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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security
@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
460 followers 60 following 120 posts
@ecfr.bsky.social ideas and analysis on Europe’s security, defence, enlargement, resilience and eastern neighbourhood dynamics
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 7d
Today, the EU leaders will also reflect on the drone incursion in Poland. NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged and should also consider air defence coverage in western Ukraine, writes @mprochwicz.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4gmY8NF
Hold the line: NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 7d
NATO and the EU are now taking steps to bolster air defences along their eastern flank. Yet through these successive incursions, Putin has shown he is undeterred, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 7d
🎧 Listen to the new episode of our Ukraine Inside Out podcast
This week, our hosts welcomed Lyuba Shupovich and Gustav Gressel to unpack how warfare in Ukraine is changing and if Europe can respond @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
🔗 https://bit.ly/4o506Fb
Lessons for Europe: Inside Ukraine’s drone war
Lesia Ogryzko and Leo Litra welcome Lyuba Shupovich and Gustav Gressel to unpack how warfare in Ukraine is changing and if Europe can respond…
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 8d
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
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ecfr.eu
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 12d
With less (or no) American capability and capacity, the costs and trade-offs Europeans face are exacerbated, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
ecfr.eu
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ecfr.eu
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 12d
Europe should view Moldova as a testing ground for its own resilience, with the election offering Brussels valuable insight into the tactics, tools and impact of Moscow’s operations, write Leo Litra and @gvalodskaite.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4mxkXQ3
Love thy neighbour: Moldova’s election is a stress test for European resilience
Moldova’s parliamentary election will steer the country towards either the EU or Russia. Whatever the outcome, it is a chance for Europeans to understand Putin’s disinformation playbook and protect…
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 27d
Should US–Russia negotiations collapse, Lukashenko’s role would evaporate overnight, his concessions wasted and his standing with Putin damaged, write @kirland.bsky.social and Vasil Navumau
https://bit.ly/42jwgnI
Zapad against the West: How Europe should read the Russian-Belarusian military drills
Zapad 2025 is not only a show of force; it is Lukashenko’s bid to play a role in the emergent European security order as it bargains with Washington over sanctions and prisoners
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 26d
The drones were downed, marking the first time a NATO member fired shots during the Ukraine war. It is clear that the alliance’s previous weak responses have only emboldened Russia, writes @mprochwicz.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4gmY8NF
Hold the line: NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands
ecfr.eu
3 13
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 27d
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands, writes @mprochwicz.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4gmY8NF
Hold the line: NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands
ecfr.eu
1 3 9
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 29d
What can we make of von der Leyen’s first State of the Union address since securing a second term as president? Join our experts online on Thursday to find out!
https://bit.ly/41FGP4i
Stronger, Safer… Really? Unpacking von der Leyen’s 2025 State of the Union
Last year, European Commission president Ursula Von der Leyen promised to deliver a stronger, safer, and more prosperous Europe. Yet the first year of her second mandate has been anything but smooth…
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · Sep 8
What is the EU’s role in resolving conflicts in occupied territories within eastern candidate countries? Why the EU membership is a powerful incentive for reform and stability? Re-read @teftak.bsky.social and Sergi Kapanadze's policy brief @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4le7c8m
Occupational therapy: Frozen conflicts, Russian aggression and EU enlargement
As Russia accelerates its annexation of “frozen conflict” regions, the EU must enhance its policy to counter Moscow’s influence.
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · Jun 25
#Russia will likely try to keep the #Iranian regime weak and out of Western reach, hoping to exploit any deal for its own gains, @kadriliik.bsky.social‬ and @kirland.bsky.social‬ argue in their last commentary.
Read it here ⬇️
Patience and pragmatism: Moscow’s view on the Israel-Iran-US war
Russia will likely try to keep the Iranian regime weak and out of Western reach, hoping to exploit any deal for its own gains.
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · Jun 25
#EU leaders have to learn lessons from #Ukraine if they want to be truly ready to take responsibility for Europe's security.
Read here more about the latest policy brief by Dmytro Kuleba.
How to arm a pacifist: Lessons from Ukraine for the EU’s defence
EU leaders have to learn lessons from Ukraine if they want to be truly ready to take responsibility for Europe’s security…
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · Jun 24
@camillegrand.bsky.social‬ @jkobzova.bsky.social‬ and @nicupopescu.bsky.social‬ wrote about the need for Europeans and Ukrainians to draw up a “beyond the horizon” plan for Ukraine in preparation for a potential ceasefire or a peace deal.
Read the full policy brief here⬇️
ecfr.eu/publication/...
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · Jun 24
@ecfr.eu‬ has a new podcast mini-series that brings Ukrainian perspectives to the forefront! In the first episode, hosts Leo Litra and Lesia Ogryzko welcome @wesslau.bsky.social‬ and Volodymyr Yermolenko to explore the roots and evolution of #Ukraine’s remarkable societal resilience.
