the model fingerprint, not the physics.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

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Two curves show how the median is different depending on the scenario.

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 7d

There are a few people that are inspirations to almost all scientists that I know, and Jane Goodall was one of them. RIP. 😢

Jane Goodall, the celebrated primatologist and conservationist, has died

Jane Goodall, the conservationist renowned for her groundbreaking chimpanzee field research and globe-spanning environmental advocacy, has died. She was 91.

apnews.com

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

holly jean buck @hollyjeanbuck.bsky.social · 7d

How can the #IPCC navigate generative AI?

What does it mean for scientific assessment more broadly?

New working paper looks at scenarios for AI adoption & resistance, w/ @dralaaclimate.bsky.social @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden

Reflections welcome!

www.swp-berlin.org/publications...

www.swp-berlin.org

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

www.swp-berlin.org/publications...

www.swp-berlin.org

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

Ultimately, the IPCC should develop an AI policy robust to multiple futures. As a model institution, its choices will shape how other fields approach scientific assessment in the AI age.

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Working paper: www.swp-berlin.org/publications...

www.swp-berlin.org

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

Options for the IPCC: A thoughtful middle path. Leverage AI to enhance equity (e.g., overcoming language barriers) whilst carefully weighing risks of official AI tools that could undermine the stable, shared foundation of facts needed for international cooperation.

11/13

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

3) Anticipatory resistance: Scientific communities adopt precautionary approach; restrictive AI policies risk perpetuating epistemic inequities

4) Public backlash: AI adoption becomes stigmatised; any AI use threatens IPCC legitimacy

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

1) Rise of the agents: Widespread agentic AI transforms workflows; IPCC must optimise outputs for both human and AI readers

2) Superior truth machine: AI viewed by some as more objective than humans; IPCC faces competing AI-generated assessments

9/13

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

Four plausible futures (thought experiments):

We explore scenarios informed by two axes: societal/scientific acceptance (trusted ↔️ taboo) and degree of automation in knowledge processing (human-driven ↔️ AI-driven).

8/13

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

💬 Communication: Should the IPCC create an official chatbot to pre-empt third-party interpretations that fragment carefully built consensus?

7/13

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

✍️ Literature assessment: How do we maintain human deliberative consensus when AI-generated 'shadow assessments' could contest IPCC findings using the same literature?

6/13

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

Three functions, multiple challenges:
📚 Literature identification: Can AI agents comprehensively scan tens of thousands of papers whilst preserving inclusion of grey literature and Indigenous Knowledge?

5/13

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

AI disrupts not just report-writing workflows, but this deeper social function of building consensus, both scientific and political, around climate reality.

4/13

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

Why this matters: The IPCC isn't merely a literature synthesis machine. It creates a scientifically authoritative but politically legitimised consensus that functions as 'de facto governance', shaping research priorities and policy options.

3/13

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

The context: The seventh IPCC assessment cycle (AR7, ending 2029/30) will be the first conducted in an era of widespread generative #AI. This raises critical questions beyond technical efficiency.

2/13

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 9d

New working paper out: "Four scenarios for an @ipcc.bsky.social navigating Artificial Intelligence"

Led by @hollyjeanbuck.bsky.social, with @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden

Thread 🧵

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 12d

Are you a highly motivated early-career researcher from a developing country or a country in transition, and want to be a Chapter Scientist in the next IPCC report?

Then here is your chance. Deadline 18 October 2025.

www.ictp.it/opportunity/...

IPCC AR7 Chapter Scientists | ICTP

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is in the process of preparing its Seventh Assessment report (AR7). The IPCC Working Groups are seeking highly motivated early-career researchers f...

www.ictp.it

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

IPCC @ipcc.bsky.social · 19d

Registration for experts interested in serving as Expert Reviewers and providing scientific comments on the First Order Draft of the Special Report on Climate Change and Cities is now open!

Register here: apps.ipcc.ch/comments/src...
⚠️ Registration closes 30 Nov2025

🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/09/17/p...

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

Leila Niamir @leilaniamir.bsky.social · 21d

📢 Experts on cities & climate change wanted!
The @ipcc.bsky.social report on #cities & #climatechange is looking for reviewers to review the first draft. This is your chance to shape global knowledge and action on cities and climate resilience!
Interested? 👉 www.tinyurl.com/srcities
#IPCC #SRCities

IPCC @ipcc.bsky.social · 21d

📣 PRESS RELEASE

Registration for experts interested in serving as Expert Reviewers and providing scientific comments on the First Order Draft of the Special Report on Climate Change and Cities is now open!

Registration closes 30 Nov 2025.

Read more 🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/09/17/p...

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

Prof Friederike Otto @frediotto.bsky.social · 21d

The summer is over - and for about 16,600 people across 854 European cities that doesn't mean autumn comes, but death. People who would still be alive if it wasn't for our burning of fossil fuels. - New study with @lshtm.bsky.social www.imperial.ac.uk/grantham/pub...

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

Grantham Institute - Climate Change and the Environment @granthamicl.bsky.social · 22d

❓Climate reports for the IPCC and others have become increasingly complex, it’s also getting harder to capture & present relevant research to decision-makers.

@imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social's Dr @dralaaclimate.bsky.social's new paper explores how artificial intelligence could tackle this problem 🧵

The role of artificial intelligence in climate change scientific assessments

Climate change scientific assessments prepared by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) face interconnected dual challenges: the exponential growth of literature, hindering synthesis…

ow.ly

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Reposted by Alaa Al Khourdajie

Robert Gieseke (Openclimatedata) @openclimatedata.net · 23d

Very nice essay/review from @dralaaclimate.bsky.social on AI in climate assessments! Thanks to open access and HTML I could read it on my phone on the train! 😀

I hope the big shots who AI everything these days read it too!

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 23d

🔬 New paper alert: "The role of artificial intelligence in climate change scientific assessments" @plosclimate.org

As #AI adoption accelerates, should @ipcc.bsky.social integrate these tools? Can LLMs (chatbots) communicate findings while maintaining scientific rigour?

doi.org/10.1371/jour...
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The role of artificial intelligence in climate change scientific assessments

doi.org

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 23d

The goal: not to replace indispensable expert judgement but augment human capabilities responsibly.

It's about developing robust frameworks where technology strengthens rather than substitutes expert judgement.

#ClimateScience #IPCC #AI

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 23d

3) 🏛️ For assessment workflows: Two institutional pathways
• IPCC as "producer" (developing & using validated tools internally)
• IPCC as "assessor" (critically evaluating published AI-driven analyses in the literature)

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 23d

For LLMs, some limitations (in the context of SciComm) are inherent in their architecture: probabilistic pattern generation, stochasticity & variability, parametric knowledge limitations, hallucinations, all necessitating responsibilities by developers & users

+ their environmental footprint.

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