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Dan Szymborski

@dszymborski.fangraphs.com

16K followers 850 following 1.7K posts

Senior Writer for FanGraphs, ESPN contributor, data consultant, ZiPSetician, gamer, talkative, exasperated/ing, possibly the worst. BBWAA, Digital Dandy.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · Nov 20

For those new to BlueSky and interested in FanGraphs writers -- or those who aren't, making this an odd choice -- I put together a FanGraphs starter pack of writers/editors who currently are staffers or contributors to the site.

go.bsky.app/Q1Dm1ED

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 2h

Yeah, I shoudl have been clearer about that!

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 3h

I didn't mean to use them ahistorically! But I've never liked the current Phillies colors.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 8h

Do I dare ask what ass success is?

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 8h

I do hope the Phillies take the hint and just keep wearing the powder-blue-and-maroon as the primary uniform for now on.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 8h

People might say that the Red Sox or Cubs had baseball's best curse, but I still think the S-Tier baseball curse is the Hanshin Tigers being cursed by Colonel Sanders.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 8h

I gotta say, it feels like the schemes of Shredder and Krang to destroy the Ninja Turtles have a higher success rate than using Clayton Kershaw in relief in the playoffs.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 12h

As someone who does a lot of predictive modeling, I really appreciate the Wrigley fans clearly chanting for principal component analysis.

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Reposted by Dan Szymborski

Grant Brisbee @grantbrisbee.bsky.social · 14h

me at the start of every october vs. me at the end of every october

Jayson Werth, except now he looks like a wizard or a lumberjack or a prepper who can live for three years on nothing but bark and cicadas

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 18h

The archive was always a dumpster fire too -- it's always been impossible to see the *many* things I did unless I know exactly which one I was looking for!

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Reposted by Dan Szymborski

Jordan in Finland (Fantasy Baseball Oligarch) @rosenjordanblum.bsky.social · 22h

The reviews are in: critics are hailing OOPSY as Paul Thomas Anderson's most entertaining film yet. No, wait, that is "One Battle After Another." Good work, @dszymborski.fangraphs.com
(2025's best hitting projections on FanGraphs) and
Steamer gang (2025's best pitching projections on FG)

FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs.com · 22h

Reviewing OOPSY’s Debut Season blogs.fangraphs.com/reviewing-oo...

Reviewing OOPSY’s Debut Season

This article reviews how the OOPSY projections performed in their debut season. Did the rookie system hold its own compared to its more established peers?

blogs.fangraphs.com

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

The initial charge was fairly easy - we were all basically extremely confident about guilty the second we got into the jury room. But it was the finding that got us. We all thought the defendant acted terribly, but just not the degree of terribleness of the added risks.

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

Yeah, like I can say that there's a strong possibility the White Sox will suck, but I have the luxury of being able to buttress that with an underlying median projection and a range of uncertainty based on empirical data!

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

Yeah, it was an additional finding on a relatively dangerous police chase.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

Since Bayesian probability is such a big part of my life, it definitely drives me nuts, though it was the answer I expected while penning out the Q for the group. Thankfully, another juror made a great point from the language of the statute that turned the tide.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

Yeah, I wish it didn't happen during PLAYOFFS, but like in February, but it was a good experience and makes me feel a little bit better about humanity, if just for today!

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

In the end, the 4 agreed that they had reasonable doubts about serious. Those of us in the 8 then took a step back to make sure the 4 were comfortable and did not feel pressured by us unduly, and that they could switch in good conscience.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

It was an interesting jury room debate. Basically *the* point we all came to very quickly was whether X thing that we all thought was bad was "significant" or "serious" risk. We were 8-4 for significant, and we asked a Q to confirm there was nothing definitionally to clear up ambiguity.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

Now that I think of it, I guess it makes me a much easier juror than average to gauge a convincing argument for. We had some references to "people who work with numbers and probability" in the closing. It's not really hard to see what makes me tick, for good or ill.

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

(It was also one of the crucial points I was thinking of at the time as the case was wrapping up)

Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

The defense attorney talked in the closing about the difference between "strong possibility" and "significant or remote possibility" (def of substantial risk on Ohio law) and mentioned "those of you who work with numbers and probability" which definitely was a good arg to make with me.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

I think the other jury members would have rightfully beaten me to death if I tried that!

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

I find the whole concept amusing, just not in a serious way.

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

Not in any way i can see!

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Reposted by Dan Szymborski

Doug Gray @dougdirt24.bsky.social · 1d

Pin this and next time you'll be home before lunch.

My friend Dan is holding a piece of paper that reads "Chef Boyardee is here".

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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 1d

I did get a Roman Anthony ROY question, so it's definitely something that *could* have happened in Dayton if the lawyer were a Reds fan.

Though maybe if he were a Reds fan he'd already hate me lol