Ukrainian society in wartime
Leo Litra and Lesia Ogryzko welcome Fredrik Wesslau and Volodymyr Yermolenko to unpack how, over three years after Russia’s full-scale invasion, Ukrainian society continues to persist in the face of…
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · Jun 11
🚨New policy alert by Lesia Ogryzko🚨
Ukraine's $600 drones caused $7 billion in damages during attacks on Russian military installations. Following the success of this 'bang for your buck' approach, Europe should increase its financial support for Kyiv @ecfrwidereurope.bsky.social
Read more 👇
Making them pay: How Ukraine’s special operations could bring Putin to negotiate
In the past week Ukraine has launched three surprise attacks on Russian military assets inside the country and in occupied Crimea. Ukraine’s allies in Europe should seize the momentum to compel Putin…
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · Jun 10
In the past week Ukraine has launched three surprise attacks on Russian military assets inside the country and in occupied Crimea. Ukraine’s allies in Europe should seize the momentum to compel Putin to come to the negotiating table, writes Lesia Ogryzko ⬇️
ecfr.eu/article/maki...
Making them pay: How Ukraine’s special operations could bring Putin to negotiate
In the past week Ukraine has launched three surprise attacks on Russian military assets inside the country and in occupied Crimea. Ukraine’s allies in Europe should seize the momentum to compel Putin…
ecfr.eu
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · May 29
The Arctic is no longer a remote frontier—it is emerging as a key arena in European security. Joana Hosa & Mikhail Komin explore how Russia’s growing ambitions in the region reflect shifting geopolitical dynamics. @ecfrwidereurope.bsky.social‬
The bear beneath the ice: Russia’s ambitions in the Arctic
Russia is rapidly developing—and militarising—its Arctic territory as a strategic priority, even amid its war on Ukraine. Add Trump’s coveting of Greenland to the mix, and the next confrontation in…
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · May 28
How can European policymakers mitigate Russia’s economic and military ambitions and avoid getting squeezed out of an increasingly strategic region? Read here 👇
ecfr.eu/publication/...
The bear beneath the ice: Russia’s ambitions in the Arctic
Russia is rapidly developing—and militarising—its Arctic territory as a strategic priority, even amid its war on Ukraine. Add Trump’s coveting of Greenland to the mix, and the next confrontation in…
ecfr.eu
ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · May 28
Russia is rapidly developing—and militarising—its Arctic territory as a strategic priority, even amid its war on Ukraine. Add Trump’s coveting of Greenland to the mix, and the next confrontation in Europe could be in its High North.
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · May 28
In their latest policy brief, @jhosa.bsky.social & Mikhail Komin analyse Russia's ambitions in the Arctic ⬇️
ecfr.eu/publication/...
The bear beneath the ice: Russia’s ambitions in the Arctic
Russia is rapidly developing—and militarising—its Arctic territory as a strategic priority, even amid its war on Ukraine. Add Trump’s coveting of Greenland to the mix, and the next confrontation in…
ecfr.eu
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · May 28
The Kremlin’s Arctic ambitions have grown further this year.
What’s behind Moscow’s strategy beneath the ice? In this new policy brief, @jhosa.bsky.social & Mikhail Komin analyse Russia’s evolving strategy in the region. @ecfrwidereurope.bsky.social‬
bit.ly/4kxdnEw
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social · May 18
Armenia and Azerbaijan have never been so close to peace—but bilateral issues and geopolitical complications mean a new escalation is still possible. The EU needs to use what levers it has to help the two countries ensure the former comes to pass. By @dumoulinme.bsky.social ⬇️ ecfr.eu/article/the-...
The perpetual horizon: Armenia, Azerbaijan and prospects for peace
Armenia and Azerbaijan have never been so close to peace—but bilateral issues and geopolitical complications mean a new escalation is still possible. The EU needs to use what levers it has to help the...
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · May 15
When Russian military leaders are thought to oppose government policy, the Russian public appear to give them a sympathetic hearing, write Kirill Shamiev, Margarita Zavadskaya & Risa Brooks. @ecfrwidereurope.bsky.social
Read their new commentary, here:
General knowledge: Russian military chiefs, the Russian public and Ukraine and China
When Russian military leaders are thought to oppose government policy, the Russian public appear to give them a sympathetic hearing
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · May 16
Armenia and Azerbaijan have never been so close to peace—but bilateral issues and geopolitical complications mean a new escalation is still possible, writes @dumoulinme.bsky.social
@ecfrwidereurope.bsky.social
The perpetual horizon: Armenia, Azerbaijan and prospects for peace
Armenia and Azerbaijan have never been so close to peace—but bilateral issues and geopolitical complications mean a new escalation is still possible. The EU needs to use what levers it has to help…
bit.ly
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